Everyone is betting that Bitcoin will soar after the rate cut tomorrow, but I advise you to stay calm—because the market has already priced in a 100% rate cut! What can really stir up a huge wave now are these two things:
Will the Federal Reserve announce 'money printing' (balance sheet expansion plan)?
Will Powell adopt a hawkish or dovish stance?
My judgment is: the expansion of the balance sheet may land in March (specifically depending on the economic situation), and Powell will likely adopt a hawkish stance, lowering expectations for a rate cut in January. The only variable is whether 'money printing' will happen earlier—if it does, the market will truly go crazy.
Looking at the technical side: Bitcoin has already surged to the upper trend line, and resistance is very heavy. The benefits of interest rate cuts may very well mark the beginning of a correction. Therefore, I choose to layout long-term short positions with low multiples and in batches, waiting for market sentiment to recede.
As for the opportunity to copycat:
ZEC has rebounded from 300 to the first line of defense at 420, but I placed a short order at 450-460; if it comes, I short; if not, I remain calm.
BCH has again retreated from the strong resistance at 600; we shorted from here to 550 last week, and we will continue to enter the market this time, looking short-term towards around 560. For the long term, the downside space remains considerable—just like ZEC, the 'dog fund' will always attract enough bulls, then turn around and harvest.
In the past few weeks, our layout has basically been profitable, and the key is: understand the position in advance, do not chase highs, just ambush.
But the more it requires 'precise ambush' in the market, the more I will do one thing: convert part of the profits into @usddio. Why? Because the market is betting on every word and date from the Federal Reserve, while @usddio offers stability that does not rely on any policy expectations. It does not depend on interest rate cuts for celebration, nor does it fear Powell's hawkishness; its value is anchored in on-chain verifiable full reserves—this is the 'underlying safety' that transcends all news.
While others lose sleep over whether tomorrow will rise or fall, part of my assets is already resting in a safe place. In a bull market, you can ignore it, but in a volatile market and during a trend change—it is your confidence to continue 'lying in ambush.'
#USDD以稳见信 It's not about joining the crowd; it’s about maintaining certainty amid uncertainty. How will you layout tomorrow? Let's chat in the comments.
@USDD - Decentralized USD #USDD以稳见信
