"Exodus of ETH from Exchanges: Withdrawal of 129 Thousand in a Day"
Bullish sentiment for Ethereum is getting stronger! The latest data shows a withdrawal of 128.9 thousand ETH from exchanges in the last 24 hours, reducing the total supply on exchanges to 12.7 million ETH.
Coinbase Pro is the exchange with the largest withdrawal (-108.8K ETH), followed by Binance (-31.8K ETH). Only a few smaller exchanges like Kraken (+15.8K ETH) and KuCoin (+7.5K ETH) experienced inflow.
Historically, a decline in ETH on exchanges often signals long-term accumulation by institutional investors or whales, which reduces selling pressure and supports future price increases.
"Bullish Sentiment? BTC on the Exchange Up 7,600 in a Day"
The latest data shows that the total Bitcoin on the crypto exchange has reached 2.5 million BTC, with an addition of 7,600 BTC in the last 24 hours. This indicates an influx into the exchange, which is usually associated with plans to sell or active trading.
Binance and Coinbase Pro are the exchanges with the highest additions, at +6.1K and +806.5 BTC, respectively. Only a few exchanges like OKX and bitFlyer have experienced a decrease in balance.
Historically, the BTC inflow/outflow chart to exchanges is an important sentiment indicator. This significant increase in balance should be watched closely, as it could be a sign of distribution before a price correction.
"40X Leverage! This Pause Dares to Bet $1.8 Million on BTC While Losing"
This wallet dares to play with 40x leverage for a BTC position worth $1.8 million, even while experiencing daily losses. Overall, its account is still profitable by $1.11 million, but the performance over the last 7 days has dropped by $376 thousand.
In addition to BTC, this trader also holds ETH with 25x leverage and FARTCON tokens with 3x leverage. What’s interesting: there are no open orders at all, indicating a more straightforward strategy with less hedging.
Even with extreme leverage, its BTC and ETH positions are only experiencing small losses (unrealized). The biggest risk lies in liquidation if the price moves sharply against its positions. This is a real example of high-stakes trading in the crypto world.
The "crypto pause" wallet worth $66 million on Hyperliquid actually recorded a total loss of $695,800! This trader used extreme leverage of 20x to long BTC/ETH and short LIT/xyz:SILVER.
The riskiest position is the short xyz:SILVER, which has already lost $632,800. If this asset rises to $112.78, it will be liquidated with a margin of $5.24 million at stake.
Despite having 143 open orders and a complex strategy, its performance proves: fund size does not guarantee profit. In a volatile market, high leverage is like walking on the edge of a cliff. This story serves as a valuable lesson about the importance of risk management, even for whales.
⚡ CONDITION: Price consolidated after significant decline • Consistent negative CVD shows dominance of selling pressure • Neutral RSI (50-61) without overbought signal • Low volume, weak momentum.
📉 BIAS: Medium-term bearish (1–3 days) / Neutral-sideways very short term. The majority trend of higher timeframes is still down. Small daily recovery has not changed the bearish structure.
🎯 SETUP: Option 1: SHORT (Counter-Trend Pullback, Moderate Risk) · Entry: $10.349 – $10.542 (EMA 200 resistance zone & swing high) · Stop Loss: $10.630 (break above strong resistance) · **Target:** $9.608 → $9.000 · Catalyst: Rejection in the EMA confluence zone, lower high pattern, and confirmation of bearish candle with increased volume.
Option 2: LONG (High Risk, Bounce Play) · Entry: $9.907 – $9.962 (with confirmation of bullish reversal candle & RSI >50 in low TF) · Stop Loss: $9.608 (break latest low) · **Target:** $10.349 → $10.542 · Catalyst: Oversold RSI in low TF, bounce from horizontal support, and hidden bullish divergence.
⏳ TIMING: · Short setup may form in the next 12–36 hours (22–23 Jan 2026) if price reaches resistance zone and is rejected. · Trading duration: 3–7 days to reach full target.
⚠️ WARNING: Trading in a bearish trend with low volume increases the risk of false breakout. Persistent negative CVD indicates underlying weakness. Use small positions, wait for confirmation signals from lower TF (15m/1H), and always set Stop Loss.
⚡ CONDITION: Price is rising towards critical resistance • CVD & Open Interest shows institutional selling pressure • Long/Short Ratio 44% long (dominance of taker sell)
📉 BIAS: Medium-term bearish (3-7 days) against the resistance zone Short-term upward momentum is weak and hindered by strong resistance from EMA 200 & Lower High pattern on the daily chart.
🎯 SETUP: Option 1: SHORT (Primary Bias) •Entry: $0.18800 – $0.19220 •Stop: $0.19500 (above 1H swing high) •**Target:** $0.17295 → $0.16785 •Catalyst: Rejection at EMA 200 (1H/4H) & confirmation of Lower High pattern (1D)
Option 2: LONG (Counter-trend, High Risk) •Entry: $0.17655 – $0.18030 (only if the price rebounds strongly with volume) •Stop: $0.16785 (below key support) •**Target:** $0.18800 → $0.19220 •Catalyst: Bounce from support confluence (EMA 20 & 50 on 15m/1H)
⏳ TIMING: •Window setup SHORT: Jan 22-24, 2026 (if price reaches entry zone) •Trade duration: 5-15 days to reach full target (Short)
⚠️ WARNING: Trading against the medium-term bearish trend (visible on 1D) is high risk. Current upward momentum is vulnerable to losing strength. Use small positions, confirm candle close, and adhere to stop loss.
⚡ CONDITION: Price is in an extreme overbought condition (RSI >75 on TF 4H/1D) • Negative Funding Rate between (-1.3% and -1.9%) • Positive Volume and CVD, but momentum is already too high (overextended).
📉 BIAS: Bearish correction (1–3 days) / Neutral-Bullish in the long term (after the correction). The market requires consolidation or correction before continuing a healthy rise. Short-term reversal risk is high.
🎯 SETUP: Option 1: SHORT (Counter-Trend, High Risk – High Reward)
· Entry: $44.50 – $45.70 (rejection zone near the peak) · Stop Loss: $47.90 (above extreme high) · Target: $41.80 → $38.25 → $34.40 · Catalyst: Rejection from the extreme overbought RSI level, bearish divergence pattern on lower TF, and pressure from the negative funding rate.
Option 2: LONG (Follow Trend, Wait for Correction First)
· Entry: $38.25 – $34.40 (confluence area: EMA 200 TF 1H & EMA 20/50 TF 4H) · Stop Loss: $32.50 (below structural support) · Target: $41.80 → $44.50 → $45.70+ · Catalyst: Pullback to trend support and main moving average, funding rate remains negative (favorable for entering long after prices drop).
⏳ TIMING:
· Correction/consolidation is expected to start in the next 6–24 hours (January 22–23, 2026). · Trading duration: 2–5 days to achieve full correction target (Short) or bounce (Long).
⚠️ WARNING: Trading against a parabolic trend is very risky. Option 1 (SHORT) is only for experienced traders. A negative funding rate can trigger a short squeeze if not managed tightly. Use small positions, confirm signals from lower TF, and always set a Stop Loss.
📊 Market Condition: The price has consolidated below the EMA level with clear selling pressure evident from the negative funding rate and dominant selling volume.
📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish (next 3–7 days)
🎯 Trading Plan:
Option 1: SHORT (Main Setup)
· Entry: $584 – $597 · Stop Loss: $602 · Target: $570 → $520 · Confirmation: Rejection from the EMA area accompanied by an increase in selling volume.
Option 2: LONG (High Risk, Counter-Trend)
· Entry: $518 – $520 · Stop Loss: $510 · Target: $584 → $600 · Confirmation: Bullish reversal with a strong confirmation candle at key support.
⏳ Execution Time:
· Short setup may potentially occur on January 23–24, 2026. · Trade duration until final target: 1–2 weeks.
⚠️ Risk Warning: The market is still under bearish pressure. Use appropriate position sizing, implement risk management, and always set a stop loss.
XRP/USDT | Trading Alert 🗓️March 22, 2025 | 14:30 WIB (Data taken from TF 15m, 1H, 4H, 1D & derivatives)
⚡ CONDITION: Price is pressured below all key EMAs • Extreme negative CVD (-91.9M to -12.08B) • Negative funding rate • Long/Short Ratio (Taker) 0.8549 (dominant aggressive seller)
📉 BIAS: Strong bearish (1-7 days ahead) Consistent sell pressure across all TFs, downward momentum reinforced by high volume and bearish derivative data.
🎯 SETUP: Option 1: SHORT (Primary Setup) • Entry: $1.900 – $1.915 (confluence of EMA 20 & minor resistance) • Stop: $1.960 (break structure lower high) • **Target:** $1.867 → $1.770 → $1.690 • Catalyst: Rejection from EMA, lower high pattern, continuation of negative CVD
Option 2: LONG (High Risk, Scalp Only) • Entry: $1.867 – $1.870 (with confirmation of strong hammer/reversal + increasing volume) • Stop: $1.858 (below local low) • **Target:** $1.895 → $1.910 • Catalyst: Oversold RSI <30 on small TF, potential dead cat bounce
⏳ TIMING: • Short setup may form within 24–72 hours (waiting for rally to entry zone) • Duration of short trade: 3–7 days for target $1.770 • Scalp long (if any): only for hit-and-run intraday
⚠️ WARNING: Strong bearish trend with confirmation from derivative data. Do not go against the main trend. Use small position sizes, always set SL, and avoid averaging down on longs.
DASH Update January 22: Continued Breakdown or Bounce?
The price of DASH broke through support at $67.69 and printed **new lower low at $67.36**, before slightly rising to ~$67.63. Has selling capped or is this a pause before a deeper drop?
🧠 Technical Facts: ➡️Trigger for Down: Break consecutive support + liquidation of LONG ($93.1K) vs SHORT ($3.3K) – seller dominance. ➡️Structure: Still Lower High ($79.69)** & **Lower Low ($67.36) – solid bearish pattern. ➡️Momentum: RSI 1H (38.86) vs RSI 4H (38.68) – weak across all TF, not yet extremely oversold. ➡️Derivatives: Long/Short Ratio 0.9997 – buyers are almost gone.
💡 Simple Strategy: 1️⃣**DO NOT BUY at $67.63.** This is a dead cat bounce. 2️⃣**WAIT** for the price to rise to the zone of $68.50-$69.11. 3️⃣**CONFIRMATION:** Look for rejection (red candle, increased volume) in that zone for **SHORT**. 4️⃣**Target:** Back to test $67.14 → $66.00.
⏳ Timeline: Small bounce may continue for 4-8 hours. Reaction at $69.11 will determine the direction for the next day.
✅ Takeaway: The trend is still strongly BEARISH. Small bounces are selling opportunities, not buy signals. Be patient & wait for setups at resistance.
SOL Update: Break Time Market, Wait for Clear Signal
The latest analysis shows SOL is **staying at $127.15** after dropping to $124.25. The market is confused whether to continue dropping or to bounce back up.
Important Facts: ▪️Funding Rate has become negative (-0.0004%) for the first time in several days → traders are hesitant to open LONG positions. ▪️Selling pressure still exists (negative CVD data), but it has decreased. ▪️LONG liquidations are still larger than SHORT → LONG positions continue to be cleared.
· Break & hold **below $124.25** → continue down to $122 · Break & hold above $130.50 → bearish bias needs to be reviewed
Simple Strategy: 1️⃣DO NOT TRADE at the current price ($127.15). Poor Risk/Reward. 2️⃣**WAIT** for the price to choose a direction first. 3️⃣**If it rises to $128.68-129.50 and gets rejected** → setup SHORT. 4️⃣If it breaks above $130.50 → consider LONG (wait for a pullback).
Conclusion: Be patient. The market needs a break after a sharp drop. Do not force an entry when conditions are not clear. Wait for a strong breakout signal.
The pullback we were waiting for HAS OCCURRED. The price rose from $2,900 to ~$2,956, then was pushed down again to $2,951. What does it mean?
🧠 Key Facts: ➡️Retest Has Occurred: The price has risen to the resistance area **$2,956** (previously breached support). **This is the pullback we were waiting for to set up a short.** ➡️**Reaction at Resistance:** The price was PUSHED down again after touching $2,956. That is the first confirmation that sellers are still strong. ➡️Derivative Data Confirms: As the price rises (pullback), the Long/Short ratio DROPPED DRAMATICALLY to 0.6. This means: Many traders are taking advantage of that rise TO SELL (not to buy). This is a strong bearish signal.
🎯 Important Levels Now: 🔺Stop Loss (If Short): $2,981 - $3,000 (above the retest area) 🔻Short Target:
1. The Short setup has already been MET. We have already received a pullback to the sell area. 2. Bias: BEARISH. All confirmations are there: lower low, failed retest, derivative data supports sellers. 3. Action: PREPARE SHORT in the area of $2,950 - $2,960. 4. Stop Loss: Tight, above $2,981. 5. Target: See levels above.
⏳ Timeline: The decline towards $2,880 could start in the next 12-24 hours.
✅ Takeaway: The process of "waiting for a pullback to sell" is now complete. All signals so far support a continuation of the downtrend. This is not the time for FOMO buying. The edge for shorting is now clearer.
$ZEC Pump 4.5% Today — But This Is Not the Start of a Rally
The price of ZEC today rose sharply, but several signals indicate that this increase could quickly reverse.
What happened?
· Price rose from $330 to $370+ (strong pump on the 1-hour chart). · But this rally hit a strong resistance at $375-$377 (liquidity area + key EMA). · Derivative data is concerning: negative funding rate and large traders sold more than they bought during the rally.
Simple logic: If this rally is really strong, it should: ✅ Positive funding rate (payment for shorts) ✅ Aggressive buyers keep pushing ❌Reality: the market is actually paying those who are short, and the rally is starting to weaken at the resistance.
Outlook:
· Highest probability: price rejected at $375-$377 and drops back down to $360**, even **$350. · Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through & closes above **$378**, the rally could continue to $388. But the chance is small based on the current structure.
Conclusion for traders: Don't FOMO buy at the peak. Better to:
1. Wait for rejection at $375-$377 for a SHORT setup. 2. Or wait for a strong break above $378 for confirmation of further upward movement. 3. If in doubt, NO TRADE — high volatility can hit both ways.
Upbeat Rhythm on Wall Street, Crypto Stocks Lead the Week's Start!
The week on Wall Street opened on an optimistic note. Based on Bitget market data, the main US indices crawled up in green: Dow Jones rose 0.12%, S&P 500 strengthened by 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite, the technology barometer, surged by 0.25%. Interestingly, cryptocurrency-related stocks performed stronger, indicating a strong positive sentiment in the digital asset sector. Strategy jumped 1.07%, followed by BitMine (+0.3%), Coinbase (COIN) which rose 0.94%, and Circle (CRCL) which strengthened by 0.96%.
Trump Selects New Fed Chair, But Worried About "Changing Course"
Once again, Donald Trump is stirring up controversy from Davos. This time, with hints about who will take control of The Fed—the strongest monetary authority in the world—and his own doubts about his chosen figure. Trump announced that he will soon reveal the name of his new Federal Reserve Chair nominee, whom he described as a "man" who is highly respected. However, behind his praise lies a statement that suggests a preference, as he expressed concerns that the nominee's stance could change after taking office.
Big Signals from Davos, Trump Ready to Sign Crypto Law!
A wave of optimism has just hit the digital asset world straight from the heart of the World Economic Forum in Davos. Former US President Donald Trump announced the news that the entire crypto industry has been waiting for: clear regulations may soon arrive. In his statement, Trump revealed that the US Congress is actively drafting a regulatory framework for the crypto market. More importantly, he expressed his hope to soon sign the Crypto Bill into law.
Will Greenland Cause Stocks to Plummet? Trump Says "They Will Double!"
Once again, Donald Trump ignited heated discussions from the Davos stage. This time, he provided a shocking explanation for the decline in the stock market while also making a bold prediction for its future. Trump bluntly stated that the stock market decline yesterday "was caused by Greenland." Although it sounds unusual, this statement may refer to market turmoil due to his previous comments about acquiring Greenland. However, he quickly calmed concerns by stating that the decline is not significant and the stock market will double in the future.
1 Sentence from Trump in Davos Shakes Gold, Crypto Rises!
Title: 1 Sentence from Trump in Davos Shakes Gold, Crypto Rises! The financial world has once again been shaken by statements from Donald Trump. At the prestigious World Economic Forum in Davos, his brief remarks on U.S. foreign policy had an immediate impact on asset markets. Trump stated that the U.S. will not use violence and will focus solely on the peaceful acquisition of Greenland. This statement, which seems to ease geopolitical tensions, was immediately responded to by the markets. Gold, which often serves as a "safe haven" during uncertainty, slipped about US$40 in a short time to a level of US$1,845 per ounce.