According to Nikkei News, the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting on December 18-19 to raise the current policy interest rate of 0.5%. It has now entered the final coordination stage. The most likely scenario is an increase of 25 basis points to 0.75%, reaching the highest interest rate level in 30 years since 1995. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and other senior executives have hinted at their intention to submit a proposal for an interest rate hike. Surveys show that more than half of the nine policy board members, including the governor and deputy governor of the central bank, are expected to support the rate increase. Currently, no policy board member has clearly stated opposition to the rate hike, and there is generally a supportive attitude towards the increase within the Japanese government. The Bank of Japan will make a final decision after assessing whether market turmoil, such as a stock market crash or a sharp appreciation of the yen, will occur. If the rate hike is implemented on Friday, it will be the first increase in policy interest rates by the Bank of Japan in 11 months since January 2025.

Recent news has not been very favorable, raising concerns! Those holding physical commodities can wait a bit longer. If Japan really raises interest rates, it would be a good choice to enter the physical market afterward!

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