bnbinside

We’ve officially entered the “everybody thinks everyone else is an idiot” phase of the crypto cycle.

Half the timeline is convinced Bitcoin’s about to skyrocket to $150K+ next year…

…while the other half is confidently calling for $40k btc by the end of next year.

So who’s actually right??

I dug through the data, the charts, the macro… all of it.

Here’s where we really are right now and what’s coming next:

1/ Honestly?

The way this drop played out makes $126K look a lot like the real top.

- BTC poked into the mid-$120Ks, couldn’t get any real momentum, and just kind of… deflated.

- There was no wild blowoff candle, no “this is insane” moment, no late-stage hype. Nothing you’d expect at a cycle peak normally.

- A trillion dollars disappeared in just a few weeks

- ETH and the mid-caps rolled over at the exact same time, and none of them showed even a hint of euphoric behavior.

If that wasn’t the top, it did a damn good impression of one.

2/ What really happened?

Demand basically took the day off.

- Stablecoin printing slowed down
- ETF inflows dried up
- Derivatives traders are long gone
- Funding stopped

Everyone’s staring at the December rate decision and thinking: “Eh… I’ll just wait.”

3/ Liquidity right now feels like walking on thin ice.

- Medium-sized orders move price percentS
- Orderbooks look like a ghost town during peak hours
- A big whale selling could move the entire market

The market is extremely fragile right now.

4/ Derivatives are telling the same story:

- Volatility spiked
- Skew flipped defensive
- Traders hedged instead of aping long
- Futures interest dropped even during relief bounces

No leverage = no momentum.
Simple as that.

5/ On-chain signals?

Not fear, just hesitation.

- CDD jumped a bit, but the real old hands aren’t budging

- aSOPR sitting around 1 = no heavy profit-taking, no panic puking

- Most selling is from mid-term holders, not long-term believers

It’s indecision, not capitulation.

6/ What about institutions?

- BTC ETFs sold billions
- ETH ETFs did the same
- OTC desks reported a whole lot of nothing

Some money trickled into shiny new products, but big allocators clearly aren’t rushing into anything at the moment.

7/ Macro should help eventually…
…timing is the problem.

- Markets expect a December cut
- Global easing is underway
- BUT strong jobs data + sticky inflation = Fed says “not so fast”

So we sit here… waiting.

8/ This isn’t panic selling.
It’s controlled bleeding.

No liquidation cascades.
No mass-exit stampedes.

Just slow, steady distribution in a thin market, which can actually be more damaging because it chips away at confidence without giving a clear bottom.

9/ Big picture?

The bullish narrative is still alive.

Near term? We’re in a fragile, wandering market.

- Weak funding
- Rising exchange balances
- Sentiment in “absolute fear“ mode
- Buyers waiting for someone else to move first

Until a real catalyst shows up, expect chop, drift, and another test of lower levels, probably around $72,000. That’s my prediction.

When this bull run ends and it’s actually time to sell, I’ll call it out publicly like I always do. I don’t gatekeep tops or bottoms. If you’re here, you’ll see it.

If you want to know why i think a recession is coming next year, check the post i made yesterday. It has 1 million views and there’s a reason for that.

My header says it all ‼️‼️‼️
$BTC $ETH $SOL
{future}(ETHUSDT)

Everyone talks about profit, but no one talks about patience.
The truth is — most traders don’t get wrecked because they’re wrong.
They get wrecked because they’re impatient.

You’ve seen it happen the guy who sells too early, the girl who closes her long seconds before the breakout, the trader who switches coins five times a day.
Then, one week later, the same coin they sold is up 300%, and they’re left staring at the screen like:
“If only I had waited…”
Here’s the real secret
In crypto, the market doesn’t punish inexperience — it punishes emotion
You can learn indicators.You can study Smart Money Concepts.You can master risk management.
But none of that matters if you don’t master time.

The best traders I’ve met didn’t have the fanciest setups.....They just knew when not to touch anything.
And that’s the hardest part — doing nothing while your emotions scream at you to do something.

So here’s my question to you 👇
Be honest ..
What’s harder for you: finding a good trade or holding a good trade?

Drop your answer below I really want to see how many of you struggle with this.
Because maybe… just maybe… it’s not the market that’s volatile — it’s us. 🐼⏳

If you have started learning Trading, you have probably realized there are a million ways to do it.
You can read books, join online courses or even hire a mentor to guide you.
All of these can help, but here is the thing what works for others might not always work for you. Trading isn’t a one size fits all skill. It’s a mix of mindset, strategy, and experience and how you learn each of those depends entirely on your personality and approach to risk.
Everyone Learns Differently
Every trader has a unique learning style.
Some people might be using price actions, Supply or demand , Some trading indicators or support and resistance. Everything is okay as long as its generating you profits.
The key is to find the learning process that fits you.
Trading Is You vs. Yourself

Trading is deeply personal. You are the one pressing the buy or sell button not your mentor, not your favorite YouTuber or any influencer you're following.
A mentor can hand you a map, but only you can choose which road to take. A course can teach you concepts, but only your curiosity, discipline, and reflection turn them into progress.
This is where your trading journal becomes your secret weapon.

"Your Journal Is the Mirror of Your Mind"

By recording your trades, emotions, and thoughts, you start to see your own patterns what triggers mistakes, what drives your best decisions, and how your mindset changes over time.
That self-awareness is how you start improving faster than most traders ever will.
How to find what works for you?
Learn Like an Investor, Treat your trading education the same way you treat your capital like an investment. You have limited time, money, and mental energy, so spend them where they actually bring returns.
If you enjoy structure, take online lessons or read in depth guides.If you learn better by asking questions and getting feedback, work closely with a mentor.

But whatever you do, keep a detailed trading journal. It’s the bridge between learning and applying.
The goal isn’t to do everything it’s to focus on what truly helps you internalize knowledge and use it when it counts.
Your Greatest Edge Is Knowing Yourself
In the end, the best trading teacher is yourself.
Books, mentors, and schools can point you in the right direction, but only you can decide what to keep and what to discard.
Listen to your learning style. Respect your process. Keep notes, stay curious, and let your trading journal guide your growth.
Because in trading, your biggest edge is not a secret strategy. It is knowing what works for yourself.