With $1Billion Tokens Unlock this Week, Kiss AltSeason Goodbye in 2026 — Here’s Why!
As Bitcoin dominance sits near 59% and over $1 billion worth of tokens unlocking this week alone, money is not flowing into altcoins the way it used to.
Market indicators clearly show Bitcoin’s continued strength. The Altcoin Season Index currently sits at 41, far below the 75 level needed to confirm an altcoin season. That threshold requires at least 75% of the top 50 cryptocurrencies to outperform Bitcoin over a 90-day period — a condition that remains nowhere close to being met. The Altcoin Month Index is at 49, while the Altcoin Year Index has dropped to just 29.
The historical gap is striking:
122 days without an altcoin season
1,456 days since the last altcoin year
Four Reasons Altcoins Are Struggling
1. Too Many Tokens, Not Enough Capital
Tracked tokens exploded from 5.8 million to 29.2 million in just one year. Capital is now spread thin across too many projects.
2. Broken Token Economics
Many altcoins launch with low circulating supply and massive fully diluted valuations, while Insiders hold most tokens.
3. New Rivals Are Stealing Attention
Speculative capital has moved to Memecoins, perpetual futures and prediction markets which offer leverage without the need to hold tokens.
4. Institutions Are Playing It Safe
Institutional money is flowing mainly into Bitcoin and blue chip assets like ETH, SOL, and XRP — through ETFs, which concentrate capital at the top, leaving mid- and small-cap altcoins behind.
Token unlocks add new supply at the worst possible time. With retail capital diluted and institutions focused on blue chips, altcoins lack the sustained buying needed to absorb fresh tokens. Today, the market is fragmented, making coordinated altcoin surges far less likely.
Is AltSeason gone forever? Not necessarily — but the old playbook no longer applies. The market has evolved, and your strategies must evolve with it or YOU LOSE!