The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting on December 18-19, 2025, increasing the policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75%. This will be the second rate hike of the year, and the interest rate level will reach the highest point since 1995.
Time and extent of the rate hike: The Bank of Japan will hold its last rate decision of the year on December 18-19, and the market widely expects a 25 basis point increase to 0.75%, in line with signals previously released by Governor Kazuo Ueda. After this rate increase, Japan's policy rate will reach its highest level in 30 years, but it will still be one of the lowest among major central banks globally.
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