The decline in cryptocurrencies today, despite the upcoming Federal meeting tomorrow 16/12/2025, is not a contradiction but rather a natural and recurring behavior before major events. This is my clear reading of what happened:

🔴 First: What really happened today?

The decline we saw is a preemptive correction (Pre-Event De-Risking)

That is, large traders and institutions have:

Reducing positions

Profit taking

Reducing risks before the Fed meeting and sensitive data (CPI / Jobs)

And this often happens before the decision, not after it.

🧠 The main reasons for the decline

1️⃣ Fear, not news

The market does not wait for the news… but is afraid of it

The Fed meeting is approaching

Inflation and jobs data are incomplete due to government disruption

Any surprising word from Powell could change the direction

➡️ In such an atmosphere, crypto (the highest risk asset) is the first to be sold.

2️⃣ Liquidation of leveraged positions

Before major meetings:

High leveraged Long positions are being closed

Stops are hit below supports

This creates a rapid and successive fall

🔻 Today's drop bears the mark of 'liquidation of positions' and not fundamental collapse.

3️⃣ A temporary rise in the dollar (DXY)

Some investors have returned to the dollar as a temporary refuge

Any short improvement in the dollar = direct pressure on crypto

4️⃣ Doubt about the timing of interest rate cuts

Although:

The general trend = monetary easing

Except that:

The market is uncertain whether the cut is now or later in 2026

➡️ This doubt creates volatility and a temporary flight from risk.

📊 Is this drop negative in the medium term?

No — it may actually be healthy.

Post-meeting scenarios:

🟢 The positive scenario (most likely)

The Fed has a flexible tone

Stabilization or reduction with confirmation of data monitoring ➡️ crypto quickly compensates for the drop (Buy the dip)

🟡 The neutral scenario

No cut + cautious tone ➡️ volatility then stabilization then subsequent rise

🔴 The negative scenario (less likely)

A surprising hawkish tone ➡️ temporarily breaking deeper supports

🔍 Summary in brief

📉 Today's drop is not a collapse

📉 is:

Fear before the decision

Profit taking

Leveraged liquidation

Waiting for clarity

📈 The larger trend for cryptocurrencies is still tied to monetary easing, not what happened today.

💡 Smart advice (non-investment):

Do not chase the market in times of fear

Watch:

Fed statement

Powell's tone

Reaction of the dollar and bonds

Opportunities often appear after the decision, not before it

#BTC #هبوط_العملات_الرقمية #قرار_الفائدة #الفيدرالي_الأمريكي #التضخم