January 2025 (around January 23-24): Raise the interest rate to 0.5%. ETH performance: High expectations for interest rate hikes, partially priced in. ETH short-term slight correction of about 5-10% (or more moderate), followed by a quick recovery and rebound (benefiting from institutional ETF inflows, Fusaka/Pectra upgrades, and other fundamentals). Compared to July 2024, the impact has significantly weakened, maintaining overall stability or slight increase within 1-2 months, without a drop of 20% or more.