The week is under the Fed, Trump, and headlines.
The harshest volatility is almost guaranteed — on Wednesday.
Tuesday, 27.01
17:00 — Consumer Confidence
Quick litmus test on sentiments.
If a failure occurs — yields may drop, risk may react nervously.
If above expectations — on the contrary, the market is slightly exhaling.
Wednesday, 28.01 — the main day
15:30 — Trump
Any phrase about tariffs, China, the Fed, Iran — the reaction is immediate.
17:30 — Oil reserves
Inflation expectations are driven by oil.
If the data is hot — the market might think 'Powell will be tougher'.
21:00 — Fed's rate decision + statements
The rate is unlikely to change.
It's important how they explain it.
21:30 — Powell's conference
This is the main trigger of the day.
Listening:
● Do they see risks for the economy?
● Do they change the inflation outlook?
● Any hints at a rate cut in 2026.
Thursday, 29.01
15:30 — Unemployment claims
The first indicator that the labor market has 'broken'.
If the number rises sharply — US2Y falls, fear increases.
Friday, 30.01
15:30 — PPI (Wholesale inflation)
After CPI/PCE — this is a decisive shot.
Confirms the trend or brings the interpretation to hell.