📍#BTC Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report 2026-01-23 (Evening Update)

【Core Viewpoint】: Daily direction is unclear, but 4H bears are pressuring, and the 90K level may be breached at any time.

Although BTC is still stuck in the large range of 88,686 - 93,550 on the daily chart, the short-term structure on 4H and 1H is already very ugly. Moving averages are providing resistance, and rebounds lack strength. If U.S. stocks do not trigger a rebound at tonight's opening, the probability of Bitcoin testing down to 86K is extremely high.

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📊 Long-term Trend: Consolidation (1D Daily Level)

Current Interpretation:

Price is stuck in the middle position; although it hasn’t broken below 88,686, it also lacks the strength to return to 93,550. The direction of the larger cycle is temporarily converging.

【1D Swing Strategy】

• Key Operation: Wait and see.

• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 93,550.55

🛑 Operation Suggestions:

• Wait and see: A close below 88,686.66 or a return above 93,550.55 before choosing a direction.

• Capital: 0% (waiting in cash).

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📊 Medium-term Trend: Slight Bearish (4H Level)

Current Interpretation:

A close below the moving average group, and falling below 89,892. This is a clear signal of weakness, with all above 90K-93K being stuck positions.

【4H Swing Strategy】

• Key Operation: Short on rebounds.

• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 93,908.69

🛑 Short Position Layout:

• Short on rebound (limit order): 89,892.89 ～ 93,908.69 (Recommended capital 60%)

• Short on break (below): 86,112.64 (Recommended capital 40%)

• Take Profit Target (TP): 82,096.84

• Stop Loss (SL): 93,908.69

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📊 Short-term Trend: Minor Bearish (1H Level)

Current Interpretation:

Short-term is being suppressed by 89,478, with very little room for rebounds. Suitable for quick entry and exit short operations.

【1H Swing Strategy】

• Key Operation: Short on resistance during rebounds.

• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 91,324.96

🛑 Short Position Layout:

• Short on rebound (limit order): 89,478.34 ～ 90,441.32 (Recommended capital 70%)

• Short on break (below): 88,596.70 (Recommended capital 30%)

• Take Profit Target (TP): 87,633.72

• Stop Loss (SL): 91,324.96

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📝 Summary and Operation Suggestions

For Holders:

Risk is increasing; if it breaks below 88,686, it is recommended to exit and observe.

For Those Without Positions:

The main battlefield is in 4H and 1H. Pay attention to short opportunities around 89,500 on rebounds, targeting 86K.