#达沃斯世界经济论坛2026 1. Core Theme: Seeking 'Dialogue' in 'Confrontation' 🗣️
The 2026 Davos Forum is held against a backdrop of heightened tension.
Primary Risk: 'Confrontation': According to the '2026 Global Risk Report' released by the forum, geopolitical confrontation has surpassed climate change and pandemics to become the primary risk facing the world this year. Following closely are armed conflicts between nations, extreme weather, and more.
Need for Dialogue: In the face of escalating geopolitical tensions and global fragmentation, the forum calls for 'dialogue' to bridge differences. This reflects a common anxiety within the international community: the world is in an era of 'increased competition,' and if discussions are not held, the costs of conflict will be incalculable.
2. Economic Outlook: Cautiously Optimistic with Structural Challenges 📉
The atmosphere regarding the global economic outlook can be described as 'mixed':
Weak Growth: Reports from the United Nations and the forum predict that the world economy will grow at about 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than in 2025. Weak investment, limited fiscal space, and rising debt (global debt has exceeded 235% of GDP) are the main drag factors.
Debt Burden: The global debt issue is listed as a prominent economic risk, with high levels of debt squeezing countries' ability to invest in long-term priorities such as healthcare and education.
3. China's Role: An Indispensable 'Certainty' 🇨🇳
Discussions about China at this forum are very positive. In a world full of uncertainty, China is viewed as an important 'stabilizer.' Growth Engine: Despite facing challenges, the Chinese economy is still seen as a significant contributor to global growth.
Technology and Green Transition: China's speed in technology and application in artificial intelligence and clean energy (such as photovoltaics and wind power) is notable. Many attendees believe that China is not only a supporter of multilateralism but also an indispensable partner in the green transition.
4. Technology and the Future: The Double-Edged Sword Effect of AI ⚖️
Technology is the main focus of this forum, especially artificial intelligence.
Productivity Boost: AI is seen as a new growth engine that can greatly enhance productivity.
Risks and Governance: However, it also brings risks of 'misinformation' and 'bubbles.'