Family! Last night when the CPI data was released, did anyone find themselves sweating while watching the market? Let me reassure my anxious friends, this data didn't cause a big stir, but the "diving performance" of Bitcoin has instead clarified the direction for what’s coming next!
As someone who has been watching the market for 8 years, I must say that yesterday's market was simply a textbook example of "long and short battle live." When the U.S. stock market opened, Bitcoin suddenly surged, perfectly aligning with my bullish prediction from the day before. At that time, many fans reported joy in the background, saying they made a small profit by following along. But before the excitement could fade, the bulls deflated like a punctured balloon, unable to withstand the overhead pressure, and ended up giving back the space they had gained.
Let's analyze the K-line and have a good chat about the essentials. On the four-hour chart, when the price hit the upper band, it was heavily pressed down, a typical pressure point signal; looking at the daily chart, it faced resistance when testing the middle band, and finally closed with a long upper shadow, like a "lightning rod", directly falling back to the starting point of the rise. This wave of movement clearly tells us: the bearish power is much stronger than imagined, so don't be fooled by the temporary surge.
Based on this judgment, my personal trading thought process has shifted from "wait and see" to "rebounds layout". In simple terms, it means "don't chase the rise, wait for a rebound before taking action". I'll clearly mark the specific levels for everyone, all of which I have repeatedly calculated:
First, when the price rebounds to the 87200-87600 range, we can enter in batches to make a downward layout, initially targeting the key level of 85000. If it can stabilize below, there may be more room to look farther. Here, I want to remind you, don't go all in at once; entering in batches can help manage the risk.
Second, if the price pulls back to the 86000-85700 area, it can be an opportunity to catch a short-term long position, with a target around 87500. This is a "pullback accumulation" opportunity, just be quick in and out, don't be greedy.
Some may ask, is the CPI data useless? Actually, it's not that it's useless, it's that the market has already digested the expectations in advance, and now the K-line pattern and capital flow are more reliable. I often say, in trading, don't rely on guessing, rely on "signals to speak". Yesterday's long upper shadow was a clear signal from the bears; following the signal is always better than guessing blindly.
Lastly, let's be practical, the market has been volatile recently, whether making a profit or a loss, don't be overly emotional. My long-time followers know that I never give ambiguous opinions, each time I make the logic and levels clear. If you find this analysis useful, hurry up and follow me @帝王说币 #加密市场观察 $BTC
