Amin Jamaddar

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{future}(MERLUSDT)
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tp2: 0.17500
tp3: 0.1800
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$BTC The U.S. Supreme Court is about to announce its ruling, and the market is on high alert.

Latest reports indicate that the U.S. Supreme Court will officially announce several rulings today at 10:00 AM Eastern Time. As some cases involve macro policies, regulatory boundaries, and the scope of government power, the market generally anticipates that this ruling may have direct or indirect effects on the financial environment, and sentiment has clearly become more cautious.

Before the announcement of the ruling, financial markets often enter a 'defensive mode' in advance. Stock index futures, the U.S. dollar index, and bond yields usually experience short-term fluctuations, while the cryptocurrency market, due to its 24-hour trading and high leverage characteristics, is more prone to amplify emotional reactions. Historical experience shows that on the day of a major judicial ruling announcement, market volatility often significantly increases, with short-term capital entering and exiting frequently.

For traders, this timing tests risk management capabilities even more. Some investors choose to reduce their positions and lower leverage to cope with potential drastic fluctuations; others remain on the sidelines, waiting for a clearer direction before entering the market. Regardless of the strategy employed, staying calm and avoiding emotional trading is key.

Overall, the ruling itself may not change the long-term trend, but the short-term impact cannot be ignored. The market has entered a high-alert state, and funds are re-pricing uncertainty. The next few hours may become a critical window influencing the market direction for the day.
{future}(BTCUSDT)

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🇺🇸 Latest News: Fitch Upgrades U.S. Economic Growth Outlook, Expects Two Rate Cuts by the Fed in First Half of 2026

The international rating agency Fitch Ratings has released its latest report, upgrading its forecast for U.S. economic growth and projecting that the Federal Reserve will implement two rate cuts in the first half of 2026. This assessment indicates that despite ongoing global economic uncertainties, the resilience of the U.S. economy exceeds previous expectations, and the overall outlook is gradually improving.

Fitch notes that U.S. consumer spending remains stable, the labor market has cooled slightly but still holds firm support, and business investment is gradually rebounding, providing a solid foundation for economic growth. Meanwhile, inflationary pressures continue to ease, creating space for a shift in monetary policy. Under these conditions, Fitch believes the Federal Reserve does not need to maintain high interest rates for an extended period, and moderate rate cuts would help solidify the achievement of a soft landing.

The report also highlights that the marginal improvement in fiscal policy and financial conditions is a key reason behind the upward revision of economic expectations. Although high debt levels remain a medium-term risk, they are not currently imposing significant constraints on economic activity. If inflation continues to move toward the target range, two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the first half of 2026 would become increasingly reasonable.

Market participants generally view Fitch's latest assessment as a signal of optimism. For capital markets, the expectation of rate cuts helps improve risk appetite, benefiting equities and long-term asset allocation; at the same time, it may also provide renewed support for interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as real estate and technology. Overall, the U.S. economy is moving toward a more moderate and sustainable growth path.#美联储何时降息？

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At 21:30 tonight, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the December 2025 non-farm employment data! This data has a certain impact on the market, and prices may fluctuate before and after the release, so be sure to manage your positions accordingly.

The market generally expects that the U.S. job market will still be growing, but the number of new jobs may slow down slightly compared to November, while the unemployment rate is expected to drop slightly.
According to Reuters' forecast, non-farm employment is expected to increase by 60,000 in December, slightly below the previous figure of 64,000; the unemployment rate may drop slightly from 4.6% to 4.5%. Employment