XRP's performance in December 2025 shows divergence, with its market capitalization shrinking by about $19 billion since the beginning of the month, dropping from $132.2 billion to $113.2 billion, and the price falling from $2.20 to around $1.88; however, it has recently rebounded to around $2.196, forming a double bottom structure. ETF inflows remain strong, accumulating over $1 billion, even reaching a scale of $64 billion. Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, believes that institutional demand will drive December's performance differently than in the past. Vanguard has also opened XRP ETF trading, providing potential support. Historical data shows an average increase of 69.6% in December, but the median is -3.16%, with more moderate recent years (e.g., 6.94% in 2024). Key resistance levels are at $2.307 and $2.459, with a breakout above $2.60 indicating a strong trend, while a drop below $2.119 will test the $1.772 support. Selling pressure factors include Upbit reserves increasing for three consecutive months to a yearly high, as well as XRP ledger speeds soaring, which may exacerbate selling; in November, XRP fell nearly 13%, and amid overall market volatility, CME's launch of XRP futures contracts adds a positive signal. Overall, December's trend will depend on the sustainability of ETF demand and institutional interest. If key levels are broken, a rebound to $2.60 may occur.
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