Update January 20. Technical Analysis & On-Chain Data
$RIVERUSDT - CRITICAL UPDATE: Bull Exhaustion Formed
After a crazy rally ~711% in 30 days, data shows signs of exhaustion.
📈 Technical Conditions:
· Price: ~$34.3 (+16.8% today)
· RSI (1D): >74 (HEAVY OVERBOUGHT)
· All EMAs (20,50,200) below price → strong trend but stretched.
⚠️ Concerning Derivative Data:
· Funding Rate: -0.28% (highly negative)
· Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 1.23 (more buyers)
· Liquidation Shorts 219K vs Longs only 2.1K (crowd LONG dense)
🎯 Scenarios & Important Areas:
· Resistance: $35.00 - $36.00 (potential short area)
· Correction Support: $29.50 - $31.00 (EMA50 & prev support)
· Invalidation Short: Break & close > $36.87
🕒 Timeline: Correction may occur within the next 24 hours - 7 days.
✅ Conclusion:
Short-term bias bearish for correction, but the larger trend is still bullish. Avoid FOMO long here. Wait for a pullback to support or confirmation of rejection at resistance.
Probability:
60% correction → 25% continue rally → 15% major reversal.
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