On December 19, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points. This matter has basically been a given, but the key is not whether to raise or not, but whether tonight's move is a preemptive strike on expectations?

A brief review of the signals given by history:

In the previous three rate hike cycles by the Bank of Japan, Bitcoin did not respond well: March 2024: BTC pulled back about 24%

July 2024: BTC pulled back about 30%

January 2025: BTC pulled back about 32%

Once is a coincidence, three times is a pattern. So the question arises, will there be a historical repeat in December 2025?

Currently, the most dangerous point in the market is not the news itself, but that many people have already assumed that the bad news has been fully priced in and are starting to go all in! Going all in is essentially not a form of wisdom, but a gamble on being overly enthusiastic! Essentially, going all in is no different from gambling $ETH $BTC #巨鲸动向 #美国非农数据超预期