Is the new Federal Reserve Chair good or bad for the crypto market?
Is the appointment of Waller a 'disaster' or a 'long-term adjustment'?
If Kevin Waller is ultimately nominated, the situation is more complicated than it seems, and not all bad news.
Short-term pain (negative): Waller is known as an executor of 'monetary discipline.' He tends to maintain high interest rates and even raise them when inflation rebounds. This will directly withdraw liquidity from the crypto market, leading to liquidations of leveraged positions and price declines.
Long-term subtlety (neutral/positive): Although he is a hawk, he recognizes Bitcoin as a 'store of value similar to gold.' At the same time, the overall agenda of the Trump administration is to promote regulatory loosening (such as pushing for spot leverage trading and clarifying regulatory boundaries). This means that even if monetary policy tightens, the positive aspects on the regulatory side (such as ETF approvals and clear laws) may offset some of the negative impacts of monetary policy.
#达沃斯世界经济论坛2026 1. Core Theme: Seeking 'Dialogue' in 'Confrontation' 🗣️
The 2026 Davos Forum is held against a backdrop of heightened tension.
Primary Risk: 'Confrontation': According to the '2026 Global Risk Report' released by the forum, geopolitical confrontation has surpassed climate change and pandemics to become the primary risk facing the world this year. Following closely are armed conflicts between nations, extreme weather, and more.
Need for Dialogue: In the face of escalating geopolitical tensions and global fragmentation, the forum calls for 'dialogue' to bridge differences. This reflects a common anxiety within the international community: the world is in an era of 'increased competition,' and if discussions are not held, the costs of conflict will be incalculable.
2. Economic Outlook: Cautiously Optimistic with Structural Challenges 📉
The atmosphere regarding the global economic outlook can be described as 'mixed':
Weak Growth: Reports from the United Nations and the forum predict that the world economy will grow at about 2.7% in 2026, slightly lower than in 2025. Weak investment, limited fiscal space, and rising debt (global debt has exceeded 235% of GDP) are the main drag factors.
Debt Burden: The global debt issue is listed as a prominent economic risk, with high levels of debt squeezing countries' ability to invest in long-term priorities such as healthcare and education.
3. China's Role: An Indispensable 'Certainty' 🇨🇳
Discussions about China at this forum are very positive. In a world full of uncertainty, China is viewed as an important 'stabilizer.' Growth Engine: Despite facing challenges, the Chinese economy is still seen as a significant contributor to global growth.
Technology and Green Transition: China's speed in technology and application in artificial intelligence and clean energy (such as photovoltaics and wind power) is notable. Many attendees believe that China is not only a supporter of multilateralism but also an indispensable partner in the green transition.
4. Technology and the Future: The Double-Edged Sword Effect of AI ⚖️
Technology is the main focus of this forum, especially artificial intelligence.
Productivity Boost: AI is seen as a new growth engine that can greatly enhance productivity.
Risks and Governance: However, it also brings risks of 'misinformation' and 'bubbles.'
#CryptoMarketStructureBill 🚀 Dawn of a New Era: Decoding the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act The landscape of digital assets stands at a historical crossroads. With the advancement of the Framework for Innovative Technology to Improve Transparency and Accountability (FIT21), we are witnessing the most significant attempt at regulatory clarity in Web3 history. For years, the crypto industry has operated in a regulatory gray zone, caught between various oversight bodies. This bill aims to change that by providing clear roadmaps for builders, investors, and exchanges.
🔍 What is the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act? At its core, this legislation seeks to establish a functional framework for digital assets. It attempts to define the 'rules' by clarifying which assets are securities (regulated by the SEC) and which are commodities (regulated by the CFTC).
🔑 Key Pillars of the Bill: Clear Jurisdiction: One of the biggest hurdles facing cryptocurrencies is 'enforcement ambiguity.' This bill sets clear boundaries. If a blockchain is functional and decentralized, it's treated as a commodity. If it's centralized, it falls under securities law.
Consumer Protection: In the wake of recent market crashes, the bill imposes strict requirements on crypto exchanges. These include client fund segregation and higher transparency standards to prevent another 'FTX-style' catastrophe.
Innovation and Regulation: Unlike previous hardline approaches, this bill aims to foster innovation. It offers a 'safe harbor' for projects, allowing them to develop decentralization without fear of legal crackdowns.
Institutional Adoption: Uncertainty is the enemy of large capital. By providing a legal framework, this bill paves the way for banks and major institutional funds to enter the crypto space.
📉 Why Is This Particularly Important Now? Global financial systems are evolving. As digital assets become increasingly integrated into daily life, the lack of clear legal frameworks has long hindered industry growth. For investors: means greater security and reduced market manipulation. For developers: means they can build in the U.S. (and globally) without needing to relocate overseas to avoid legal ambiguity. For the market: marks a transition to 'maturity.' Cryptocurrency is no longer just a speculative pastime but is becoming an accepted asset class.
💡 Conclusion: While no legislation is perfect, this is a major step forward.
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