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专注于币圈研究的一群人， 行情 | 策略 | 打新 | 投研投顾 等全都玩 跟单助手体验：https://insights.wolfdao.com/ 带单员画像分析，带单报告，辅助筛选！ TG：t.me/wolfinsights 更多：https://linktr.ee/10xwolfdao
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1 transaction earns enough vs 400 people follow blindly! Trader Kczz's extreme operations: 22 days of holding on vs 4 hours of stop loss, would you dare to follow?
First, let's look at a heartbreaking comparison (Why can't followers make money?)
Trader Kczz's account: 180 days ROI 43.61%, single transaction earned 139,000 USDT, profit-loss ratio 13.6:1
Nearly 400 followers: Total profit of 51.51 USDT, average profit per person is 0.13 USDT
—— Why is there such a big gap in 'following operations'? The answer lies in his 'extremely abnormal' trading pattern.
source: Veriscope
1. Analyzing his 'profit code'—— Relying on 1 transaction to 'become a legend'
1. Source of income: 100% relies on 'single home run'
His 43.61% ROI is not based on multiple stable profits, but rather on 'one-shot deal':
Trader Kczz's account: 180 days ROI 43.61%, single transaction earned 139,000 USDT, profit-loss ratio 13.6:1
Nearly 400 followers: Total profit of 51.51 USDT, average profit per person is 0.13 USDT
—— Why is there such a big gap in 'following operations'? The answer lies in his 'extremely abnormal' trading pattern.
source: Veriscope
1. Analyzing his 'profit code'—— Relying on 1 transaction to 'become a legend'
1. Source of income: 100% relies on 'single home run'
His 43.61% ROI is not based on multiple stable profits, but rather on 'one-shot deal':
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Daily Dispatch (Understand Today's Key Points in 1 Minute | 2025.12.03)
📌Core Signal
1. Bitcoin's short-term trend
Current Price: $92,813.92 (↑7.03%) Market Structure: Price has strongly broken out with increased volume, standing above the psychological level of $90,000, breaking the previous consolidation pattern, and the short-term market structure has shifted from oscillation to a clear bullish trend.
Liquidation Warning: The upper liquidation zone is looking at the psychological level of $95,000 and the historical high of $100,000; the key support below has moved up to the $90,000 level, and if it falls below this, it will trigger long stop-losses.
Liquidation Overview: The sharp rise in the past 24 hours has led to large-scale liquidations of short positions (short squeeze), becoming one of the main drivers of price increases, with the market dominated by bullish sentiment.
1. Bitcoin's short-term trend
Current Price: $92,813.92 (↑7.03%) Market Structure: Price has strongly broken out with increased volume, standing above the psychological level of $90,000, breaking the previous consolidation pattern, and the short-term market structure has shifted from oscillation to a clear bullish trend.
Liquidation Warning: The upper liquidation zone is looking at the psychological level of $95,000 and the historical high of $100,000; the key support below has moved up to the $90,000 level, and if it falls below this, it will trigger long stop-losses.
Liquidation Overview: The sharp rise in the past 24 hours has led to large-scale liquidations of short positions (short squeeze), becoming one of the main drivers of price increases, with the market dominated by bullish sentiment.
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Must-Read for Followers! skythai's 180-day ROI is 55%, but the 100% win rate relies on "not cutting losing positions", with a risk of liquidation in a bull market.
I. Key Summary
source: Veriscope
The trading data of the follower skythai can be described as a "paradox": a closed position win rate of 100% seems divine, but in reality relies on "stubbornly holding losing positions" to create an illusion; claiming to be a "short-term trader", yet with an average holding period of 7 days and the longest position held for 47 days; a 180-day ROI of 55.96%, with a margin balance of 373,000 USDT, and a cumulative profit of 49,000 USDT for followers, but behind it lies extremely high drawdowns, fund occupation, and other fatal risks, suitable only for aggressive investors who can withstand a loss of 20% or more.
II. Data Interpretation: The truths obscured by the "100% win rate"
source: Veriscope
The trading data of the follower skythai can be described as a "paradox": a closed position win rate of 100% seems divine, but in reality relies on "stubbornly holding losing positions" to create an illusion; claiming to be a "short-term trader", yet with an average holding period of 7 days and the longest position held for 47 days; a 180-day ROI of 55.96%, with a margin balance of 373,000 USDT, and a cumulative profit of 49,000 USDT for followers, but behind it lies extremely high drawdowns, fund occupation, and other fatal risks, suitable only for aggressive investors who can withstand a loss of 20% or more.
II. Data Interpretation: The truths obscured by the "100% win rate"
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Understanding Powell's "Silence Technique" is key to grasping why BTC is surging!
In his Stanford speech, he made no mention of interest rates, effectively conceding to the 88% expectation of rate cuts. Even more striking, the Federal Reserve just ended QT and immediately injected 13.5 billion in market rescue, putting an end to the 2.4 trillion bloodletting. Bank of America has predicted a rate cut in December, completely reversing liquidity.
History shows that after QT ends, the crypto market must rebound strongly; is the 100,000 this time secure?
Follow me + reply 888 to receive a red envelope🧧
#美联储何时降息？ #BTC走势分析 #流动性拐点
In his Stanford speech, he made no mention of interest rates, effectively conceding to the 88% expectation of rate cuts. Even more striking, the Federal Reserve just ended QT and immediately injected 13.5 billion in market rescue, putting an end to the 2.4 trillion bloodletting. Bank of America has predicted a rate cut in December, completely reversing liquidity.
History shows that after QT ends, the crypto market must rebound strongly; is the 100,000 this time secure?
Follow me + reply 888 to receive a red envelope🧧
#美联储何时降息？ #BTC走势分析 #流动性拐点
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Trump family's cryptocurrency dream shattered!
ABTC's lock-up shares are released today, with the stock price plummeting over 50% within the first 30 minutes of trading! Lowest at $1.74, closing at $2.19, a drop of 35%!
'American Bitcoin,' founded by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, aimed to leverage political clout to raise funds, but on the release day, it turned into a retail investor slaughterhouse:
- Trading volume surged 15 times (87.96 million shares)
- Early investors frantically dumped shares to cash out
- Peak listing price $9.31 → now remaining $2.19, a loss of 76%
Eric casually stated on X, 'Volatility is normal,' while retail investors bleed profusely.
A reminder to all crypto friends:
No matter how strong the political endorsements are, they can't stop the lock-up release from crashing the price!
Chasing celebrity coins is just paying an IQ tax!
#bitcoin #TRUMP
ABTC's lock-up shares are released today, with the stock price plummeting over 50% within the first 30 minutes of trading! Lowest at $1.74, closing at $2.19, a drop of 35%!
'American Bitcoin,' founded by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, aimed to leverage political clout to raise funds, but on the release day, it turned into a retail investor slaughterhouse:
- Trading volume surged 15 times (87.96 million shares)
- Early investors frantically dumped shares to cash out
- Peak listing price $9.31 → now remaining $2.19, a loss of 76%
Eric casually stated on X, 'Volatility is normal,' while retail investors bleed profusely.
A reminder to all crypto friends:
No matter how strong the political endorsements are, they can't stop the lock-up release from crashing the price!
Chasing celebrity coins is just paying an IQ tax!
#bitcoin #TRUMP
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Monthly profit 40 times! 180-day ROI surged to 3919%, 1,000 people reached the limit for following, but four major risks need to be vigilant!
1. Core summary
Trader 'Doctor' achieved explosive returns in the past month, with a 180-day ROI of 3919.35%, win rate of 81.25%, total profits exceeding 370,000 USDT, with a maximum of 1,000 followers; trading style is short to medium-term, skilled in batch building positions to catch trends, but there are risks such as 'inconsistent conservative promotion and aggressive operations' and 'short trading history', only suitable for high-risk preference followers.
source: Veriscope
2. Data interpretation: High returns coexist with high flexibility
1. Key performance indicators (simplified version)
180-day ROI: 3919.35% (returns concentrated after November 11, 2025, trading history less than 1 month)
Trader 'Doctor' achieved explosive returns in the past month, with a 180-day ROI of 3919.35%, win rate of 81.25%, total profits exceeding 370,000 USDT, with a maximum of 1,000 followers; trading style is short to medium-term, skilled in batch building positions to catch trends, but there are risks such as 'inconsistent conservative promotion and aggressive operations' and 'short trading history', only suitable for high-risk preference followers.
source: Veriscope
2. Data interpretation: High returns coexist with high flexibility
1. Key performance indicators (simplified version)
180-day ROI: 3919.35% (returns concentrated after November 11, 2025, trading history less than 1 month)
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🚀HBAR soars 10%! Canary Capital ETF lands on Vanguard as a key driver
This is the first HBAR spot ETF to land on a mainstream platform, completely breaking the barriers for traditional investors!
Institutional demand for compliant crypto products has exploded, marking a milestone for the Hedera ecosystem, and the crypto industry has a new example of 'traditionalization'~
#加密 #hedera
This is the first HBAR spot ETF to land on a mainstream platform, completely breaking the barriers for traditional investors!
Institutional demand for compliant crypto products has exploded, marking a milestone for the Hedera ecosystem, and the crypto industry has a new example of 'traditionalization'~
#加密 #hedera
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Daily Express (Understand Today's Key Points in 1 Minute | 2025.12.02)
📌 Core Signal
1. Bitcoin Short-Term Trend
Current Price: $86,742.18 (↓0.04%)
Market Structure: After a significant pullback yesterday, prices have temporarily halted their decline near a key support level and have entered a narrow sideways consolidation phase, with the market awaiting new directional guidance.
Liquidation Warning: The key support level below is in the $85,000 area, which is the core defense line for short-term bulls; the resistance levels for rebound above are at the psychological levels of $88,000 and $90,000.
Liquidation Overview: As price fluctuations have narrowed, leverage in the derivatives market has been partially cleared yesterday, and today’s liquidation volume has significantly decreased, with market sentiment tending to stabilize.
1. Bitcoin Short-Term Trend
Current Price: $86,742.18 (↓0.04%)
Market Structure: After a significant pullback yesterday, prices have temporarily halted their decline near a key support level and have entered a narrow sideways consolidation phase, with the market awaiting new directional guidance.
Liquidation Warning: The key support level below is in the $85,000 area, which is the core defense line for short-term bulls; the resistance levels for rebound above are at the psychological levels of $88,000 and $90,000.
Liquidation Overview: As price fluctuations have narrowed, leverage in the derivatives market has been partially cleared yesterday, and today’s liquidation volume has significantly decreased, with market sentiment tending to stabilize.
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What does Vanguard's opening of $11 trillion AUM mean?
Even if only 1% of clients allocate to crypto ETFs → $110 billion in new funds
BlackRock IBIT has already reached $70 billion, and Vanguard can spare some leftovers for altcoins to take off
XRP, SOL, and other small-cap ETFs are set to take off
Don't ask, just know it's the 'delayed entry fee'
#加密ETF #机构资金
Even if only 1% of clients allocate to crypto ETFs → $110 billion in new funds
BlackRock IBIT has already reached $70 billion, and Vanguard can spare some leftovers for altcoins to take off
XRP, SOL, and other small-cap ETFs are set to take off
Don't ask, just know it's the 'delayed entry fee'
#加密ETF #机构资金
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Emergency Hammer Explosion! 130,000粉币圈KOL Elizabeth donated 200,000 Hong Kong dollars, and the Photoshop was exposed, 24 hours of silence, directly social death!
Elizabeth posted on December 1: donated 200,000 to the Hong Kong Tai Po fire disaster fund, accompanied by "donation receipt"
A few hours later, sharp-eyed netizens magnified:
・Three types of fonts flying everywhere (official unified black font)
・LOGO jagged + cut-out traces
・Date format, signature all wrong
Is this using disaster Photoshop to establish the persona of an "independent female philanthropist"?
If you don't have money, you can choose not to donate or donate less, but fraudulent donations for traffic cannot be tolerated!!!
If you really want to donate, please go to the official website gov.hk/aidfund, and the funds will arrive with one click and can stand the test.
Traffic can be sought, but conscience cannot be lost!!!
#kol收入 #香港火灾
Elizabeth posted on December 1: donated 200,000 to the Hong Kong Tai Po fire disaster fund, accompanied by "donation receipt"
A few hours later, sharp-eyed netizens magnified:
・Three types of fonts flying everywhere (official unified black font)
・LOGO jagged + cut-out traces
・Date format, signature all wrong
Is this using disaster Photoshop to establish the persona of an "independent female philanthropist"?
If you don't have money, you can choose not to donate or donate less, but fraudulent donations for traffic cannot be tolerated!!!
If you really want to donate, please go to the official website gov.hk/aidfund, and the funds will arrive with one click and can stand the test.
Traffic can be sought, but conscience cannot be lost!!!
#kol收入 #香港火灾
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Is the Bitcoin bull market back? Tom Lee predicts a new high by the end of January! 🚀
Fundstrat's Tom Lee has spoken again: Bitcoin has not peaked yet, it will definitely break new highs before the end of January!
Current price is 86K, ETF funds are surging, Trump's crypto policy support, and the Federal Reserve's dovish turn is imminent.
Brothers, HODL steady, is this wave about to take off?
#bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #Bullrun $BTC
Fundstrat's Tom Lee has spoken again: Bitcoin has not peaked yet, it will definitely break new highs before the end of January!
Current price is 86K, ETF funds are surging, Trump's crypto policy support, and the Federal Reserve's dovish turn is imminent.
Brothers, HODL steady, is this wave about to take off?
#bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #Bullrun $BTC
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Daily Express (Understand Today's Key Points in 1 Minute ｜2025.12.01)
📌Core Signals
1. Bitcoin Short-term Trends
Current Price: $86,717.57 (↓5.1%)
Market Structure: The price is experiencing a significant correction, and the heat in the derivatives market is cooling down. Open Interest has decreased by 2.56% within 24 hours, indicating that a large number of positions are being liquidated.
Liquidation Warning: The upper resistance level has moved down to the psychological level of $90,000, with key support at the $85,000 area below. If this support is broken, it may trigger further declines.
Liquidation Overview: The price drop accompanied by a decrease in open interest indicates that this round of decline is primarily driven by long liquidation/passive clearing, and market leverage is being cleared.
1. Bitcoin Short-term Trends
Current Price: $86,717.57 (↓5.1%)
Market Structure: The price is experiencing a significant correction, and the heat in the derivatives market is cooling down. Open Interest has decreased by 2.56% within 24 hours, indicating that a large number of positions are being liquidated.
Liquidation Warning: The upper resistance level has moved down to the psychological level of $90,000, with key support at the $85,000 area below. If this support is broken, it may trigger further declines.
Liquidation Overview: The price drop accompanied by a decrease in open interest indicates that this round of decline is primarily driven by long liquidation/passive clearing, and market leverage is being cleared.
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Market Impact Perspective——Will the USDT Crisis Affect the Entire Crypto Ecosystem?
Hayes' views have sparked heated discussions: If Tether's reserve transformation fails, it could impact the market like the 2022 Terra collapse! USDT accounts for 70% of crypto trading, and concerns about solvency may lead BTC to temporarily drop below $80,000.
After Hayes posted on November 30, USDT briefly depegged to 0.9998, while gold mining stocks saw a slight increase. Outlook: The Federal Reserve's rate cut in December is favorable for the long term, but geopolitical black swans (such as the China-US trade war) pose risks. The crypto market needs to be vigilant against systemic risks!
Follow me + comment 666 to receive a red envelope 🧧～
#CryptoMarke #USDT #FedRateCut
Hayes' views have sparked heated discussions: If Tether's reserve transformation fails, it could impact the market like the 2022 Terra collapse! USDT accounts for 70% of crypto trading, and concerns about solvency may lead BTC to temporarily drop below $80,000.
After Hayes posted on November 30, USDT briefly depegged to 0.9998, while gold mining stocks saw a slight increase. Outlook: The Federal Reserve's rate cut in December is favorable for the long term, but geopolitical black swans (such as the China-US trade war) pose risks. The crypto market needs to be vigilant against systemic risks!
Follow me + comment 666 to receive a red envelope 🧧～
#CryptoMarke #USDT #FedRateCut
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Ice and fire! The fate of the prediction market's dual heroes is about to reverse, the timing is very subtle!\n\nThe well-known prediction platform Kalshi recently faced a collective lawsuit at the end of November, with 7 Kalshi users as representative plaintiffs, against Kalshi Inc. and its subsidiaries, claiming that the platform operated sports betting businesses without obtaining any state gambling licenses and misled users through market manipulation. Kalshi denied these allegations, calling them "baseless fabrications," and stated that it would respond further through court documents.\n\nPrior to this, Kalshi had already faced the same regulatory challenges in Nevada and lost a related lawsuit in November 2025, resulting in its sports-related contracts being banned in Nevada.\n\nJust recently, as a major competitor in the prediction market, Polymarket spent 112 million to acquire QCEX and obtained a CFTC license, making a compliant return to the U.S. after 3 years. One found a breakthrough through license acquisition, while the other is mired in regulatory lawsuits; don't you think it's time for a change?\n\n#Kalshi #加密预测平台
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Saylor releases the "Green Dot" preview, hinting that the Strategy is about to start a new round of Bitcoin accumulation!
Currently, the company has bought nearly 650,000 BTC 87 times, with a holding value of 59 billion dollars. The CEO has drawn a red line: coins will only be sold if mNAV falls below net assets and funding is cut off. The newly launched dashboard is extremely hardcore; Bitcoin can repay debts if it drops to 25,000 dollars, and dividends can be continued for decades at an average price of 74,000.
This giant's long-term Bitcoin strategy is solid!
$BTC #strategy #Saylor
Currently, the company has bought nearly 650,000 BTC 87 times, with a holding value of 59 billion dollars. The CEO has drawn a red line: coins will only be sold if mNAV falls below net assets and funding is cut off. The newly launched dashboard is extremely hardcore; Bitcoin can repay debts if it drops to 25,000 dollars, and dividends can be continued for decades at an average price of 74,000.
This giant's long-term Bitcoin strategy is solid!
$BTC #strategy #Saylor
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The prediction market bets are heating up, with the probability of breaking 100,000 at $BTC hitting a new high
As the Federal Reserve continues to release dovish signals, the betting frenzy for BTC to reach 100,000 USD by the end of the year is rapidly intensifying! Data from two major prediction platforms shows that trader confidence has reached a temporary peak: on Polymarket, the probability of BTC breaking 100,000 USD by the end of the year has risen to 52%, while the Kalshi platform has even reached 60%, a significant increase from last week's 45%. What's more noteworthy is that the total amount of related bets on both platforms has exceeded 100 million USD, setting a new high for prediction-related bets this year, which intuitively reflects the market's optimistic expectations for this target are accelerating.
Institutional support is also strong: JPMorgan's latest research report points out that if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates as expected in December, combined with the continuous net inflow of spot BTC ETFs, the target price for BTC by the end of the year could reach 115,000 - 125,000 USD; Standard Chartered is even more aggressive, raising the target to 145,000 USD, with the core logic being the dual drive of supply contraction after the halving and liquidity easing. ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood has clearly stated that after the Federal Reserve meeting on December 10, the liquidity tightening cycle will officially reverse, and this point will become a 'catalyst' for BTC to break through key resistance levels, pushing prices towards higher ranges.
However, it is necessary to view the current optimism rationally: looking back at historical data, the accuracy of similar prediction markets during the bull market of 2021 was about 65%, and it is easily affected by sudden events such as geopolitical conflicts and regulatory policy changes. Currently, BTC is only 9% away from 100,000 USD, but it must first break through the key resistance level of 95,000 USD; short-term volatility risks cannot be ignored, and investors need to seize opportunities while also hedging against risks.
#BTC走势分析 #机构行为 #加密资产
Follow me + comment to rush and share the red envelope!!!
As the Federal Reserve continues to release dovish signals, the betting frenzy for BTC to reach 100,000 USD by the end of the year is rapidly intensifying! Data from two major prediction platforms shows that trader confidence has reached a temporary peak: on Polymarket, the probability of BTC breaking 100,000 USD by the end of the year has risen to 52%, while the Kalshi platform has even reached 60%, a significant increase from last week's 45%. What's more noteworthy is that the total amount of related bets on both platforms has exceeded 100 million USD, setting a new high for prediction-related bets this year, which intuitively reflects the market's optimistic expectations for this target are accelerating.
Institutional support is also strong: JPMorgan's latest research report points out that if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates as expected in December, combined with the continuous net inflow of spot BTC ETFs, the target price for BTC by the end of the year could reach 115,000 - 125,000 USD; Standard Chartered is even more aggressive, raising the target to 145,000 USD, with the core logic being the dual drive of supply contraction after the halving and liquidity easing. ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood has clearly stated that after the Federal Reserve meeting on December 10, the liquidity tightening cycle will officially reverse, and this point will become a 'catalyst' for BTC to break through key resistance levels, pushing prices towards higher ranges.
However, it is necessary to view the current optimism rationally: looking back at historical data, the accuracy of similar prediction markets during the bull market of 2021 was about 65%, and it is easily affected by sudden events such as geopolitical conflicts and regulatory policy changes. Currently, BTC is only 9% away from 100,000 USD, but it must first break through the key resistance level of 95,000 USD; short-term volatility risks cannot be ignored, and investors need to seize opportunities while also hedging against risks.
#BTC走势分析 #机构行为 #加密资产
Follow me + comment to rush and share the red envelope!!!
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Dollar Alert! Institutions Speak Out: The 2026 Fed Rate Cut Wave Will Hit the Greenback Hard, DXY Could Drop 5% to 94!
Morgan Stanley warns that the "bear market" will continue in the first half of the year—weak labor force + loose policy, a double blow to capital outflow.
JPMorgan predicts only one rate cut, but the market has priced in a 3% low point, Morningstar sees a 0.75% decline. It has depreciated 5% in 2025, and may be even more severe next year: the appeal of US Treasuries is diminishing, with funds flooding into emerging markets & gold!
Investors, wake up—HODL dollars or switch? In the Web3 era, crypto assets may become the new darling of hedging. The Fed's dovish signals are already clear, and 2026 is the year of the dollar "black swan"? DYOR, opportunities are always hidden within risks!
#美元崩盘 #Fed #usd #加密市场观察
Morgan Stanley warns that the "bear market" will continue in the first half of the year—weak labor force + loose policy, a double blow to capital outflow.
JPMorgan predicts only one rate cut, but the market has priced in a 3% low point, Morningstar sees a 0.75% decline. It has depreciated 5% in 2025, and may be even more severe next year: the appeal of US Treasuries is diminishing, with funds flooding into emerging markets & gold!
Investors, wake up—HODL dollars or switch? In the Web3 era, crypto assets may become the new darling of hedging. The Fed's dovish signals are already clear, and 2026 is the year of the dollar "black swan"? DYOR, opportunities are always hidden within risks!
#美元崩盘 #Fed #usd #加密市场观察
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The prediction market is going crazy!
Kalshi's valuation has doubled in just a few weeks, raising over $1.3 billion in Q4, with the latest round of financing pushing its valuation to $11 billion. Competitor Polymarket is also not backing down, aiming for a valuation between $12 billion and $15 billion in its new financing round.
As these two giants clash, who will be the first to break the $15 billion mark?
#Kalshi #预测市场 #polymark
Kalshi's valuation has doubled in just a few weeks, raising over $1.3 billion in Q4, with the latest round of financing pushing its valuation to $11 billion. Competitor Polymarket is also not backing down, aiming for a valuation between $12 billion and $15 billion in its new financing round.
As these two giants clash, who will be the first to break the $15 billion mark?
#Kalshi #预测市场 #polymark
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