Today, I won't talk about complex theories; instead, I'll use hard-earned lessons to break down the cognitive bomb that instantly enlightened me—newbies die from predictions, veterans win by following.
Part One: Your 'diligence' may be the source of losses.
Are you like this too?
Staying up late to watch the market, seeing all analysts' opinions.
A screen full of technical lines, firmly believing this time it will definitely work.
As soon as the news breaks, I immediately imagine a script of soaring and plummeting.
Stop! This is the 'newbie trap': using tactical diligence to cover up strategic laziness.
The market is not a math problem; there is no standard answer. When you get obsessed with predicting the next rise or fall, you have already lost at the starting line. Veterans have long seen through it: the essence of the market is a chaotic system, influenced by emotions, policies, and unexpected events, the only certainty is its uncertainty.
Does it hurt? It should. Acknowledging the impotence of prediction is the first step to making money.
Part two: "Unmeasured but measured": The dimensional reduction tactics of top traders
What overturned me the most in this article are these four words——unmeasured but measured
It is not about letting you lie flat, but about upgrading you from a "gambler" to a "strategist".
Old thinking (gambler):
I think it will rise to 5000 points! → Bet all in and then pray.
New thinking (strategist):
If it breaks above 3000, I will increase my position according to plan A; if it breaks below 2800, I will cut losses according to plan B. → Write all scripts in advance and wait for the market to choose by itself.
The core is: Shift from predicting results to managing possibilities
It's like playing chess, masters don't think about what to do next, but consider all branches ten steps ahead. You don't need to guess right, just decisively pull the trigger when the market presents a pattern you recognize.
Part three: Cultivating the mind is greater than refining the skill: cutting off two attachments
The deep reason for losing money is often not that the technique is poor, but that the inner demons remain. The two attachments mentioned in the article, I would call the ceiling of investment mindset:
1️⃣ Breaking my attachment: Forget about your account's profit and loss and your self-esteem.
Wrong demonstration: As soon as I sold, it went up, is the main force watching me? (Too much drama!)
Correct mindset: When the signal appears, execute; when the signal disappears, retreat.
The market never cares about your cost price, your emotions are worthless in front of K-lines
2️⃣ Breaking the attachment of the law: There is no technical indicator that is a forever holy grail.
Wrong demonstration: A golden cross must rise, this time I go all in! (History won't simply repeat itself)
Correct mindset: The method is just a tool, the market changes, and I change
Be loyal to your system, not to any indicator.
Cultivating a stable core is more important than learning 100 kinds of technical patterns.
Part four: Newbies' counterattack: Three steps to create a follow-up profit system
Understanding the principle, how to implement it? Remember this action framework:
Define your trend signal (simple!):
For example: When the price stabilizes above the 20-day moving average + volume increases, it is a signal of an upward trend.
Write down clear rules to avoid impulsive decisions during trading.
Execute like a machine (against human nature!):
Arrived at the point, close your eyes and act.
Profit and loss are just the results; execution is your homework.
Accept that most of the time is spent waiting (the hardest!):
The market is in disorderly fluctuations 70% of the time
Patience is not a virtue, it is a core competitiveness
Remember this sentence:
Beginners seek opportunities in fantasy, while veterans wait for opportunities in reality
Top players always use rules to counter human nature and win the future with probability#比特币流动性 $BTC
