Back in 2017, Tom Lee was one of the few formally dressed men on CNBC who dared to publicly be optimistic about Bitcoin. Not the kind of talk like 'Bitcoin is a tulip craze,' nor the saying that 'blockchain is important, not Bitcoin.' He suggested institutional investors treat Bitcoin as digital gold—buying it before the world reacted. At the time, this sounded more like a college debate in a fog than a mature strategy. Fundstrat Even lost some clients because of it. You know, at that time, Bitcoin was only trading around $1,000, and most people still regarded it as a speculative toy, or even a den of criminals. Of course, Lee's views later became more and more fragrant like aged wine...
$BTC 2 March 3 Market Update: Bitcoin seems to be entering a consolidation phase, which is considered a normal phenomenon after a weekend of significant gains. The $78.7k area (monthly opening price) is a clear 4-hour resistance level, which has been attempted multiple times without a clean breakthrough. If the price can be accepted and hold above $78.7k, Bitcoin may quickly surge towards $81k. I am also watching the response when retesting $76.9k (weekly opening price), wanting to observe whether this liquidity sweep will trigger a new round of increases or if it will fail and cause the price to fall below $75k.
This morning's volatile cryptocurrencies: ANKR, CHZ, DUSK.
$BTC $ETH market analysis, indicators break even, BTC last week showed a large bearish candlestick with a long upper shadow, the trend remains in a bearish structure. This week, a rebound pin bar signal appeared near the M top neckline + key levels of 74,000-75,000; the rebound volume is relatively weak, still part of a pullback in a downtrend; near 74000, if it does not break and oscillates, there is a phase rebound space, but this does not equal a trend reversal; on the daily chart, yesterday closed with a long lower shadow + increased volume, short-term stop-loss signals are established; if the daily chart does not break yesterday's low, the rebound is expected to continue, with resistance zones at 81,000 (M top neckline + CME gap), 84,000 (downtrend line + Fibonacci 0.382), 86,200 (Fibonacci 0.5), and until it breaks through 84,000-86,200, the rebound is still viewed as a structural pullback; MACD and RSI bearish momentum still exists, but RSI is oversold and there is a need for downward correction; on the short-term level, focus on the 4-hour chart, short-term opportunities are being monitored; .ETH weekly correlates with Bitcoin's drop in volume, currently rebounding near the previous low of 2200 on the weekly chart, holding 2200 tests 2460-2580, if 2200 breaks down again, the downside risk increases, target 1850; yesterday's daily chart had a large bullish candlestick with increased volume in a rebound, RSI shows a need for oversold correction, the overall direction is still in a downtrend 5-wave structure; on the 4-hour chart RSI is oversold and diverging, it is necessary to observe if a bottoming pattern is forming before going long in the short term, and mid-term can observe short opportunities after the rebound.
$BTC Bitcoin February 3rd real-time updates and trading plan:
➡️ Today is Tuesday, and we have obtained the trading range for Monday. I see some liquidity consolidating above Monday's high. ➡️ The price swept to Monday's high and then fell back into the range, which will be the perfect short trigger point for the current situation. ➡️ Additionally, the main short area for HTF has been mentioned above, and once the price is in place, Baige VIP will act immediately.
$ETH 1 Monthly Trading Summary and Current Positions. Brother VIP Group Purchase Group Trading View: Big Short ❤️ This overview summarizes our big short positions, including trades that have been opened or closed at a loss. The big short strategy consists of 14 trades, of which 9 are currently profitable and 5 are in a slight to moderate loss.
Overall performance remains excellent. Some positions have achieved excess returns, including MicroStrategy short position +240%, Coinbase short position +215%, Palantir short position +150%, and Bitcoin short position +170%.
The losses from other trades are limited and well-controlled, especially compared to the profitable positions. 🤝
$BTC 2026 February 2nd, Monday Market Analysis: BTC weekly chart shows a large bearish candle, breaking through a key structure, confirming a strong bearish trend; the current price near 74000 is at a critical intersection of the Vegas channel and the M head and shoulders neckline. If it holds, a technical rebound is possible; if it fails, the descending flag pattern will continue, targeting around 63000-64000; on the daily chart, after breaking below the previous low of 81000, it accelerated downward. The current price is oscillating at the previous low from April 25, which is a key point for short-term bullish and bearish battles. If it holds, a technical rebound is possible to fill the gap of the 81000 drop; if it breaks, the M head's downward target is around 64000; MACD and RSI bearish momentum is still present, but the RSI is oversold and needs to recover downwards; pay attention to the 4-hour level for short-term opportunities; Teacher Nick from the Great Beautiful Community encourages everyone to share and follow up on learning, $ETH ETH weekly chart shows a large bearish candle mirroring BTC's volume increase, the downward trend remains unchanged; the current price is around the weekly previous low of 2200. If it holds, a rebound to test the 2460 descending trend line pressure is expected; if it breaks below 2200, it will accelerate downward, with the target around 1850; the daily chart shows a downward rectangular structure, the trend is bearish, but the RSI is oversold, indicating a need for a rebound, though not a reversal unless the descending trend line is broken, which would provide conditions for a reversal; on the 4-hour chart, RSI is oversold and diverging, requiring observation for a bottoming formation before considering short-term long positions; mid-term can observe shorting opportunities after a rebound.
The conspiracy of the "dog manipulator" ($BTC ): Last weekend, when liquidity was very low, they dumped Bitcoin, causing a drop of $9,000, a nearly 10% decline. This was actually a carefully orchestrated massacre of retail investors by the exchange!
Two charts: one shows $2.544 billion in liquidations across the network in the past 24 hours. The other shows someone selling $1 billion worth of Bitcoin on an exchange on a Saturday with low trading volume and almost no buyers. Is this reasonable?
Normal whales usually choose ETFs or over-the-counter trading to obtain the best price; this behavior of only seeking to sell $1 billion worth of Bitcoin at a lower price is clearly contrary to common sense. Therefore, the answer is definitely that this was a deliberate market manipulation to massacre retail investors.
Why choose Saturday? Because market liquidity is lowest on weekends. On weekends, many professional market makers reduce trading activity, and banks are closed, making it more difficult for fiat currency to flow into exchanges. ETFs with huge purchasing power for Bitcoin (such as BlackRock's IBIT) mainly operate during traditional stock market trading hours (Monday to Friday).
The logic behind this operation is very clear: on a Saturday when liquidity is scarce, a $1 billion spot sell-off can typically trigger three to five times that amount in margin calls.
Profit Method: Short Selling Arbitrage: A whale might hold a huge short position in the derivatives market. It might lose $50 million in slippage in the spot market, but earn $500 million in the futures market due to a 10% price drop. This "spot sell-off, futures profit-taking" is a classic example of exploiting retail investors.
Only by dumping shares on a major exchange's publicly available order book can the entire market price be driven down. Hopefully, this major exchange will refrain from such market manipulation, otherwise it will inevitably lose public support sooner or later.
February 2, good morning everyone, 🟢 As for the current trend, there is still no complete panic selling, the rebound is not strong enough, and the needle is not long enough. The bullish liquidity from early April has not been obtained yet. The red line in the chart is the dividing line for whether all of this can happen. If it falls below the red line, it will quickly go down; if it does not break here, it can oscillate. If it is oscillating, as long as a valid bottom model appears in four hours, we can determine a good stop-loss position and establish the phase's highs and lows. The key point will emerge, and operations can proceed. 🟢 Recently, many rumors have circulated, and you should have seen them on X as well. When things are good, everyone is harmonious, but when times are tough, they show their teeth and claws. This world is not about how much wealth you have. 🟢 The director has been in this circle for several years now. I summarize it in one sentence: holding onto positions will lead to death! As long as you hold onto a position, your margin for error is only once; failure means having nothing. To survive in this circle, you must abandon the excellent qualities you learned in life. Stubbornness, tenacity, and resilience are not suitable here; only those who dare to admit defeat can live long. 🟢 Although the director is an unknown figure in this circle, over the years, I haven't amassed a fortune like others, wielding power at the peak of the market. However, I believe the key points I summarize are still quite suitable for ordinary students. Logically, I just wait for the key points; when they come, I act. Once I act, I must get immediate feedback; if there is no feedback, I will immediately admit my mistake! 🟢 Recently, many students have privately messaged the director. I can understand their feelings, but I cannot agree with their methods. I hope everyone learns to be patient, to wait, and to make independent judgments, rather than being tools swayed by others' emotions. Because in a bull market, anyone can make money; in a bear market, even the wise struggle to survive! Brother Bai VIP, Circle Director
#SLV Silver and the Weimar Republic of Germany (Weimar Republic, approximately 1919–1933)
In simple terms: - The German Empire collapsed after World War I, attempting a democratic republic - The constitution was drafted in the small town of Weimar, hence called the Weimar Republic (informal name) Most famous events: - The hyperinflation of 1923, where banknotes (marks) became worthless, and a basket of bread cost hundreds of millions of marks - The purchasing power of paper assets/certificates collapsed to zero - The nominal prices of physical silver, gold, and goods skyrocketed by millions or even tens of millions of times, while actual purchasing power significantly increased, becoming hard currency - Economic collapse + social unrest led to the rise of extremist forces, ending the republic
Lesson: Promises on paper are destroyed in extreme inflation; hold onto physical hard assets!
$BTC Yesterday I emphasized in the YouTube video: You cannot go long! Because I did not see the bottom pattern 🤝 I hope loyal fans have listened to it 🙏
In the past 24 hours (as of the query, close to 7:40 AM HKT on February 1),
the total forced liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency market is approximately 2.56 billion USD, of which long positions accounted for about 2.4 billion USD (93.75%), and short positions about 154 million USD. Approximately 422,000 traders were liquidated, mainly concentrated in ETH (about 1.08 billion), BTC (about 734 million), etc. The largest single liquidation was 222.65 million USD for ETH-USD on Hyperliquid. Data from Coinglass real-time dashboard.
The overall cryptocurrency total market value has shrunk by about 20-20.7 billion USD (approximately 0.206 trillion of 2.06 trillion USD).
📉 Last night, institutional investors (and the general public) collectively sold Bitcoin ETFs worth $817.87 million — the largest net outflow since the end of November 2025.
$BTC Yesterday I mentioned the Bitcoin trend in the public Telegram channel! This morning, as I expected, it has gone down. Expectations are consistent.
Trump announced on January 30, 2026, via social media (Truth Social), that he **nominates Kevin Warsh** for the next Federal Reserve Chair, replacing current Chair Jerome Powell. Powell's term as chair will end in May 2026 (his term as a governor lasts until January 2028). This nomination still requires approval from the United States Senate to take effect officially.
Kevin Warsh, 55 years old (born in 1970), is one of the youngest governors in the history of the Federal Reserve (served from 2006 to 2011, at age 35). He participated in the bailout efforts during the 2008 financial crisis and served as a key liaison between the federal government and Wall Street during the crisis. Currently, he is a visiting scholar and lecturer in economics at Stanford University's Hoover Institution. In his earlier years, he worked as a mergers and acquisitions advisor at Morgan Stanley and served as a special assistant to economic policy under the George W. Bush administration from 2002 to 2006.