#SOL短线 $SOL 12 December 16 SOL continues the pullback trend of the cryptocurrency market, with a 24H increase of -2.96%, and is in a weak pattern of moving average resistance and capital outflow. The corresponding trading strategy continues to focus on bearishness, with low buying only as a very short-term attempt, detailed as follows:
1. Short Selling Strategy (Main Recommendation)
- Entry Timing: Enter when there is a rebound to around $137 and a bearish signal appears on the hourly chart. This price level is within the dense supply zone of $137 - $145, where resistance is strong. If the momentum is insufficient, a signal of weakened momentum around $135 can also allow for a small position entry.
- Profit Target: The first profit target is $130 - $131, which is a key support zone where buying signals have appeared multiple times recently; if it breaks down, the second profit target is $124, which is an important short-term support point.
- Stop Loss Setting: The stop loss is set above $140, which is close to the key level of the previous rebound. If it breaks through, the short-term bearish trend is likely to reverse.
2. Long Buying Strategy (Very Short-term Low Buying)
- Entry Timing: Enter lightly when the price falls to stabilize in the range of $128 - $130 and bullish signals such as engulfing patterns appear. This range is a key area where prices have supported multiple times recently.
- Profit Target: The first profit target is $135, which is a small resistance point in the short term; the second profit target is $137, take profit to avoid profit loss due to strong resistance above.
- Stop Loss Setting: The stop loss is set below $125. If it breaks down, it is likely to test the cycle low of $121, and risks need to be avoided in a timely manner.
3. Risk Control Points
- Control a single position to within 3% of total funds. Currently, SOL's open contracts are decreasing, leverage is low, and market positions are cautious, making it easy to be trapped by fluctuations with heavy positions.
- Keep a close eye on Bitcoin’s movement. If it breaks below the key support of $85,000, immediately reduce SOL positions; also pay attention to the flow of spot capital. If it continues to flow out, pause long operations.
- Holding time should not exceed 3 hours. For short-term trades, closely monitor the hourly MACD indicator; if its histogram continues to be negative and lengthens, positions should be closed in advance.
