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🙄“Waiting for the year-end rally”. ⏳✨I suspect a manipulative upward movement followed by a major pullback before December 31.
$BTC in recent days has adjusted close to US$ 90,000–92,000, after having fallen weeks ago below US$ 88,000.
This rebound seems driven by a change in the global macroeconomic landscape: the Federal Reserve (the FED) has ended its balance sheet reduction program (QT), which stops the withdrawal of liquidity from the system; at the same time, the market assigns a high probability (close to 90%) to a rate cut in its December meeting.
That cocktail —more liquidity + falling rates = appetite for risk— puts BTC back in the spotlight as a refuge and expected investment.
In this context, some institutional players are starting to move again: it is speculated that new purchases or accumulations could reignite the crypto market, in anticipation of a “year-end rally”. But not everything is certain: analysts warn that volatility remains present. If the FED appears cautious or macro data disappoints, BTC could suffer corrections again before consolidating.
With 2025 coming to an end, markets are placing their bets: will this rebound be the prelude to a 2026 dominated by cryptos, or just a breather before another turbulence? ⏳✨
In recent hours, analysts highlight a repeated but relentless phenomenon: liquidity is asserting itself once again. While alarmist headlines shake investors, rumors about Tether, fears of recession, and doubts about MicroStrategy cause the public to sell in panic. However, on the upper deck, major players advance quietly: JPMorgan prepares new crypto products, Goldman Sachs expands desks of #bitcoin and Vanguard opens access to millions of clients.
🔍 In this context, specialists assure that Bitcoin would have marked a key floor, coinciding with the great bullish trend that links the highs of 2021 and 2024 with the recent lows of 2025. The rebound came accompanied by extreme fear and record liquidations, a scenario that often precedes larger turns. Now, the price consolidates above resistance aiming for $94,000-$97,000, with projections pointing towards $106,400-$107,500 before the end of the year.
📈 MicroStrategy replicates the pattern: capitulation, false break, and immediate recovery. It is already trading below its book value, becoming —according to analysts— a leveraged exposure to Bitcoin at liquidation prices.
💵 Liquidity signals reinforce the change of cycle: the Fed injected $13.5 billion in one day, the Treasury loosens the TGA, and repo rates normalize. Consumption in the U.S. rises by 9% year-on-year and the market is already discounting rate cuts in December.
😂"The Bank of Japan, 💥The press has pointed to it as the culprit of the last fall, haha who believes these guys?💩
However, the DRED📉 chart shows that the real story comes from the U.S. In mid-July, the Treasury and the Fed drained more than $650 billion, leaving the markets without the usual oxygen. Bitcoin, always sensitive to global liquidity, reacted late, showing its fall just when many believed the risk had passed. 💥
What is seen now is not a BoJ effect, but the pending bill of that American contraction. With little intraday liquidity, profit-taking by large holders caused a drop that felt like an elevator without cables. 🕳️
Still, the storm has an end. The QT has already finished and the Fed is preparing to turn on the taps again. Powell has the key. 🔑 Meanwhile, the S&P 500 holds up, but gold and silver shine brightly thanks to record purchases and signs of physical scarcity. ✨
In Tokyo, the BoJ raises rates with an almost reckless tone, while governments like the Japanese and German push for new stimuli that, sooner or later, will force more global liquidity. And there, Bitcoin and gold strengthen: when states go into debt, central banks start printing again.
The bear market still breathes, but its time is running out. When the TGA starts to deflate, the tide will return. 🌊 And, as always, liquidity will win. Those who can accumulate during this bearish phase have a great opportunity. $BTC $ETH $BNB #BTCRebound90kNext?#BTC86kJPShock#BTC走势分析#ETH(二饼)#bnb一輩子
🤔Bitcoin seems suspended at a delicate 💰 equilibrium point.🐳
We expect a new impulse and this does not depend on abstract figures, but on the pulse of the U.S. Treasury: when the balance of its General Account falls below $850,000 M, the released liquidity could act as 🚀 for the price.
🧩 Meanwhile, Jerome Powell has moved the board with changing statements. First, he assured that it was not necessary to lower rates, sowing panic among retail investors 😰. Now, the discourse points to "it's time to adjust," revealing how words can manipulate sentiment but do not always reflect the real path. We can see in the graphs how the 2-year yield curve tells another story 📉: a rate cut in December seems increasingly likely.
⚙️ In parallel, the leveraged positions have been liquidated, clearing the ground. And a key data point shines: the volume of the Bitcoin spot ETF (iShares Bitcoin Trust) reached an all-time high 📈, a sign of smart accumulation, not panic.
🌊 With liquidity starting to flow, albeit still modestly, the bullish scenario is already taking shape. After the next Fed meeting, the momentum could accelerate, paving the way for a more solid upward trend.
On October 10, 2025, MSCI released a discreet note 📄 that raised alarms: it considered excluding companies from its indices whose treasury was largely composed of cryptocurrencies. The announcement hit like lightning ⚡ among institutions and left companies like MicroStrategy under threat of being excluded from global benchmarks.
In the midst of the uproar, the figure of Michael Saylor 🚀 emerged. From his trench, he defended that his company was neither a fund nor a trust, but a financial structure backed by Bitcoin. His words mobilized the crypto ecosystem and sparked a direct clash with traditional giants.
The conflict intensified when Bitcoin defenders called for a boycott against JPMorgan 🏦. Grant Cardone, one of the visible faces of the movement, claimed to have withdrawn 20 million dollars as a gesture of protest, although he acknowledged it was just a drop compared to the size of the bank. The question many are asking ❓: Is JPMorgan influencing the fall of MSTR, which suffered a sharp decline? In Wall Street, the early leak of news and sudden movements to force retail sales are known tactics, and some see this decline as another chapter in that game.
January 15, 2026, is shaping up to be a key date 📅: MSCI will decide the future of these companies in its indices. Until then, the market lives between uncertainty and expectation about the direction of the crypto ecosystem. $BTC $BNB $ETH #Binance #news #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC走势分析 #BTCRebound90kNext?
🔥🐷The Frantic Emission of U.S. Treasury Debt Unleashes a Liquidity Storm 💵 Is it the Prelude to an Explosive Rally for NVIDIA and the Era of Tech Infrastructure?🙄
The U.S. Treasury 🌪️ accelerates the issuance of T-bills as if the economy were on the brink of a monumental crisis. The record balance from November 12 reveals a calculated maneuver: bankers know that the fiat system needs a massive injection of liquidity 💸. If the Federal Reserve's balance starts to decrease in the upcoming publications, it will be the unequivocal signal that this suppressed flow is entering the markets.
This tide of capital points directly to the giants of innovation: #NVIDIA 🚀, with funds approved to expand their empire; utilities ⚡ preparing networks to power data centers; and big tech 🏗️ ready to build new plants and strengthen digital infrastructure.
But before the rally, we are warning of a purge: for those leveraged in futures, they will be swept away in a drop capable of doubling volatility 📉. The message is clear: those trading derivatives must place stops that can withstand a drop even if they are leveraged at 2x. After the storm, a “very bullish” impulse will arrive that could redefine the market.
💥 The downward pressure has two clear culprits: Scott Bessent, who drained more than 650,000 MUSD to rebuild the TGA, and Jerome Powell, who simultaneously cut the Fed's balance sheet, withdrawing liquidity in the midst of a crisis due to a 41-day government shutdown. The result: a market without oxygen.
⚠️ But the most concerning thing is the enormous number of over-leveraged traders in longs, convinced that the bottom has already been reached. We suspect that before the rebound, the final sweep must come. Below the 89,000 zone, the question is, how much would btc need to drop to liquidate positions and mark the true bottom, turning around to a new market peak?
💸 With the government reopened and the "corralito" about to release payments, salaries, and bills, liquidity will return at any moment. When that happens, Bitcoin could aim for 120,000 USD.
🔥 The market does not forgive the impatient but rewards those who understand the purge. I believe the bottom must be near.
💥💥The fall of Bitcoin that left the market trembling in the style of FTX 😰.
A massive purge of leveraged positions swept away over a billion dollars in a day, bringing the fear index to 10%, a level not seen since the post-FTX panic. For many, this recalls what happened in March, just before the big rally that took $BTC above 100K 🚀.
According to analysts, this drop does not mark the end of the bullish trend, but rather a necessary cleansing. Global liquidity contracted and hit Bitcoin hard, which is entirely dependent on its flow 💧. While gold — refuge of central banks — and the Nasdaq — stronghold of tech companies — maintain their roles, BTC took the hardest hit.
The reason for the crash is clear: liquidity got trapped in the Fed due to #TRUMP policies, causing the Treasury balance to jump from 296B to 953B 📉. That money did not enter the system and the big players took the opportunity to sweep out the leveraged positions.
But there is a ray of hope ⚡: the #Fed activated the Standing Repo Facility, injecting direct liquidity into the banks. This could be the bridge to buy back the drop and prepare for the next impulse.
The purge is not an end. It is the prologue to the rebound. In the meantime, I believe we still have a small bearish stretch to buy back. 👀🔥 #USStocksForecast2026 $ETH $BNB #StrategyBTCPurchase
🚨 BREAKING NEWS | Polkadot shakes the Web3 universe with the integration of Sig.Network 🌐⚡ From Buenos Aires, Polkadot surprises the ecosystem by announcing the union with Sig.Network, a native interoperability layer that seamlessly connects Ethereum, Solana, and Bitcoin. During the Sub0 Symbiosis conference, the CEO of Sig.Network, David Millar-Durrant, presented the technology that promises to redefine multichain. 🔗 Sig.Network, built on Substrate, acts as an invisible bridge: it allows Polkadot's DeFi apps to access Ethereum's liquidity, execute transactions at Solana's speed ⚡, and use Bitcoin as sovereign collateral 🟧—all without centralized bridges. “Every DeFi app on Polkadot will be multichain by default,” said Millar-Durrant to an enthusiastic audience.
🚀 With this advancement, and after the migration of 1.600M DOT to the Asset Hub, Polkadot solidifies its position as the neutral hub of the blockchain multiverse. Experts agree: this interoperability marks the beginning of a global and borderless DeFi.
Prepared for a great influx of liquidity to the market $DOT
🔥Is it time to accumulate XRP and Polkadot?🔥 The strategic drop 🤡 coincides with the launch of a good collection of ETFs. $XRP y next in Polkadot. Both ecosystems are advancing together towards a technological renaissance 🚀.
Ripple celebrates Swell 2025 in New York and showcases partnerships with Mastercard, WebBank, and Gemini 💳. These collaborations enable the use of RLUSD in card payments through the XRP Ledger, bringing XRP into traditional finance. Voices like Brad Garlinghouse and analysts from Bloomberg highlight how XRP spot ETFs could attract a new wave of institutional investment 📈.
At the same time, #Polkadot shines with its Sub0 Symbiosis event in Buenos Aires 🇦🇷 and announces the great migration of Asset Hub, achieved in hours and without pauses. With blocks every 6 seconds and a throughput reaching 49,000 TPS, Polkadot 2.0 demonstrates that its evolution is already a reality ⚡.
The debut of the Canary Capital ETF 🐥 and the push from giants like Franklin Templeton fuel optimism for XRP, while Polkadot integrates Nvidia chipsets and tools that streamline the development of advanced apps 🤖.
🌊 Capricious river of debt and 🐷a threat to liquidity 💩
The Federal Reserve 🦄 is on track to expand its balance sheet by hundreds of billions annually, not under a new QE, but due to the voracious demand of the repo market and the record accumulation of the Treasury in its General Account (TGA). Analysts point out that the end of QT in December will free up $60 billion monthly, while the Treasury, with $850 billion in cash after the shutdown, floods the market with T-bills to cover deficits exceeding $3 trillion annually. ⚖️
The Treasury's issuance policy, detailed in its report from November 4, confirms a subtle but critical shift: until now, the preference for short-term notes (≤1 year) has sustained liquidity, as these almost instantaneously convert to cash. However, the “fine print” warns of a shift toward long-term debt (possibly 3 - 5 years), a move that could choke liquidity by immobilizing funds and sinking circulating bond indices. 🧱
Meanwhile, China is preparing its 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030): fiscal stimulus driven by debt, technological self-sufficiency, and reserves in gold and BTC. 🀄 If it reduces Treasury purchases, it could pressure the dollar and catalyze a multipolar supercycle. The Fed expands to survive, but the Treasury paves the abyss: short-term saves, long-term suffocates. 💣
Analysts like @CryptoDonAlt and @iamDCinvestor talk about a "bearish AF" timeline, while Bitcoin retreated by up to 21% and the S&P 500 wavers near highs. But this wave of pessimism contrasts with a more solid technical and macro reality than it seems. 📊
📉 From the theory of contrary opinion, excessive fear often anticipates its opposite: opportunity. #Bitcoin respects its 50-week average — a key accumulation zone — while whales add 350,000 $BTC in 30 days. Not being bearish today is, paradoxically, the most rational position. ⚖️
💼 At the center of this resilience stands Michael Saylor: MicroStrategy holds 641,205 BTC ($65.45B), with unrealized gains of $18B. His model — issuing debt with an expected return of only 12.5% per year — turns risk into a strategy of infinite liquidity.
💰 At the same time, the proposal of #TRUMP for a $2,000 "tariff dividend" per taxpayer could inject $600B into the system, eroding Treasury reserves but boosting gold, BTC, and S&P. 🪙📈
🔑 With the Fed ready to expand its balance sheet, the conclusion is clear: fear is the true short; liquidity, the eternal long. 🚀
The communities on X are divided between panic and technical serenity. This is not a bear market; it is a classic pullback within an unstoppable bullish trend.
Technically, BTC has respected to the millimeter the 50-week moving average and the Fibonacci level 0.5 of the last bullish impulse, exactly the same pattern that preceded the rallies of 2020 and 2024. Even more compelling: the “accumulating” wallets (1-5 years without selling) have bought 350,000 BTC in 30 days, the largest accumulation streak since October 2023, according to Glassnode data circulating like wildfire on the network.
The root cause is known: temporary liquidity scarcity caused by the U.S. government shutdown (day 37) and the Treasury drainage to rebuild the TGA. But the end is near. When the corralito reopens, $71 billion in pending bills (federal salaries, suppliers, defense) will flood the system in 72 hours, plus the $600 billion of new debt issued in 35 days that the Fed will monetize without hesitation. That avalanche, combined with the likely rate cut due to the weakened GDP from the shutdown, will be pure fuel for risk.
🎁Gold knows it. While #bitcoin corrected, Poland secretly bought 67 tons (surpassing China and India) and publicly declared that gold is “the only safe asset.” Its goal: 30% of reserves in gold, which implies 150 tons more in the next 24 months. Translation: $10,000/oz in 5 years is no longer a dream, it is a state plan.
Conclusion and projected data:
Confirmed floor $BTC > $101K, Target: $117K. Second target: $137K before the end of the year. 2026 Target: $250,000+ with U.S. debt at $40T and the Fed printing without brakes.
This pullback is not the end. It is the last big dip before the ultimate takeoff. Liquidity is about to return… and this time, there is no ceiling. $ETH $BNB #Binanceholdermmt #Polkadot #BTC走势分析 #NewsUpdated
🎁"The financial casino and the oracles 💵💰 of Michael Burry"
With a single tweet 💥 from Michael Burry, the “oracle” who predicted 2008, shakes X. “Sometimes, the only winning move is not to play,” he wrote, after two years of silence. His warning resonates amid echoes of euphoria in AI and risk assets 📈, where valuations deviate from fundamentals like in the tech bubble of 2000.
From @MarketWatch to @kirubatweets, the phrase spread wildly, while replies compare it to WarGames and wonder if it anticipates a new “crash” or just a reminder of caution. But voices like @BullTheoryio celebrate Powell’s “quiet liquidity” 💧: end of QT, record M2 at $22.1T, and Fed balance at $7.2T, with repos of $150B supporting the system.
Money flows: gold $3,850, BTC 💫 $128K, ETH ⚡ $4,700. Burry tends to be right in droughts, but today the tide of liquidity rules. Models from @LondonRealTV point to a 70-80% bullish bias if the Fed doesn’t turn off the tap.
🤔 And the question lingers: who drains the liquidity? The Treasury 🇺🇸, accumulating reserves in the FRED, is waiting to open its corralito. When it does, the indicators will speak. ♟️ in my opinion, we are bullish, taking liquidity as a frame of reference, and what about you?
💰"ATTENTIVE TO LIQUIDITY,🥳 The vital blood of the market will return in 72 hours", 🐳
A sequence of errors that has led to a 7% drop in the stock markets and up to a 25% in crypto in just 48 hours, with the SP500 falling to 6,320 points. The United States had been retracting liquidity from the traditional system to restore the balance of the General Treasury Account (TGA) at the Fed, which had dropped to critical levels of $400 billion. However, the Federal Reserve's pause in its draining operations — after reaching the resistance limit in bank reserves — got out of hand, cutting the cash flow and generating a sudden credit crunch.
The temporary government shutdown of #TRUMP , which has lasted 12 days, has exacerbated the paralysis: the Treasury cannot pay bills, salaries, services, or investments, leaving $720 billion stranded outside the system. The Fed, without a mandate to finance the government directly, has stopped injecting liquidity, creating a vacuum that has collapsed the market. But the real drama is yet to come. When the financial corralito is lifted, that avalanche of repressed liquidity — estimated at $1.2 trillion between overdue payments and stimuli — will flow like an overflowing river. Where to? Analysts agree:
#bitcoin (Will recover $128,000) → target $170,000 in 30 days. Gold (at $3,850) → breakout to $4,200. S&P 500 → rebound to 6,800 with rotation to big tech. #Ethereum ($4,700) and #Polkadot ($11) → bullish peaks due to institutional flows.
This drop is not the end; it is the perfect dip to buy back. The Fed, pressured by the collapse, will reactivate liquidity in 72 hours. Be attentive: when the corralito opens, the avalanche will be historic.
🚀 Being bearish in this market? It makes no sense.🤮👻
While Bitcoin ($BTC ) fluctuates around $135,000, after an 8% pullback from its October highs 📉, leading analysts on X such as @CryptoWhale, @LiquidityHunter, and @FedWatch agree on one thing: this movement is not a bearish signal, but rather an accumulation opportunity 💎.
📊 The viral chart “U.S. M2 Money Supply hits record” reveals a year-on-year increase of 4.2% in the money supply, reaching $21.8 trillion 💵. However, both BTC and ETH ($5,100) and SOL ($250) show temporary pullbacks, creating a clear mismatch between growing liquidity and correcting prices: the classic “dip to buy”.
🏦 On November 1, the Fed injected $150 billion into overnight repo operations to avoid a credit crunch, while the Reserve Treasury, with a record balance of $850 billion, prepares to reactivate payments and strategic projects. Among them, geopolitical moves aimed at curbing the accumulation of gold and BTC, $ETH by China, according to leaks cited by @GeopolCrypto.
💼 Additionally, there is excitement about crypto ETFs, with BlackRock and Fidelity requesting funds for Solana and XRP. Everything points to a phase of institutional accumulation, not a bear market.
📈 Conclusion: the current pullback is healthy. Buying back between $130,000 and $132,000 could be a strategic move ahead of the next push towards the projected $170,000 by the end of the year. 🌕🔥 #BTC #ETH $DOT #Binanceholdermmt #KITEBinanceLaunchpool #Polkadot
🚀🔥The rise of data centers for #IA has become the new backbone of the 21st-century economy.🦄
The United States stands out with thousands of data centers in operation and more than a thousand projected for the coming years, driven by tech giants making massive investments to sustain the growth of artificial intelligence and cloud. 🌐⚙️
This development is backed by an explosive demand for advanced hardware, such as GPUs and next-generation chips, whose production is already committed for several years. Digital infrastructure is expanding at a rate exceeding 40% annually, boosting technological and energy supply chains. 🚀🔌
Furthermore, the modernization of existing facilities promises to move hundreds of billions in key sectors like memory, cooling, and energy systems, including cleaner options like modular nuclear energy. 🔋🌱
Meanwhile, the value of digital assets grows as a strategic alternative in a transforming global economic context. The market message is clear: AI is not a passing trend but the new architecture of technological power. 🌍🤖
🔥💩The signing of the agreement between China and the U.S. regarding tariffs is just around the corner.📈
Could it trigger a new bullish ceiling before the signing announcement? with #S&P500 hovering around 6,800 points and #bitcoin climbing towards US$130,000 driven by the optimism of a trade truce.
🔍 But the question that looms like a specter: what happens after the signing? Traders warn of a possible trend reversal, with corrections of 10-15% amid post-agreement uncertainty, leveraging the prior euphoria for massive profit-taking.
Meanwhile, #Japón , the chronic patient of the global economy, would have lost 30% of its purchasing power between 2009 and 2024, due to monetary degradation that eroded its stock capital. Its Nikkei index, nearing 41,000 points, contrasts with a new minister who on October 26 announced an economic stimulus program, which skeptics label as "more of the same": increased public spending financed by the Bank of Japan, which already holds ~50% of the outstanding public debt, perpetuating a Ponzi scheme on the brink of collapse.
✨ In this scenario, safe havens become clear: euro with increasing debt? dollar in devaluation? Argentine peso in chaos? No… gentlemen: gold and bitcoin rise as signals of a new monetary order. Gold, after correcting to US$3,800, is preparing to bounce back to US$4,200 with Chinese purchases and dedollarization. Bitcoin, with liquidity increasing ~5%, is projected upwards: a break at US$140,000 could catapult it to US$200,000 by December, and with solid fundamentals, sovereign adoptions, and capital rotation, some visionaries do not rule out US$550,000 in the medium term.
🔮 In this monetary-geopolitical war, the China-U.S. agreement could act as a catalyst for a final rally before a pause, but the rise of gold and crypto seems inevitable in the face of the twilight of fiat. $BTC $ETH #Polkadot #MarketRebound
🐷🔥Since when does a banker announce panic before it begins? 💩
The Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, has issued a warning that shook the markets: “critical alarms are sounding similar to those in 2008.” 🏦 In his testimony before Parliament 🇬🇧 on October 21, 2025, Bailey mentioned the collapses of U.S. firms First Brands and Tricolor as “canaries in the coal mine,” evoking the dark days of the subprime crisis.
💣 Three private credit companies and two banks affected in the U.S. (Self-declared insolvent) have ignited comparisons to 2008, but a deeper examination of the data reveals another story. Analysts like Prem Sikka and Brian Rose warn of vulnerabilities — AI-inflated markets 🤖, excessive debt 💰, and deregulation of shadow banking — although they highlight that current banking is more robust: stable credit spreads and abundant liquidity.
📊 The curious thing: the corporate bond risk premium chart shows a downward trend, with no signs of mass liquidation. So, why is a central banker alerting about a bear market? 🤔 Historically, they do not predict downturns. Some see this alarm as a potential speculative farce, designed to push prices down and allow for strategic purchases.
🔥 Panic was unleashed, there were sales and fear... but institutional flows continue to come in. With global liquidity and rotation towards safe assets, the #S&P500 could exceed 6,700 pts, while gold 🪙 aims for $4,500 and #bitcoin ($BTC ) at $170,000, alongside #Ethereum ($ETH ) at $5,200.
🎭 In this theater of alarms and opportunities, the real risk is not the fall, but ignoring the signals and resistances. #APRBinanceTGE #MarketPullback $BNB
Gold shines today like a beacon amidst uncertainty. The latest market movements have raised alarms: from peaks of $4,400 USD at the beginning of October 2025 to the current support at $3,382 USD, its fall has sown doubts. Was the analysis projecting it as a refuge against monetary chaos erroneous? 🌪️
The answer is not simple. Politicians, captains of a drifting ship 🚢, continue to spend uncontrollably, fueling a public debt bubble exceeding 120% of GDP in several key economies. Interest rates devour budgets and push central banks to sustain the system with massive injections of fiat liquidity, a house of cards supported by artificial winds 💨.
Meanwhile, China moves firmly with its strategy: accumulating 74.02 million ounces of physical gold, adding between 2 and 3 tons weekly in October, reinforcing its position and challenging the dollar's hegemony 💵.
The recent drop in gold does not represent a collapse, but rather a profit-taking at the resistance zone and a lateral consolidation phase before a possible push towards $4,000 USD or more. 📈
An encouraging fact: the current structure does not replicate the major bearish pause of 2011, suggesting a strategic correction, not a decline.
🔹 Extrapolating this logic to the crypto world, scenarios become more aggressive. With $BTC at $125,000 and $ETH at $4,600, sources of institutional, sovereign, and retail liquidity are driving prices. In the short term, a brief pause is shaping up before bullish peaks —BTC heading towards $140,000, ETH towards $5,200—; in the long term, a sustained growth range guided by fiat devaluation and migration towards hard assets.