#BTC走势分析
1. K-line pattern:
- In recent days, the K-line has shown a trend of oscillating downward, with prices gradually pulling back from the highs, but the volatility has narrowed.
- On December 19, a long upper shadow appeared, indicating heavy selling pressure above; the K-line bodies over the following two days were relatively small, reflecting a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market.
2. Technical indicators:
- MACD: Both DIF and DEA are operating below the zero axis, and DIF shows a slight upward turning signal, indicating a weakening of short-term bearish strength.
- RSI: The current RSI is 43.95, in the neutral to weak zone, not entering the oversold area, indicating insufficient rebound momentum.
- EMA: The price is currently hovering around EMA7 (87890.73), but still below EMA30 (90574.49) and EMA120 (100646.85), with the overall trend still bearish.
3. Trading volume:
- Recent trading volume has significantly shrunk, dropping from 21257 on December 19 to 4783 on the 21st, indicating a decline in market activity.
- Volume spikes occurred during the large fluctuations on December 18 and 19, followed by a contraction, suggesting a temporary standoff between bulls and bears.
【Price Levels】
- Buy Point One: 87000 (close to the previous low of 87600, strong support at the round number, and near the EMA7 moving average, likely to form a short-term rebound)
- Buy Point Two: 86000 (above the lowest point of December 18 at 84450, an important support area and a round number)
- Long Stop-Loss Point: 85500 (slightly below the lowest point of December 18 at 84450, if this level is broken, the trend may weaken further)
- Sell Point One: 89000 (close to the recent high of 89081, clear pressure at the round number, and MACD has not fully turned strong yet)
- Sell Point Two: 90000 (a major round number, has seen selling pressure multiple times historically, with strong resistance)
- Short Stop-Loss Point: 90500 (slightly above the EMA30 moving average of 90757 and the highest point of December 20 at 88573, breaking this level indicates a weakening of bearish strength)
