$ETH Ethereum Today's and Tomorrow's Trends: CPI Determines Direction, Rate Hike Determines Magnitude
Today's Trend (CPI Day): Waiting for Direction
· Before the data release, market sentiment is extremely fearful, with ETH expected to fluctuate weakly between $2,800 and $3,000, waiting for direction.
· Within one hour after the data release, the market will be extremely volatile, and false breakouts are likely to occur; it is essential to stay away from high leverage and remain cautious.
Tomorrow's Trend (Rate Hike Day): Grounded Game
· Scenario 1 (Bad News Fully Priced In): If both events do not have worse-than-expected bad news, ETH may start a technical rebound from the $2,800 support level, targeting $3,000 - $3,080.
· Scenario 2 (Double Bad News Pressure): If macro pressure continues, be wary of the $2,800 support failing. If it effectively breaks down, it may accelerate the decline towards the $2,716 or even $2,630 region.
Key Operations:
1. Risk Control First: During the event period, it is essential to maintain a light position and set hard stop losses.
2. Right-Side Trading: Wait for the market to choose a direction (stabilizing at $3,000 or breaking below $2,800) before taking action in the direction of the trend, avoiding blindly bottom-fishing or chasing shorts during volatility.
