The current market can be summed up in one sentence: Everything is in place, just waiting for the breakthrough! Whether it’s mainstream coins or potential alpha coins, the opportunities and risks are all laid out for you!
BTC: Adjustment in place, the breakthrough is imminent.
BTC has already adjusted for a month, and now the EMA20 moving average is starting to flatten out, plus the daily lows have been consistently rising—this is a typical accumulation signal, indicating it has the ability to break through at any moment!
Focus closely on the resistance level around 89600! As long as it can effectively break through this position, the room for an upward rebound will be completely opened up, and then you can just follow the trend.
ETH: The bullish outlook remains unchanged! Waiting for a pullback to enter is more prudent.
After ETH broke the descending channel, it has been consolidating sideways; I initially thought it was 'waiting for a drop' to digest indicators, but the small-level indicators were all digested over the weekend, and the price didn't drop at all, even the pullback was minimal.
I initially planned to enter long below 2930, but the lowest point only reached around 2943U, and I didn't end up entering long, so I'm not worried. Here, I still see a bullish outlook; after the small-level indicators are digested, the upward momentum has returned, and it could accelerate at any time.
However, considering the risks, I plan to wait for a pullback before entering; the target range remains the 2930-2900 area, which is relatively safer to enter. My view is the same as before: either take off directly or pull back and then take off; anyway, I choose to wait for a pullback to enter long.
Another key signal: The selling pressure above ETH has basically been worn off, and the short-term price is slowly rising, which indicates a strong bullish trend! So don't rush to short; the next target is likely the 3170-3200 range.
Current profitable sectors: Only focus on alpha + contracts!
The differentiation in the crypto circle is particularly obvious now; there are only two sectors that can really make money: alpha coins and contracts. The profit effect in the secondary and primary markets is decreasing, so don't just join the crowd.
Coins like $GUN, $LISA, $RTX will continue to rise; also, contract coins like $LIGHT can increase fourfold in a day and then crash back, though the volatility is high, there are also many opportunities (beginners should be cautious).
On the other hand, in the secondary market, $UNI has destroyed 100 million coins, accounting for 15.8%, and it only rose more than 20%, which is really disappointing. Moreover, the on-chain funds have also been relatively depleted recently; don't mess around in the secondary market.
SOL: After the rebound, it still needs to explore downwards; these two positions can be shorted.
The 15-day MACD fast line of SOL has already hit zero; it is likely to have a rebound this week, but after the rebound, it will still need to continue to explore new lows.
Key attention on two short positions: The biggest resistance this week is 134U, which is the previous peak from the rebound at 116U; you can focus on shorting near 133.85U, as this position has the highest short-term risk-reward ratio; the next short point is around 131.5U.
AAVE: Is the bottom-fishing opportunity here? I have already made a move.
Last night there was a big news: the second-largest holder sold 230,000 AAVE at a loss in the early morning, worth 38 million USD, directly causing AAVE to drop by 12%. I have already bought some spot at the current price and plan to slowly bottom-fish for three very practical reasons:
The SEC's four-year investigation has ended, which has directly improved Aave's credibility in institutional and compliance aspects, considered a major positive;
The proposal for 'AAVE token alignment' that impacts the entire DeFi governance paradigm has sparked community controversy, but in the long run, it optimizes the ecosystem;
The official announcement of the three strategic pillars for 2026 has a grand vision, and the data is also good. As a blue-chip coin, Aave has a sound plan for future development; just waiting for the subsequent efforts.
Binance ALPHA token classification: Don't buy blindly! Refer to this article to avoid pitfalls.
Finally, let me summarize the classification of Binance ALPHA tokens; different types of plays are completely different, so don't rush in with your eyes closed.
Strong consensus and strong heat type: For example, $RARE, $NIGHT, these belong to value investment and are suitable for long-term holding;
Low market value opening type: For example, $CYS, $ZKP, private placements need to rally to break even, and there are short-term explosive opportunities;
High control rally explosive contract type: For example, $PIPPIN, $LIGHT, purely speculative plays, you have to outsmart the big players, beginners should avoid touching;
Trash project type: Once listed on ALPHA + BG, they start dumping, continuing to fall, these are classified as garbage coins, don't even touch them!
To summarize: 1. Types 1 and 2 can be focused on, 3 should be approached with caution, and 4 should be blacklisted. There are many opportunities in the current market, but don't be greedy; focusing on what you understand is the safest!
