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⚠️ ETH Market Warning: Interest Rate Cuts Bring Benefits, Why Are Major Players Fleeing in Droves?
$ETH
📉 Core Data Overview
· Current Price: $3,198 | 24-Hour Decline: -3.78%
· Technical Breakdown: Has broken through key mid-range support ($3,228), MACD turns negative, and downward momentum strengthens.
· Funding Reality: Overall net outflow of funds, with a 5-day net outflow by major players reaching 170,731 ETH; smart money is withdrawing.
· Macro Reaction: After the interest rate cut, instead of rising, it falls, with the “good news fully priced in” scenario unfolding.
🎯 Key Judgment
The market is dominated by bears, and the clearest danger signal is the continuous exit of major funds.
🛡️ Operational Strategy
· If you hold positions: Risk management comes first. If it effectively breaks below $3,167, consider reducing positions/stopping losses. If the rebound cannot stabilize above $3,230, it presents a risk management opportunity.
· If you are flat/lightly positioned: Avoid catching the falling knife. Patiently wait for right-side signals, such as the price reclaiming $3,300 and the flow of funds returning to net inflow.
👀 Keep a Close Eye on Two Points
1. Indicator: Can the “large order net inflow” data turn from negative to positive?
2. Key Levels: Support at $3,167 → $3,040, resistance at $3,230 → $3,350.
---
Forward Reminder: Data does not lie, and the movements of major players are key. Protecting the principal is crucial until the trend is clear.
Like and follow for more real-time on-chain data interpretations.
$ETH
📉 Core Data Overview
· Current Price: $3,198 | 24-Hour Decline: -3.78%
· Technical Breakdown: Has broken through key mid-range support ($3,228), MACD turns negative, and downward momentum strengthens.
· Funding Reality: Overall net outflow of funds, with a 5-day net outflow by major players reaching 170,731 ETH; smart money is withdrawing.
· Macro Reaction: After the interest rate cut, instead of rising, it falls, with the “good news fully priced in” scenario unfolding.
🎯 Key Judgment
The market is dominated by bears, and the clearest danger signal is the continuous exit of major funds.
🛡️ Operational Strategy
· If you hold positions: Risk management comes first. If it effectively breaks below $3,167, consider reducing positions/stopping losses. If the rebound cannot stabilize above $3,230, it presents a risk management opportunity.
· If you are flat/lightly positioned: Avoid catching the falling knife. Patiently wait for right-side signals, such as the price reclaiming $3,300 and the flow of funds returning to net inflow.
👀 Keep a Close Eye on Two Points
1. Indicator: Can the “large order net inflow” data turn from negative to positive?
2. Key Levels: Support at $3,167 → $3,040, resistance at $3,230 → $3,350.
---
Forward Reminder: Data does not lie, and the movements of major players are key. Protecting the principal is crucial until the trend is clear.
Like and follow for more real-time on-chain data interpretations.
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1. Interest rate cut of 25 basis points (most likely scenario)
· Result: In line with expectations, may experience fluctuations after a short-term surge.
· Logic: This is the baseline scenario currently priced in by the market. The announcement will confirm the beginning of the easing cycle, boosting risk sentiment, and ETH will likely experience a rapid short-term increase. However, since this has already been digested by the market, if there are no further surprises, the upward momentum may be hard to sustain, followed by high-level fluctuations or slight declines, waiting for the next catalyst.
2. Interest rate cut of 50 basis points (greater-than-expected easing)
· Result: Major positive news, initiating a strong upward trend.
· Logic: This magnitude far exceeds market expectations, demonstrating the Federal Reserve's strong determination to combat recession, leading to a sharp increase in liquidity. This will trigger a frenzy in global risk assets, with significant funds flowing into the cryptocurrency market. ETH will experience a violent surge, likely easily breaking previous highs and initiating a new upward cycle.
3. No interest rate cut (maintaining rates)
· Result: Major negative news, likely to result in a significant drop.
· Logic: This indicates that the Federal Reserve believes inflation remains stubborn, and high rates will persist longer. This will completely undermine the market's optimistic expectations, leading to a sell-off due to "disappointment." The dollar will strengthen, and risk assets will be sold off comprehensively. ETH will face tremendous downward pressure, likely breaking key support levels and entering a deep correction.
Key takeaway:
Market reactions depend not only on the decision itself but also on the comparison between the decision and market expectations. The direction of "greater-than-expected" is the root cause of drastic price fluctuations. $ETH
· Result: In line with expectations, may experience fluctuations after a short-term surge.
· Logic: This is the baseline scenario currently priced in by the market. The announcement will confirm the beginning of the easing cycle, boosting risk sentiment, and ETH will likely experience a rapid short-term increase. However, since this has already been digested by the market, if there are no further surprises, the upward momentum may be hard to sustain, followed by high-level fluctuations or slight declines, waiting for the next catalyst.
2. Interest rate cut of 50 basis points (greater-than-expected easing)
· Result: Major positive news, initiating a strong upward trend.
· Logic: This magnitude far exceeds market expectations, demonstrating the Federal Reserve's strong determination to combat recession, leading to a sharp increase in liquidity. This will trigger a frenzy in global risk assets, with significant funds flowing into the cryptocurrency market. ETH will experience a violent surge, likely easily breaking previous highs and initiating a new upward cycle.
3. No interest rate cut (maintaining rates)
· Result: Major negative news, likely to result in a significant drop.
· Logic: This indicates that the Federal Reserve believes inflation remains stubborn, and high rates will persist longer. This will completely undermine the market's optimistic expectations, leading to a sell-off due to "disappointment." The dollar will strengthen, and risk assets will be sold off comprehensively. ETH will face tremendous downward pressure, likely breaking key support levels and entering a deep correction.
Key takeaway:
Market reactions depend not only on the decision itself but also on the comparison between the decision and market expectations. The direction of "greater-than-expected" is the root cause of drastic price fluctuations. $ETH
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Does the issuance of the token @Binance BiBi leverage the traffic of Cogo Academy? What about other behaviors?
It turns out there are really projects being implemented, looks like I need to stock up on some coins! $GIGGLE
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@Binance BiBi What is the project of this token?
It turns out there are really projects being implemented, looks like I need to stock up on some coins! $GIGGLE
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@Binance BiBi What is the significance of the tokens he sent?
It turns out there are really projects being implemented, looks like I need to stock up on some coins! $GIGGLE
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@Binance BiBi Is the above image related to a project party, is there any association?
It turns out there are really projects being implemented, looks like I need to stock up on some coins! $GIGGLE
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It turns out there are really projects being implemented, looks like I need to stock up on some coins! $GIGGLE
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How to join your posts?
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The 1000 contract grid is not bad, producing 7u a day
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Is there anyone to play with me?
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Does this kind of activity package include travel expenses?
财经悟空pro
--
Went to Dubai, all the way sent
#BinanceBlockchainWeek
#加密市场回调 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH
#BinanceBlockchainWeek
#加密市场回调 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH
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Half of the previous low
$ETH
As soon as it hits the afternoon, it just consolidates. That big bearish candle in the morning has trapped so many bulls, and now the bulls are in a tough spot; I feel sorry for you.
Can I continue to aim for over $20,000 before exiting? After all, I went from a $5,000 profit to $12,000 in just 15 minutes, and I still have a lot of confidence.
As soon as it hits the afternoon, it just consolidates. That big bearish candle in the morning has trapped so many bulls, and now the bulls are in a tough spot; I feel sorry for you.
Can I continue to aim for over $20,000 before exiting? After all, I went from a $5,000 profit to $12,000 in just 15 minutes, and I still have a lot of confidence.
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Still can't get up for work
The flowers are endless, multiple orders take profit, starting to layout a big market tonight, don't miss it everyone
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Fake
Quoted content has been removed
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Understood
It should be like this
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Happy New Year
天晴ETH
--
The New Year is coming again
Everyone wants to have a good New Year
Don't forget these project parties and market makers
Also want to have a good New Year; liquidity will be much worse
So keep your own wallet safe
Nothing more to say, wishing everyone a Happy New Year in advance
Everyone wants to have a good New Year
Don't forget these project parties and market makers
Also want to have a good New Year; liquidity will be much worse
So keep your own wallet safe
Nothing more to say, wishing everyone a Happy New Year in advance
See original
Happy New Year
天晴ETH
--
The New Year is coming again
Everyone wants to have a good New Year
Don't forget these project parties and market makers
Also want to have a good New Year; liquidity will be much worse
So keep your own wallet safe
Nothing more to say, wishing everyone a Happy New Year in advance
Everyone wants to have a good New Year
Don't forget these project parties and market makers
Also want to have a good New Year; liquidity will be much worse
So keep your own wallet safe
Nothing more to say, wishing everyone a Happy New Year in advance
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Run away and shout
天晴ETH
--
Look for a little longer, short lines can run at any time
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Good morning, how about ETH?
币圈科长
--
Good morning, friends! According to this week's script, today is the opportunity to short!
I will share our rebate group's strategy for your reference: the big pie here at 919-924 is a good point to consider for shorting; if you can accept a larger stop loss at 910-915, you can open some positions!
For the take profit here, we will directly aim for next Tuesday to explore 8.4-8.3w for staggered take profit, and the stop loss only needs to be set above with the hourly close above 935! The risk-reward ratio is excellent!
If you get stopped out, please be gentle with your comments. The purpose of long-term trading is to cultivate your mindset for making big profits! $BTC #加密市场反弹
I will share our rebate group's strategy for your reference: the big pie here at 919-924 is a good point to consider for shorting; if you can accept a larger stop loss at 910-915, you can open some positions!
For the take profit here, we will directly aim for next Tuesday to explore 8.4-8.3w for staggered take profit, and the stop loss only needs to be set above with the hourly close above 935! The risk-reward ratio is excellent!
If you get stopped out, please be gentle with your comments. The purpose of long-term trading is to cultivate your mindset for making big profits! $BTC #加密市场反弹
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