AIA/USDT Update (PERP) - as of January 20, Time to Be Careful!

📈 Price Action: Strong rally +57% in a short period. Price now at ~0.314.

📊 Momentum: RSI overbought (68-100), a sign of possible correction.

💰 Derivative Data:

· Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) EXTREMELY NEGATIVE (-975M). Smart money sells during the rally.

· Volume drops drastically (from hundreds of millions to 2.6M), rally loses momentum.

· Positive funding rate, incentive to short.

🎯 Bias: Bearish for correction/pullback.

🔎 Best Edge: Wait for confirmation of rejection at resistance to SHORT.

📍 Important Areas:

· Resistance: 0.339 & 0.398

· Support: 0.314 (current) -> 0.279 -> 0.265

· Entry Short: Rejection at 0.339 or break & close below 0.314.

· Stop Loss: Just above entry.

· Target: 0.279 -> 0.265 -> 0.214

⏳ Window: Signal may appear in the next 6-16 hours.

🤔 Probability: 70% chance of a downward correction, 30% chance of further upward movement (needs high volume).

Brief Conclusion: The rally looks exhausted with large sell signals behind the scenes. Don't FOMO long. Wait for a neat or safe short setup on the sidelines. No setup = NO TRADE.

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