🚨 KALSHI RULES OUT A JANUARY RATE CUT
$BTC Traders on prediction market Kalshi are now pricing an 88% probability that the Federal Reserve will NOT cut interest rates in January 2026.
This is a clear signal that markets expect the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance to remain firmly in place heading into early 2026.
Why this matters:
• Rate cuts were one of the biggest bullish narratives for risk assets$BNB
• An extended pause means liquidity stays tight
• Valuations for stocks and crypto face continued pressure
• Any meaningful policy pivot may be pushed further into the year
For crypto and equities, this suggests relief is delayed, not canceled. Markets may need to rely on organic demand and fundamentals, not monetary easing, to drive the next move.$ETH
The message from Kalshi is clear: don’t expect the Fed to save the market anytime soon.
