The Fed Chair race takes a dramatic turn! Hassett's 85% winning chance plummets, Walsh emerges as the biggest dark horse!
Former Fed Governor Kevin Walsh has surged to the top of the favorites, with Polymarket data showing his nomination probability rising to 46%, and the Kalshi platform even offering a high odds of 52% — while Hassett, who was once the front-runner at the start of the month, saw his support plummet from 85% to 44% due to concerns over his close ties with Trump threatening the independence of the Fed.
The key turning point came from Trump's clear statement: after an interview last week, Walsh became his "top choice", and the two share highly aligned positions on monetary policy, both supporting aggressive rate cuts (Trump aims to lower rates below 1% within a year). Despite Walsh having criticized the Fed for being "too large", he is now standing with Hassett in the rate-cutting camp.
For the crypto market, this is a significant signal! History shows that rate-cutting cycles often drive up risk assets like BTC, and Trump's call for lower rates has become a core standard for candidate selection 📈 Regardless of who ultimately wins, expectations for easing are rising. Do you think Bitcoin will rebound on this opportunity? #美联储主席候选人
