#巨鲸地址大量买入ETH开启新阶段 $ETH
- December 15-20, large whales concentrated in increasing their holdings of ETH, signaling a medium-term bullish outlook, with a target range of $3200-3300, and key risk control looking at whether $2900 can stabilize.
Key buying data from whales (as of December 21, 02:00)
1. #66kETHBorrow whale (December 15): Bought 38,576 ETH from Binance, worth approximately $119.3 million, with a total cost of around $3093; current total holdings of 528,624 ETH, valued at approximately $1.63 billion.
2. Swing whale (December 20, 20:30): Two addresses bought 5,678 ETH at an average price of $2985.7 within an hour, spending $16.95 million, initiating a new round of swing positioning.
3. Other significant movements: On December 19, a whale purchased 4,599 ETH within the day (approximately $13.2 million), while also adding a 20x short position, which is a hedging operation.
Underlying logic and market impact
- Drivers: Expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, increased on-chain activity for ETH, and institutional positioning for ETF expectations.
- Impact: Decrease in ETH balances on exchanges, reduced selling pressure, increased medium-term concentration of chips, supporting price recovery.
Trading strategy (can be executed directly)
1. Direction: Short-term bullish, medium-term accumulation in batches during pullbacks.
2. Entry: Stabilize and enter when pulled back to the $2950-3000 range.
3. Stop-loss: Exit if it falls below $2900 (below the cost of the whale on December 20).
4. Take profit: First target at $3200, second target at $3300.
5. Risk control: Single position not exceeding 20% of total capital, avoid high leverage.
