带单小帅

Is Bitcoin and Ethereum "stalled"? Key data tonight will determine the direction, don't miss out!
Yesterday the cryptocurrency market showed a hint of rebound, but in the blink of an eye, it returned to lethargy. Bitcoin and Ethereum seemed to have hit the brakes, completely losing their momentum. The current market is like a hesitant traveler, unable to move forward, yet unwilling to go back. It all depends on today’s two major data points.
Market Review: Rebound was short-lived, oscillation is the main theme
Yesterday, Bitcoin managed to touch the 90,000 mark, but the momentum was insufficient. It traded back and forth between 90,300 and 89,700 all day, resembling a tug-of-war. Ethereum was similar; after returning above 3,000, it couldn't hold its ground and hovered in the range of 3,030 to 2,990. When the US market opened, the situation deteriorated again, gradually moving downward. Bitcoin dipped to 88,500 before barely correcting; it is now consolidating around 89,500. Ethereum also fell to around 2,910 before rebounding, currently fluctuating around 2,950, with an overall weak market atmosphere.
Macro and Technical: Lack of favorable news, insufficient recovery momentum
Last night, the US November PCE data was released, roughly meeting expectations, and the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates next week is practically a done deal. Without favorable news to support it, the cryptocurrency market naturally struggles to gain momentum, like a basketball team lacking a core player, with no strategy in offense or defense.
From a technical perspective, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have barely held their rebounds after falling near the lower Bollinger band. The four-hour MACD shows some weak momentum, as if it's trying to catch its breath for a recovery, but the RSI indicator is as flat as a straight line, making it difficult to exert force in the short term. In simple terms, rebounds are easily pressured, and there is significant resistance to upward movement.
Today's Guidance: Keep a close eye on two key data points, grasp critical levels
Today, there are two key points to focus on: the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision and the final value of the US January Michigan Consumer Confidence Index. These two data points are like the "barometer" of the market; any slight movement could trigger volatility, as the current market is very sensitive.
#达沃斯世界经济论坛2026 #特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 #美国加密市场法案延迟

$RIVER
At this price, brothers, it's better not to enter the market easily. The funding rate is too high, and I have already been eaten up by too many fees.
Let's wait and see for now.
#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 #下任美联储主席会是谁？ #特朗普对欧洲加征关税

1.21 Morning Insights (Recommendation 3%, 100 times, total position not exceeding 5%):

ETH Long Position: Buy around 2848, stop loss at 2818, take profit looking at a rebound strength of 60-80 points, break out 200 points+

ETH Short Position: Sell around 2996, stop loss at 3026, take profit not included

Remarks (Below are strong support and resistance order levels):

1. Bottom support below 2642, can consider 3%, take a long position, stop loss at 2612, take profit not included

2. Top resistance above 3051, can consider 3%, take a short position, stop loss at 3081, take profit not included

3. Do not over-leverage, test with a light position, maintain a good stop loss, avoid being trapped, find good opportunities to trade, otherwise you will have no face to go home for the New Year.
‍#加密市场观察

In terms of SOL, the rebound high point continues to decline, and the trend is gradually weakening. After a pullback to the 135 level in the early hours, it failed to continue, and is currently oscillating around 134, with the overall structure still leaning bearish.

There has not yet been a stabilization signal in the trend, and the operational approach remains primarily to short on rebounds. Reference the 135–138 area for pressure layout, and in the short term, pay attention to the pullback space in the 128–122 range.
$SOL

For someone who has been in the cryptocurrency space for 8 years
‌ today I want to talk about some "counterintuitive" practical truths with everyone. $ZBT
I am a post-90s born, from Hubei, now settled in Guangzhou. I entered the market 8 years ago, starting with a capital of 50,000, and have grown to my current scale without insider knowledge, shortcuts, or relying on luck.
$OG The only thing I did right was to survive longer than others with the simplest approach. $RVV Many people ask me: why can some people stay in the market for a long time while others can't survive a market cycle? The answer is simple - they understood the rhythm of the market makers and controlled their own emotions.
The following 6 points are the "survival rules" I have repeatedly verified over more than 2920 days, they are not complicated but very valuable.
First: Rapid rise and slow fall often do not indicate a peak. A sudden surge followed by a slow pullback is mostly a washout and capital turnover; there's no need to panic and exit;
Second: Rapid fall and slow rise usually do not present an opportunity. After a flash crash, if the price slowly climbs, it seems like a second chance to buy, but in fact, it often indicates the end of selling—don't be fooled by the thought that "it has fallen so much already";
Third: High volume at a peak does not necessarily mean death; low volume is what requires caution. If the price rises with accompanying volume, there is still room for speculation; once the price consolidates and volume drops sharply, this "quietness" often signals a major drop.
Fourth: A single large volume at the bottom does not equal a reversal. A true bottom is forged over time, with several days or even weeks of consistent volume increase, signaling serious capital accumulation; a single large bullish candle at most is just a "smoke screen";
Fifth: Price is the result, and volume is the emotion. Many people focus on the K-line appearance, but in reality, volume is what matters—it reflects market consensus and the real changes in the strength of bulls and bears;
Sixth: The ability to "short" is what makes a true expert. Being in cash is not cowardice, but a wise choice. Not chasing highs is restraint, and not panicking is confidence. When you can approach the market with "no attachment," trading will truly serve you. #美国核心CPI低于预期 #加密市场观察 #比特币2026年价格预测

$RIVER
Brothers, there is currently an inflow of funds, and the signs of a price increase are obvious; you can buy more. For specific points, come to the chat room to learn more.
#加密市场观察 #美国核心CPI低于预期 #比特币2026年价格预测

#RIVER Over the weekend at the park, I saw this scene: a little girl stood in front of hopscotch for a long time, her toes lifted and then lowered, lacking the courage to jump over. A friend behind her casually said, "If you jump over, the squares won't run away," and she finally leaped across.

This scene reminded me of my own experience in trading.

Watching the candlestick chart test key positions repeatedly, I always calculated the "perfect" entry point in my mind—only to often miss the entire wave of market movement due to endless hesitation. FHE's recent performance is typical. The price repeatedly confirmed at key support, and although the RSI showed an overbought signal, the market has not shown obvious exhaustion, making it both tempting to follow and frightening to chase high prices.

**Current Observations**

Based on the 4-hour chart, the RSI has entered the overbought zone, but the price has not shown obvious signs of decline. In this state, chasing after it can easily lead to being trapped. My strategy is to wait and see.

If the price can pull back from the current high to around 0.092 and stabilize in this range, it would be worth trying to go long with a small position. Conversely, if FHE breaks through the integer level of 0.105 with strong volume, following the trend would also be an option—at that point, chasing high prices would actually be the right choice.

The squares won't run away, but the sun will set.

Sometimes we take "caution" as protection, but in reality, excessive hesitation is the biggest risk. Opportunities won’t improve just because you wait long enough; they will slowly turn away.

The key is to find the rhythm—neither standing at the starting point forever out of fear nor rushing blindly due to anxiety. FHE is currently at such a critical moment, with the market waiting for traders to make a choice, and traders also waiting for the market to give signals.

Don't let excessive caution steal the opportunities that should belong to you.
#美国核心CPI低于预期 #Strategy增持比特币 #比特币2026年价格预测

$ETH
Forecast
The current market for Ethereum is not very clear, showing an M-top pattern. The important resistance is now at 3330-3340. If it cannot hold this position, this wave of increase is about over, and a significant pullback will occur. Support below is around 3270; if it breaks, it will plunge. The deepest level is expected to be around 3130-3090.
If it goes above 3340, a W-bottom will form, and we can continue to see 3500-3600.
#美国核心CPI低于预期 #加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币

【RIVER 4H Structure Observation】After a sharp peak, rapid decline follows, short-term entering a 'retracement recovery phase'
Current price around 19.609 (24H -18.73%)
24H range: 19.007 ~ 32.733

This retracement is very typical: peak → volume surge → rapid reversal, indicating significant profit-taking above, short-term entering a 'sentiment cooling phase'.

✅ Structural Key Points
• 32.7 is a阶段性 high point, short-term resistance is extremely strong
• Current price near the 19 area, a low-end zone formed through decline, considered a 'support zone created by drop'
• This kind of pattern usually leads to:
A. Weak rebound followed by continued decline, or B. Volume contraction and consolidation before direction choice
🔴 Short-Selling Strategy (only short rebounds, don't chase shorts)

Strategy: Consider shorting only when rebounding to resistance level
• Watch resistance: 21.4 ~ 22.8
• If rebound lacks volume, fails to break higher, and shows weakening candlestick patterns → consider light short position
• Stop-loss: above 23.2
• Target: look back to 20.0 / 19.2

📌 Key Point: Directly chasing shorts now is like 'chasing the tail', easily hit by a sudden rebound.

⸻

🎯 Conclusion in One Sentence

RIVER is currently in a recovery phase after a high-level sharp drop: only take long positions at key support levels or short on rebounds, avoid emotional chasing trades.

Follow Xiao Shuai's rhythm, and keep consistently growing your capital

#MyFirstPostOf2026 Today at the beginning of the day, the market saw a strong rally, with Bitcoin reaching a peak of $94,478 and Ethereum climbing to around $3,383. This surge was accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating a return of bullish momentum. The drivers behind the rally include optimistic expectations about Federal Reserve policy and technical breakout momentum. However, after the rapid rise, short-term technical indicators have entered overbought territory. This suggests the market may need a brief pullback or consolidation to digest the gains, so chasing the price at current levels is not advisable.

Bitcoin Currently, Bitcoin's technical picture shows a bullish alignment. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, but hourly RSI and other indicators show overbought conditions, indicating a need for technical correction.

Long strategy: A more conservative approach is to wait for a price retracement to the support zone of $93,600 - $93,800 to enter a small long position. If the pullback deepens, consider gradually building positions near the strong support zone of $92,800 - $93,000. Stop-loss can be placed below $92,500, with target levels set at $94,500 and then $95,000.

Key breakout: If price consolidates and then breaks out with strong volume above the Asian session high of $94,500, it could open up upward potential toward $95,000 and even $96,000.

Ethereum Ethereum's movement is closely correlated with Bitcoin, also showing strong momentum, but its 4-hour technical indicators also show overbought signs, indicating significant short-term pullback pressure.

Long strategy: The core idea is to buy on pullbacks. Watch for opportunities to enter when price retests the support zone of $3,230 - $3,250. A more conservative entry point is the $3,180 - $3,200 area. Stop-loss can be set below $3,150, with target levels aiming for $3,350 - $3,380.

Short reference: Aggressive and experienced traders may consider light short positions if price rallies to the strong resistance zone of $3,380 - $3,430 and shows clear signs of stagnation (e.g., long upper wicks), with strict stop-loss of $30-$50 and target near $3,300.

💎 Overall, after a strong breakout, the short-term trend remains bullish, but caution is warranted regarding technical pullbacks. Main strategy: Focus on buying on pullbacks rather than chasing price spikes. Waiting for price to retrace to key support levels before entering is a more prudent approach.

Strict risk management: Always trade with small positions and strictly set stop-loss and take-profit levels.

myx is still too authoritative. After being silent for so long, it has started to rise. However, this time the entire market is moving. The major player is just taking advantage of this rise to start the upward trend.

BTBT Weekly Technical Review

The overall situation indicates a period of consolidation. The current price trend reflects selling, but the trading volume has significantly decreased — this is a key divergence signal when the RSI weakens. This technical divergence often foreshadows significant upcoming changes.

If downward pressure continues, the 0.382 logarithmic Fibonacci level has formed a solid convergence point, where buy orders are concentrated. This area is both a critical technical support level and a point of institutional buying interest, which is worth close attention.

This layout suggests that traders should watch for price rebounds at this support level or confirm lower targets when this level is decisively broken.

The market is difficult to navigate now, so it is even more important to proceed with caution.

Continuously monitor: BEAT MYX RIVER TAKE
#比特币2026年价格预测 #加密市场观察 #代币化热潮

The old altcoin and meme coin rotation market continues, especially PEPE, which is the main character of this round of increase, reaching nearly a 50% increase. This is the beginning of the altcoin season bull market.

Now Zhuohang will help you layout altcoins, allowing you to seize the opportunity in such a market.
#加密市场观察 #Strategy增持比特币 #隐私叙事回归

$ETH
Ether has now started to gain traction. This has caused many brothers to be trapped in short positions on Ether.
Currently, it has come down to around 9150, driven by Bitcoin.
It can be said that it is entirely lifted by Bitcoin's rise. The market sentiment has already been ignited.
Zhuo Hang is now taking you through this major market trend, where you can truly seize every segment of the market accurately.
Continue to follow: B PIEVERSE BULLA TAKE BEAT
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #隐私叙事回归 #美联储回购协议计划

As we enter 2026, the bitcoin market seems to be pulled by three hands simultaneously—macro economy, capital flows, and market sentiment, with none willing to let go. It appears lively on the surface, but in reality, it's engaged in a 'range tug-of-war'.

From a technical perspective, the spot ETF launched by a leading platform has acted as a stabilizing force, at least providing decent support at the bottom. However, the Federal Reserve's stance is unpredictable, and large funds are on the sidelines, causing the market to be stuck in place—wanting to surge upwards but unable to do so.

What is the most probable scenario? Bitcoin repeatedly tests the range between $80,000 and $140,000, with the $90,000 to $120,000 zone being the easiest area for conflicts to arise. If the macro situation collapses, coupled with a retreat of capital, the support level around $50,000 may very well be tested again. Conversely, as soon as liquidity starts to pick up and real money from ETFs flows in continuously, targets of $120,000 or even higher could be reached at any moment.

The core issue now is not 'should we go all in now', but rather focusing on signals that can change the game: Is there sustained net inflow of capital? Is market leverage quietly accumulating? Are those long-term holders starting to reduce their holdings?

Until these signals are seen, this market is actually building momentum; it hasn't reached the point of truly taking off yet. Instead of relying on courage, it’s better to rely on patience.

#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划

$LIGHT
Fortunately, it's just that we made 4 times the profit, mainly because the investment was a bit fast. The notification came a bit late.
This caused the brothers to only get a small portion.

I know many of the brothers are stuck, but now Zhuohang will help you fight back.
Stay tuned: BEAT ZBT LIGHT RIVER
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #比特币与黄金战争

$BEAT
Alright, now the dealer has run away, and the rest are brothers who are trapped. Now we need to think of ways to cut losses in time, brothers.
Zhuo Hang here can help you recover and turn the tables.

Stay tuned: LIGHT RIVER ZEC TAKE
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #隐私币生态普涨

$RIVER
Keep rising, why has it stopped rising? Zhuohang noticed that on-chain funds had started to flee, and immediately told fans to start positioning short orders.

In this way, they finally achieved a profit of 17 times.

Following Zhuohang's rhythm strategy may not be quick, but it is definitely stable.
Continue to pay attention to: LIGHT ZBT ZEC
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #RWA总规模持续增长 #美联储回购协议计划

A night of returning to zero is not the harshest; the harshest is when you think you are finished.

Last year, this fan of mine lost 1 million in the crypto world, not just a retracement, but a complete collapse. The phone was smashed, the software was deleted, and the person disappeared for two months, feeling that this path had come to an end. But do you know what is the most terrifying thing? It's not being out of money; it's that breath you can't swallow down. At the beginning of this year, there was only 10,000 U left in the account, and he gave himself an ultimatum: either accept fate and roll away, or get back up from the ruins.
Then the fan came to me, complaining, and no one expected that with this little remaining capital, I took him through the process from 10,000 U → 120,000 U → doubling again → doubling again, not only recovering all previous losses but also earning over 500,000 U. Sounds like a myth? No, this is the result of execution crushing emotions. $RIVER

What truly turned his situation around were the three iron rules I gave him, simple to the point of being cruel.
First, never go all in: the maximum for a single transaction is 40%, 60% should never be touched, and cut losses at 15% directly.
As long as you don’t get liquidated, you’re alive; second, only follow the trend: don’t guess the top, don’t bottom fish, go long when it rises, go short when it falls, going against the trend is just giving money to the market; third, profits must be taken: only take 30% of profits to continue rolling, withdraw all the rest, and emotions return to zero instantly. Such “foolish” rules, $LIGHT

I have pulled dozens of people from over a thousand U to 50,000 U over the course of a few days and have brought countless people back from the brink of liquidation. To put it bluntly, what many people lack is not skills, but discipline and someone who can hold you accountable. The market is already moving; if you really want to turn things around, don’t just watch others take off from the sidelines—
Come on, in this round, let’s ambush a hundred times the coins together.
But let’s be clear first: I only take those who truly want to win and can hold to the rules.
#Strategy增持比特币 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察
Stay tuned: ZBT LIGHT RIVER BROCCOLI714

After 8 years of struggle in the crypto world, from 10,000 U to 2,000,000 U—honestly, I haven't encountered any insider information, nor did I catch the craziest bull market. What truly turned my fortunes around was a set of 'fool's logic,' developed day by day through trading. Over 2,900 days and nights, I focused on one thing: treating the crypto market like a game where one levels up, steady, precise, and ruthless.
Today, I’m sharing 6 practical insights, hoping you can also steadily increase your value in this market.

Prices skyrocketing absurdly, and then dropping weakly? That could be a washout. When a coin suddenly spikes and then slowly sinks, many people rush to cut losses; in fact, this is the method used by the big players to clean out floating chips. What’s truly dangerous is a sudden surge followed by a flash crash; that’s when it’s high-risk to enter. Stay calm; emotions are the poison of trading.
Fast drops and slow rises? This requires vigilance. *A slow rebound after a flash crash may seem like a bargain opportunity, but in reality, it’s the last window for the big players to offload. Don’t let greed ruin your account.
A sudden increase in trading volume at highs isn’t necessarily bad; lack of volume is the real warning bell.
Highs with increased volume often have the potential for another surge, but once the volume contracts, the signal for a crash is very near. At that point, you must be on high alert.

Volume at the bottom also needs to be selective. Occasionally, one or two large volume bars are just tests; the real signal for building positions is sustained volume. Wait for confirmation before entering; don’t fall for the bait.
Stop staring at K-line charts; trading volume is the real evidence of money in action. Low volume means the crowd is scattered, while high volume indicates real capital is participating. Instead of stubbornly sticking to charts, it’s better to follow the footsteps of the capital.

The last secret: being in cash is also a skill. If there aren’t any solid opportunities, it’s better to wait on the sidelines than to be forced to enter. True trading experts aren’t fast in and out; they know when to hold their positions. Steady accumulation and maintaining rationality are the secrets to lasting in the crypto world. Let’s transform trading into predictable growth together.
#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察 #比特币与黄金战争
Keep following: TRADOOR ZBT BEAT TAKE