Bitcoin's "Death Cross" reappears! But historical data reveals an astonishing truth: this is usually a lagging signal, not an apocalypse prophecy!📉

VanEck Digital Asset Research Director Matthew Sigel's latest data shows that since 2011, every time Bitcoin has experienced a "Death Cross" (the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average), the median return over the next 6 months was +30%, and over 12 months as high as +89%. The signal itself does not determine rises or falls; the key is what market cycle you are in.

💡 Core Insight: During the "bottoming phase" (such as in 2015 and 2023), the Death Cross is a classic lagging indicator, often occurring when prices have already stabilized and rebounded, resulting in significant subsequent gains. However, in a "structural bear market" (like in 2018 and 2022), it confirms a continued downward trend. The current cycle is marked as "New System After ETF Listing," with significant returns in historical similar situations.

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