币圈雪雕

Once, I was also an executor under the banner of "high win rate."
Spent a lot of time repeatedly debugging indicators, hoping to create a trading system that is "infallible."

Whenever the report shows a win rate of 60% or even 70%, a sense of happiness and pride surges in my heart.
But the contradiction always exists: the win rate looks good, but the capital curve stagnates or even quietly retracts.

Only later did I realize that I may have long been trapped in the high win rate trap.

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🔴 First, the excessive fear of losses
⬇️ Once a position shows floating profit, anxiety follows, fearing the market reversal will swallow up profits and tarnish the win rate I cherish.

Profit and Loss are Originated from the Same Source
This is the correct trading philosophy

Profit and Loss being originated from the same source is a very core concept in the fields of investment and trading, revealing the inseparable relationship between profits and losses. In simple terms, it refers to your profits and losses often stemming from the same fundamental cause.
The table below can help you quickly grasp several key dimensions of this concept.
Core Dimension Basic Meaning
Strategy Originates from the Same Source The trading strategies, principles, or methods that lead to your profits are also the reasons for your losses.
Risk and Reward are Originated from the Same Source High returns inevitably come with high risks; you cannot expect high returns while rejecting high risks.

Mastering the underlying logic of trading: Besides the system and emotional control, the most important thing is to understand the market and go with the trend
There are always people asking: How can a regular beginner trade steadily? In fact, trading has no mystique; the core is just two things—understanding the market and closely following the trend, along with strict discipline!
Understanding the market: Finding 'profit signals' from candlesticks
The market is the 'barometer' of the market; every fluctuation conveys information:
• Beginners should first grasp the core: There's no need to memorize complex indicators; focus on candlestick patterns (like hammer candlesticks, double tops), the arrangement of moving averages (bullish arrangement is bullish, bearish arrangement is bearish), and changes in trading volume; synchronized volume and price is a reliable signal.

Total trading loss, can't stop scrolling short videos? It turns out the logic behind it is fundamentally the same.
Traders really understand too well! After losing 3 consecutive trades, they clearly said they would stop, but they stubbornly held onto the belief that 'the next trade will definitely make up for it,' resulting in even greater losses; originally planned to relax for 20 minutes watching short videos, but two hours passed before they realized it, feeling regret and panic...
Only later did I completely understand that these two seemingly unrelated things are essentially both trapped by emotions! Scrolling through short videos is out of fear of missing the next more exciting clip, and getting carried away in trading is out of fear of missing the market trend and wanting to recover previous losses. The core issue is 'greed' at play; once emotions take control, rationality is thrown out the window, and the whole person is led by instincts.

It is said that trading is 70% mindset and 30% skill
Only those who have truly taken the wrong path understand the blood and tears of this sentence
Today let's talk about how to build a scientific trading mindset

✨ Identity Transformation: Lesson One
Don't treat yourself as a gambler anymore!
Please see yourself as:
✔️ A calm and rational 'risk investment manager'
✔️ A 'systematic trader' who executes strictly
Every penny you manage is your asset

🎯 Core Mindset One: Probability Thinking
▪️ The market is not 100%
▪️ Accepting a single loss is very normal
▪️ Believe that your system has a positive expected value
▪️ Long-term persistence = stable profit

Simply put: Out of ten trades, you might lose seven

Brothers, doesn't it make your head spin when you see the winding K-line chart?😵
Don't panic! Today, Lin Qi is sharing all the valuable insights from his collection!～
Guaranteed to be simple and easy to understand, learn it quickly, and unlock new ways to read charts effortlessly!✨

🪄 【First, simplify the concepts】
Don't overthink the market!
We can imagine the market as a TV drama that updates every day:

📈 Rise = The protagonist’s aura explodes, leveling up and defeating monsters!
📉Drop = The protagonist is temporarily struggling, facing some trouble!
📊The K-line chart in the middle = Commercial break or next episode preview!

The longer you trade, the more you understand a truth:
It's never the market that causes us to lose,
but that uncontrollable self.

————————————
💔 The surface reasons seem numerous:
Misjudged the direction, missed the rhythm,
Insufficient skills, not enough experience…
After seeing too many people and stepping into too many pits,
I've found that 90% of people fail in the same place:

Can't help but

————————————
🕳️ Are you familiar with these scenarios?

▪️ Clearly decided to rest today
But when the K-line moves, someone in the group shouts a signal
You start to feel excited: "Is the opportunity coming?"

Guide to the reliability of breakout signals during trading hours ⏰
There are significant differences in market liquidity at different times; distinguish between true and false breakouts!

⛅ Morning session 8:00-12:00
▪️ Lower liquidity, easily influenced by a few funds
▪️ Market continuity is usually weak, with many false breakouts
➠ Suggestion: Exercise caution, not advisable to chase orders

🌍 European session 15:00-18:00
▪️ Market participation is gradually increasing
▪️ Signal quality is improving, but not fully active
➠ Suggestion: Keep observing, do not rush to enter

🇺🇸 US Market 20:00-24:00
▪️ Major funds are active, liquidity is sufficient
▪️ The time period with the highest probability of a true breakout

When I first started trading, I thought the market was a casino where winners relied on luck and courage due to my youthful arrogance.
Only after repeatedly being 'educated' by the account did I realize: top traders are not gamblers, but 'strategic programmers' who follow system instructions.

🔮 The true path to profit lies not in predicting the winds and clouds, but in building a sturdy ship that can withstand any storm.

Today, I will also share the four core components of building this 'ship' 👇

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1️⃣ From 'Commander' to 'Executor'
▫️ Your task is to execute, not to judge

1️⃣ Discipline
Can manage emotions rather than being driven by them. Strictly follow the trading plan and do not change it arbitrarily due to market fluctuations.

✨ Key performance:

· Stop loss decisively, without delay or taking chances.
· Avoid frequent trading and impulsive orders.
· Do not treat the trading account as a channel for venting emotions.

✨ Core concept:
A good trading state should be 'calm as water', rather than 'passionate and turbulent'.

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2️⃣ Patience and the ability to wait
Able to accept being in cash and good at waiting for the best opportunity.

✨ Specific embodiment:

· Endure the loneliness when the market has no trend.

Have you noticed that the more successful traders in the market are, the more silent and mysterious they are? They never flaunt their trades in groups, nor do they easily share their logic, and they certainly won't show you the 'weapons' they truly rely on. It's not that they are indifferent; it's that they know: profitable traders all have some unique traits that cannot be replicated but can change their fate.

First of all, the truly profitable traders are extremely counterintuitive.
When most people are impulsive, panicked, and greedy, they remain calm. They won't be swept away by a large bullish candle, nor will they deny the entire system because of a single drawdown. They understand that the essence of the market is probability, not emotion. Therefore, they do not give emotions a chance to make decisions—only let the system speak.

In trading, many people make short-term profits, but very few can survive long-term.

Why?
Because "making money" and "sustaining profit" are two completely different levels.

Many people mistakenly believe the challenge in trading lies in "finding the right direction," but the real challenge is actually in persistently doing the right thing.

Short-term profits depend on market sentiment, luck, and even momentary inspiration.

Long-term profitability relies on systems, strategic planning, mindset, and discipline—these tedious aspects that few are willing to cultivate.

Real traders never rely on "the next trade."

The fundamental purpose of the market is to facilitate transactions, making it easier for buyers and sellers to find counterparties. During this process, countless influencing factors may enter the market, but this does not affect the market's direction. The nature of market fluctuations over weeks or months is essentially a search for fair prices and a testing of support and resistance. The presence of news is merely a catalyst that accelerates market fluctuations, but it does not impact the fundamental direction. Trends driven by fundamental factors can last for many years.
Hahaha 🤣, that's a bit off-topic. Next, let's talk about the 80% rule of support and resistance levels. The rule is very concise, but the key is how to apply it, with a focus on case studies.

看到很多朋友在合约市场里来回割肉，亏多赚少，真心疼。今天和大家聊聊，怎么系统性地提高合约胜率，以及那些我踩过、你也可能正在踩的坑。

先说心态，这是最最最重要的。

第一，戒掉赌徒心理。合约是交易工具，不是一夜暴富的捷径。如果你抱着“梭哈一把，财富自由”的心态进来，那么九成九会亏光离场。把合约当成一门生意，需要精打细算。

第二，接受失败，允许小亏。没有人能做到每一单都盈利。追求完美的胜率，只会让你在亏损时死扛，最终导致爆仓。成功的交易员都是小亏大赚，靠几笔关键的盈利覆盖所有的小亏损。

第三，克服贪婪和恐惧。浮盈时想赚更多，不愿止盈，结果利润回吐；浮亏时害怕损失，不忍止损，结果窟窿越来越大。这都是人性，必须用纪律来克服。

接下来是实战策略，做好这几点，能帮你避开大部分坑。

关于仓位管理：

这是你的生命线。永远不要重仓或全仓操作。建议采用“金字塔”或“倒金字塔”加仓法，但初始仓位一定不能重。我个人习惯，单笔交易的风险不超过总资金的2%。也就是说，即使这单止损了，我也只损失2%，完全在可承受范围内。

关于止损止盈：

这是你生存的保障。开单前，必须设好止损止盈点，并且无条件执行。

止损：不要凭感觉，要根据技术分析，比如设在关键支撑位下方或阻力位上方。更不要移动或取消止损，那是自杀行为。

止盈：可以分批止盈。比如价格到达第一个目标位时平掉一半仓位，剩下的一半设置保本止损，让利润奔跑。这样既锁定了部分利润，又不会错过后面可能的大行情。

关于技术分析：

不要迷恋各种花哨的指标，把最基础的学精就够了。

K线：看懂关键位置的K线形态，比如锤子线、吞没形态，它们能告诉你多空力量的转变。

趋势：永远顺势而为，不要试图抄底摸顶。在上升趋势中只做多，在下降趋势中只做空。横盘震荡时就休息，等待方向选择。

支撑与阻力：这是核心中的核心。在支撑位附近寻找做多机会，在阻力位附近寻找做空机会，你的胜率会大大提高。

最后是一些必须避免的致命坑：

频繁交易：一天不做单就手痒？这是病，得治。大部分时间市场都是无序震荡，高质量的交易机会很少。频繁交易只会增加手续费和出错概率。

逆势加仓（摊平成本）：这是最常见的爆仓原因。“跌了就补仓，拉低成本”在合约里是毒药。一旦趋势形成，你可能会在补仓中耗光所有保证金。

总结一下，合约交易的核心不是预测，而是应对。用严格的纪律和系统化的策略，去应对市场的不确定性。#比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC

1. Money has become more expensive, hot money may flow back
A large portion of trading capital in the crypto market (Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.) is 'borrowed cheap money.' For the past decade or so, Japan has been one of the countries with the lowest interest rates globally, and yen has been almost 'zero-cost' capital. Many international investors borrow low-interest yen, exchange it for dollars or other currencies, and buy higher-risk assets like cryptocurrencies. This is called 'arbitrage trading.'
Once Japan raises interest rates, the cost of borrowing yen will increase. This part of investors may:
Reduce borrowing, as it is no longer cost-effective;

the harder you try, the easier it is to mistake persistence for ability;
the more you persist, the easier it is to mistake direction for answers.
many times we think we are making progress,
But when you look back,
those efforts are just practicing unsuitable methods more thoroughly.
The market won't change because of your tension,
it becomes clearer when you are calm.
true growth is not about making bigger moves,
it's about minimizing distractions;
It's not about intervening faster,
but about seeing clearly at a slower pace.
when you let go of unnecessary effort,
Only then will the system begin to operate smoothly.
Behind every stable curve,
They all have one thing in common —

Many people think they are 'trading hard',
But in fact, they are just trying hard not to lose money.
The difference between these two is much greater than you think.
I have seen countless traders:
Staring at the K-line with thoughts of profit in mind,
Once in the market, it turns into a 'seeking stability'.
When the market slightly adjusts, my palms sweat;
With a little floating profit, we rush to close the position;
When the real opportunity comes, yet we dare not act.
The market is like a mirror, reflecting all inner anxieties clearly.
We say we pursue growth,
But actions are constantly protecting oneself.
This is the capital preservation trap—

During the days of watching the market, what have you lost the most?
I have long been accustomed to the city's lights and the fluctuations of K-lines during late-night trading.
Trading is not about momentary impulses, but about the patience to endure and the clarity to see the bigger picture.
The market never lacks opportunities,
What is missing is the self that can calm down#比特币VS代币化黄金 </c-18/>

刚曝出来的消息，资管巨鲸贝莱德（BlackRock）又出手了，买了价值 2878万美元 的以太坊（$ETH ）。听起来不少？但在管理着近10万亿美元资产的贝莱德眼里，这点钱就跟普通人买杯咖啡一样随意。
这操作看得人直挠头：
1. 是“试水温”还是“秀肌肉”？ 不到三千万美金，对贝莱德来说连仓位都算不上。这更像是一次公开的“压力测试”，就想看看市场对它进场会有什么反应。
2. 信号大于金额：贝莱德买比特币ETF是明牌，现在又碰以太坊。这等于向传统资金喊话：“别光看热闹了，这个池子可以下脚。” 叙事天花板又被捅高了一点。
3. 你的机会？可能是你的陷阱！大佬们从来不会告诉你他们真实的建仓成本和完整计划。等你看到新闻跟风时，他们可能已经坐在轿子里，等着你和其他散户一起帮忙抬轿子了。
记住，在金融世界，大佬的“小额买入”从来不是为了赚钱，而是为了发出信号，测试风向，并让你注意他们。你的FOMO（错失恐惧），正是他们计划的一部分。#ETH走势分析 $ETH

If your funds are within 100,000, trading cryptocurrencies is easier to profit from than trading stocks; this is a fact. There is a simple trading method for cryptocurrencies that, as long as you stick to it, achieving steady profits is not difficult. Don't doubt that you can't learn it; seize the opportunity, and we can stand on the same starting line. Many people overlook this method; once learned, you can earn at least 3 - 10 points every day.
Selected currencies, do not be greedy: There are many currencies in the crypto world, and small investors have limited energy; never trade too many at once. Choose at most 2 - 3, as operating too many currencies makes it difficult to make reasonable judgments during market fluctuations, leading to mistakes.