2025 Was the Year the Models Broke


Arthur Hayes called for $200,000.

Tom Lee predicted $250,000.

Michael Saylor was at a modest $150,000.


Yet, $BTC disapproved all of them and looks likely to close the year down 10%, around $90,000.


The year 2025 killed narrative-driven forecasting.

Macro, liquidity cycles, and positioning overpowered every conviction trade.

The lesson here is that price doesn't obey belief, even when the believers are famous. #BTC #CryptoMarket