🧠 Market Take: Calm $BTC = Lower Crash Risk?
Bitcoin skipped the classic year-end blow-off — and that may actually reduce Q1 downside risk.
Anthony Pompliano highlights that compressed volatility lowers the odds of a sharp Q1 crash. In his view, a 70–80% drawdown looks extremely unlikely under current conditions.
Key context: • BTC +~100% in 2 years, +~300% in 3 years
• Lower volatility = less hype, more downside protection
• Price: $87,436 (-7.39% YTD)
But not all are bullish long term: • Peter Brandt sees $60K in Q3 2026
• Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer targets $65K in 2026
No blow-off. No panic. Just compression.
📊 Is this consolidation before continuation — or a slow grind lower?
#BTC #USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview
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