$AVNT 【Rate Master】 detected abnormal AVNT contract rate: -1.01%, below is the analysis:
Direction: Long Confidence: High
Core Logic: Under extreme negative rate of -1.01%, the price rebounded from 0.3122 to 0.3447 and showed resilience, accompanied by a dominant short squeeze (24h short squeeze 768,100 vs long squeeze 522,900). The shorts have been largely washed out, with strong spot buying, and the main players are using the negative rate to accumulate and create a short squeeze fuel.
1. Data Dashboard
- Rate Interpretation: Current -1.01% (4-hour cycle), shorts need to pay high fees to longs, creating continuous psychological pressure on shorts, especially when the price refuses to drop, the cost of short positions rises sharply, easily triggering panic liquidation.
- OI Interpretation: Perpetual positions 43,325,500, combined with high trading volume of 334 million/24h, showing strong intent for capital to continuously enter the market, long-short ratio 1.0566 leaning long, and no significant reduction in positions indicates that capital is optimistic about a rebound rather than exiting.
- Liquidation Interpretation: Recent cycle short liquidation total far exceeds long (cumulative short squeeze over two times more than long squeeze), shorts are in pain (forced liquidation losses), longs are profiting (after cleaning up the opponent's positions, chips become more concentrated).
2. Risk Assessment
- Main Risk: Although trading volume is high, if the overall market BTC corrects, AVNT may follow with short-term stagnation; if the negative rate continues to attract new shorts, it may delay the triggering of short squeezes.
- Black Swan Check: No signs of project running away, exchange hacks, or negative news, the project is operating normally (Base chain RWA perpetual platform, recently there have been agreements adjustments but no destructive events).
3. Operation Suggestions
- Suggested Entry Zone: Near current price (0.344-0.346)
- First Take Profit: 0.38 (based on recent volatility of about 10-15%, expected first wave rebound of short squeeze)
- Stop Loss: 0.334 (key support level, if breached, stop loss, risk control within -3%)
(Image is 15m liquidation chart)
