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The red envelopes spent during the New Year,
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🔥 $BTC Violent surge of 5%, but smart money is quietly fleeing?

This wave is quite ruthless.

Bitcoin surged directly to $67,301, breaking through all key moving averages, with a trading volume of 40.8 billion and a net inflow of 58.6 million. It looks great on the surface.

But looking closely at the data, it gets interesting:

Shorts were crushed badly. $196 million in short positions were liquidated, with $105 million in BTC alone. These people cut their losses and added fuel to the rise.

But what is smart money doing? The long-short ratio dropped to 0.31—large short holders have 3.3 times the positions of longs. What does this mean? The big players have already started to position for a short.

Even more surreal: Fear Index at 11, extreme fear. Retail investors are still scared, but ETFs are aggressively buying 257 million. This contrast is quite split.

The technicals are even more exciting: RSI hit 86, in the overbought zone. When was the last time it was this high? It often indicates that a short-term correction is on the way.

The 66,000 level is the line between life and death; if it breaks, it could be over; the 68,000-69,000 level is the ceiling, if it can't break through, it's the top.

There's another bomb: 54% of longs are trapped around 77,000; if this level gets close, selling pressure could drop at any time.

So this wave, is it a reversal or a trap for the bulls?

My judgment: The emotional bottom has passed, but the technicals need to digest. For those wanting to get in, wait for a pullback to around 65,000 before considering. Chasing now? Be careful of becoming the next person to be liquidated.

What do you think? Let's see the truth in the comments.

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