TRON network activity is surging thanks to stablecoin payments and increasing active addresses, but the price of TRX is still in a correction phase and facing selling pressure.
The divergence between 'adoption' and price movements makes TRON a case worth watching: network usage metrics and USDT transfers continue to improve, while the technical structure of TRX remains tilted towards a bearish trend.
MAIN CONTENT
The average weekly active addresses of TRON have continuously increased since 09/2023, notably bouncing back sharply from 04/2025.
Long-term USDT transfers have increased, although October saw a drop from 774.94 billion USD to 699.4 billion USD.
TVL has a positive delta recently, but the price of TRX is still adjusting and there are risks around the support area of 0.245 USD.
Adoption of TRON is increasing while the price of TRX is adjusting
On-chain data shows that the level of TRON usage continues to expand, but the price of TRX is still in a retracement phase and has not reflected the improvement of network metrics.
CryptoQuant's data shows that the average weekly number of active addresses on the TRON network has gradually increased since 09/2023. Notably, the uptrend from 04/2025 has formed a continuous upward trend over several months, which has not been broken.
In addition to active addresses, stablecoin transfers also reinforce the adoption story. The monthly USDT transfer volume has shown an upward trend over the years, although October recorded a short-term decrease from 774.94 billion USD to 699.4 billion USD.
The aggregation of these metrics indicates that TRON remains a popular choice for stablecoin settlement, supporting increased network acceptance, even when token prices have not aligned.
In derivative tracking scenarios like perpetual contracts (OI, funding, liquidation) and leveraged trading behavior around TRX, BingX can be a reference point to observe market sentiment in real-time, thereby cross-referencing with on-chain signals about adoption.
Positive TVL delta is a positive signal but does not guarantee a price reversal
TVL showing short-term improvement may accompany price increases, but history shows that TRX can still stagnate or decrease even if TVL rises.
TVL delta has shown positive changes over the past two weeks, regarded as another signal of adoption. In previous phases, a positive TVL delta often accompanied price increases, notably the uptrend in 07/2025.
However, TVL can still increase while the price of TRX only accumulates or fluctuates within a narrow range. Therefore, this metric does not create a 'commitment' that an uptrend will immediately form but requires further confirmation from cash flow and price structure.
TRX has slipped below the 365-day moving average and important MAs are weakening
Moving averages confirm the downtrend: TRX has fallen below the 365-day MA, while the 50DMA and 100DMA continue to slope down due to the downward momentum since September.
On the price temperature chart, TRON has slipped below the 365-day moving average. At the same time, other notable moving averages like the 50DMA and 100DMA are also gradually decreasing, reflecting the downward momentum since 09.
The bearish structure on the 1-day frame shows that selling pressure still dominates
TRX has formed a series of lower lows and is under prolonged selling pressure; the deep retracement helps explain why adoption is increasing but prices remain weak.
The 1-day price chart shows a downward trend in recent months characterized by 'lower lows'. The uptrend from March is used to draw Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating that TRON is undergoing a deep retracement phase.
The contradiction between increasing adoption and weak prices is more evident when TRX faces prolonged selling pressure, as shown by OBV. Notably, this pressure does not necessarily stem from the fundamental factors of the network but may arise from market behavior and trading positions.
Conclusion
TRON remains strong in stablecoin payments and increasing active addresses, but current technical signals do not show sufficient demand to reverse the price trend.
The TRON network continues to be a top choice for stablecoin payments, while the number of active addresses continues to rise.
These positive indicators are not enough to create sustainable demand for TRX, and the price is likely to slide back to the support area of 0.245 USD.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is the adoption of TRON increasing but the price of TRX still decreasing?
Adoption reflects the level of network usage (active addresses, stablecoin transfers), while the price of TRX is heavily influenced by market supply and demand, technical structure, and selling pressure. Therefore, positive network metrics do not guarantee an immediate price increase.
Is the decrease in monthly USDT transfers on TRON a cause for concern?
The decline in October is a short-term pullback in the context of a multi-year uptrend still in place. It is necessary to monitor whether the decline will last for several months or is just a cyclical fluctuation.
Is positive TVL delta a buy signal for TRX?
Positive TVL delta is a sign of improved participation in the ecosystem, sometimes accompanying price increases. However, TRX can still accumulate or decrease even if TVL increases, so further confirmation is needed from price structure and cash flow.
What does the 0.245 USD mark mean for TRX?
This is the support area mentioned as the price point that could be tested if selling pressure continues. Investors often monitor price reactions at support to assess the likelihood of maintaining the trend or breaking it.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/tron-tang-truong-nhu-cau-trx-van-yeu/
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