Weekly Crypto Market Analysis (01.12)

Summary:

1. Focus on AI and semiconductors in the A-share market, but be cautious about chasing highs.

2. The market top phase in the US stock market

3. Let's discuss the US dollar

4. From the rate-cutting cycle to the trend of the market

5. What if the 4-year cycle doesn't exist?

6. Heat map, long/short ratio, greed index, USDT.D

7. When will altcoins have a rally?

8. The resonance between indicators and fundamentals

Trading Strategy:

1. The medium-term long position in $BTC is still held, target profit at 97500;

2. The medium-term long position in $ETH is still held, target profit at 3780;

3. The medium-term long position in $SOL is still held, target profit at 156;

4. Buy Bitcoin at 87400 and 85555 in batches to build a position;

5. Buy Ethereum at 2904 and 2830 in batches to build a position;

6. Buy SOL at 123.2 and 119.9 in batches to build a position.

From the perspective of Chan Theory, last week's 4H-level correction has already reached the 4H EMA125 and MA250 levels, with sufficient space and a complete structure, so the next 4H-level uptrend can begin at any time. Even considering the impact of news, the correction remains temporary and uncertain, while the upward trend is definite.

The previous 4H-level uptrend in Bitcoin: From 87200 to 94700;

The previous 4H-level downtrend in Bitcoin: From 94700 to 89600;

Therefore, the next 4H-level uptrend in Bitcoin will not fall below 97100, which is quite clear.

On the other hand, SOL's performance over the past few days has clearly outperformed Bitcoin. If you're a veteran follower, you should immediately realize that Bitcoin still has room to rise.