Salar_X

The probability of what is happening is near zero.

Three 6-sigma events occurred in one week.

– Bonds
– Silver
– Gold

We are currently living through a statistical impossibility.

Let me explain:

Last Tuesday, Japanese 30-year debt recorded what’s called a “6-sigma” session.

2 days ago, silver did even better: it was at 5-sigma on the rally, then reached 6-sigma on the drop. IN A SINGLE SESSION.

Gold right now? It’s up 23% in less than a month. We’re getting very close to a 6-sigma event.

That’s three 6-sigma events in ONE WEEK.

To explain quickly: in finance, we measure price moves around an average using the standard deviation, which we call sigma.

1-sigma: mundane
2-sigma: common
3-sigma: becomes rare
4-sigma: exceptional
5-sigma: extremely rare
6-sigma: supposed to occur once in 500 million

Here are the 6-sigma-type episodes we saw previously:

– The october 1987 crash, 22% drop in 1 session
– March 2020 covid crash
– The swiss franc’s surge in january 2015
– WTI oil turning negative in april 2020

But we’ve never had 3 events occur in one week.

Do you see the point?

A 6-sigma event is almost NEVER triggered by a simple macro headline.

It almost always comes from the market’s structure: leverage, positions that are too concentrated, margin calls, collateral problems, and forced selling or buying.

That’s important to understand because we’re talking about internal strains in the system’s mechanics.

As you know, the Japanese bond market sits at the heart of the global financial system, and I won’t go back over the whole topic, but a 6-sigma move in a market that enormous doesn’t go unnoticed.

Seeing a 6-sigma move in silver a few days later gives one a lot to think about.

And now gold?? That’s absolutely insane.

Why are we seeing extreme statistical events, only days apart, in such different markets?

When a pillar of global funding becomes unstable, leverage tends to contract, and two things happen at the same time: forced selling in certain assets and forced buying of protection in others.

Historically, precious metals are often among the beneficiaries.

Long-term rates say something about the credibility of states: that is, their ability to honor future debts without resorting massively to inflation.

Precious metals say something about the credibility of the currency itself, and when both become unstable at the same time, we’re looking at a challenge to the monetary framework.

I won’t go on, because I want to share the rest in another tweet tomorrow, but generally when a regime starts to crack, the adjustments are BRUTAL.

It’s exactly in those moments that several high-sigma events appear across different asset classes.

I’ll repeat it: seeing three 6-sigma events back to back is not normal.

Gold and silver are telling you, explicitly, that we’re living through a real paradigm shift.

Remember, I’ve called every market top and bottom of the last 10 years.

When I make a new move, I’ll share it here publicly for everyone to see, and it’s coming soon.

A lot of people will wish they followed me sooner.

$PIPPIN $SOMI $HYPE

And it's already happening RIGHT NOW!

USD lost about 13% of its value during 2025.

Why? Because they've lost the lead.

That one fact explains a lot.

Because when the currency bleeds like that, everything else is just the next chapter.

Shutdown.
Debt.
Repo stress.
De dollarization.

It's all connected.

Now look at what's happening.

The government is days away from a shutdown, and the White House is in chaos.

Why? Because they lost control AGAIN.

They hate what they can't control, and they know there's no clean fix for the mess that's building.

They'll try to feed you the usual line that "everything is fine".

But people don't buy it anymore.

Lies only work for so long.

And when the truth finally hits, the crash will be far more violent than if they'd been honest from the start.

THE PATTERNS ARE SCREAMING 2008

The Fed's emergency repo facility just spiked.
Private lenders are getting tight with each other again.
That's exactly how it looked before Lehman.

The S&P 500 to gold ratio just broke a key support level.
The last time we saw that, risk got smoked.

The Sahm Rule is back in the danger zone.
End of 2025 was already flirting with 0.35% to 0.50%.

THE MATH DOES NOT ADD UP

Over $800B in commercial real estate debt matures this year.
Rates are still high, and the buildings are worth way less than the loans.
Banks are already pushing this risk out the back door for cheap.

Now add the chaos at the top.

On January 11, 2026, the DOJ opened a criminal investigation into Powell over his testimony on the $2.5B Fed renovations.
Powell's calling it punishment for resisting the White House on rates.

Meanwhile, consumers are cracking.

Credit card delinquencies 90+ days past due are hitting levels not seen since 2011.
Auto loans and credit cards are sliding into serious delinquency.
Some reports show total household debt around $18.5T into late 2025 and early 2026.

And businesses aren't safe either.

Bankruptcy filings are up around 12% year over year going into 2026.
Middle market companies are staring at a wall of debt they can't refinance at these rates.

But the real story is de dollarization.

The USD used to be the undisputed reserve.
Now, in 2026, most trade between Russia, China, and India is settled without it.

With the government unable to handle $1T in interest payments, they're trapped.
Inflate it away, or let the system break.

Basically, THEY HAVE NO PLAN.

I'm not trying to scare you.
I'm warning you so you can survive it.

If you're smart, this is your one shot at generational wealth.

BUT YOU MUST GET RID OF YOUR USD.

The biggest wealth transfer in human history is coming FAST.

I did my job by warning you.
The rest is up to you.

I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.

Follow and turn notifications on.

I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

$RIVER $HYPE $BNB

For the first time since 2011, the Fed is officially doing a market-stabilizing operation.

But last time they did it, markets crashed 30%.

Forget tariffs.
Forget gold and silver.

This is the REAL issue no one's telling you about:

The U.S. is stepping up to buy Yen.
They’re trying to save Japan… by crashing the dollar.

And that means one thing:
Intentional USD devaluation.

WHY THIS MATTERS (A LOT)

→ Japan’s bond yields are at multi-decade highs
→ The Yen keeps collapsing

That’s not normal.
It means the system is breaking.

And when markets break…
The Fed steps in to fix them.

Last week, the NY Fed did rate checks on USD/JPY.
That’s the exact step taken before real intervention.

No action yet.
But markets already moved.
Because history remembers.

THIS HAS HAPPENED BEFORE

1985. Plaza Accord.

The dollar was too strong.
US exports were dying.
Trade deficits were exploding.

So the US, Japan, Germany, France, and the UK made a deal:
→ Sell dollars
→ Buy other currencies
→ Weaken USD on purpose

The result:
→ Dollar index: -50%
→ USD/JPY: 260 → 120
→ Yen: Doubled

One of the biggest currency resets in modern history.

Why it worked?
Because when governments coordinate in FX…
Markets don’t fight them.
They follow.

We saw it again in 1998.
Japan alone failed.
US + Japan together succeeded.

The US sells dollars → buys Yen.

That means:
→ Dollar weakens
→ Liquidity rises
→ Global assets reprice

This is how it always works.

It sounds bullish at first.
BUT THERE’S A CATCH…

Stocks are already at All-Time Highs.
Gold is already at All-Time Highs.
Everyone’s already sitting on big profits.

And there’s still hundreds of billions tied up in the Yen carry trade.

When the Yen strengthens too fast:
→ Forced selling happens
→ Risk assets puke first

We saw it in August 2024:

A tiny BOJ move → Yen up → Bitcoin -23% in 6 days
$600B wiped from crypto.

Yen strength = short-term risk
Dollar weakness = long-term upside

Get ready for the most volatile market of our lifetime.

I’ve been calling major tops and bottoms for over 10 years.

I warned you before, and I’ll warn you again soon.

Follow and turn on notifications before it’s too late.

A lot of people will wish they paid attention earlier.
$HYPE $BTR $RIVER