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🔥The market bets on two interest rate cuts, but BlackRock scoffs: The Federal Reserve won't dare to unleash a flood of money before 2026!
Brothers, a harsh reality is unfolding before us: the market is celebrating interest rate cuts while the giants quietly tighten their expectations. BlackRock has just thrown a bucket of cold water—don’t expect any significant moves from the Federal Reserve before 2026.
This is not just talk; it represents a complete split between market sentiment and institutional predictions. On one side are retail investors and some funds wildly speculating on the "interest rate cut narrative," while on the other, the world's largest asset management company calmly reminds us: inflation is not dead, and interest rates are hard to lower.
What does this mean for ordinary people like us?
1. Don't be swayed by short-term emotions: Asset prices may have overly priced in interest rate cut expectations; if data comes in below expectations, volatility can strike at any time.
2. Cash remains king: The high interest rate environment may last longer than we think; holding onto some cash or short-term bonds means not losing is winning.
3. Every piece of data is a bomb: From now on, every inflation and employment report could become the fuse that ignites the market—because the Fed is now "letting the data speak."
Crucially, BlackRock's perspective reveals a deeper shift: the rules of the game in the post-pandemic era have changed. What we may face is not a brisk wave of interest rate cuts, but a slow, drawn-out, and uncertain "interest rate tug-of-war."
So, stop simply applying the old script of "recession = flooding money" to today. The judgment that there will be "no significant moves in 2026" essentially says: inflation is stubborn, the Fed dares not relax, and the market must get used to a higher and longer-lasting interest rate environment.
Smart people are already adjusting their positions—not overexposing to risk, not blindly exiting, but seeking structural opportunities amid volatility and maintaining clarity amid divergence.
The market always sways between emotional extremes, but wealth always flows to those who see through the script in advance. This time, which side are you on?
