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Yesterday, the market has already been analyzed; today I will take it easy. I won't write the analysis for the market this week. The trend still looks bearish; 74500 points is not the end, there are still positions below.

$BTC Today I see that the mood for entering the spot market in the square is very high, and I must pour some cold water on this.

First of all, last night at 75600 was actually just 1100 points away from the 74500 on April 7, while the real support is at 74500. Once 74500 is broken, the lower levels are 66800 (2024/11/05, U.S. Election Day), 65000, 58000, 55000, and 52500.

From the weekly chart, it can be seen that the trend has some similarities to 2022 (btc market analysis this week 1/19). There is a chance for the market to reach 66800, and the lower Bollinger Band support on the monthly chart is at 55000. This is currently a basic analysis combining some candlesticks and historical support points below 74500.

From the indicators, currently, the weekly and daily indicators do not show signs of upward momentum. The mid-term indicators also do not indicate a need for a pullback and rise. At this time, I feel it is too early to enter the spot market; we must wait for mid to long-term indicators to show bullish signals before considering entering the spot market, rather than rushing in, which seems too shortsighted!

I must emphasize: if you really want to buy in the spot market, it’s not impossible. After all, you can just wait through the seasons and the test of time, and one day it will return; that is your personal freedom. I have nothing to say. But anyone who wants to lay out in the spot market with low leverage now is making an extremely foolish choice. If 74500 is truly broken, where will the future bottom be? We still need to look at the indicators week by week. You have more money than you can afford to lose, even risking a margin call!

Anyway, from the current perspective, I am not optimistic about a pullback and rise. It's either range-bound or a continued sell-off. As for the upward trend, based on the current indicators, there’s no chance at all!

I am optimistic about breaking below 74500 to go to 73000, followed by a range-bound movement below 74500, and then it will still go down again! 🤭🤭🤭

The above are some important points regarding recent contract operations. Those who were able to keep up have basically managed to secure what they could.

At the end of July 2024, btc7w sees a drop from 6 to 5, reaching the highest point of 48900 when the spot ETF was approved on January 11. On August 5, the actual market just reached that 48900 point from January 11. I remember for two consecutive days, taking my apprentice all the way to the high.

On December 3, 2024, btc was at 103500, looking to drop to 88000-89000, starting to position at 90000 for the spot. On December 6, btc fell to 89000.

On October 3, 2025, signs of a btc crash were already visible, starting to position for spot sales in batches. On October 10, the black swan event occurred, with btc plummeting 22000 points and eth 950 points. Contracts were well managed, and the pullback was also handled well.

On January 31, 2026, looking to drop from 84600 to 80000, aiming for 77500 and 75000; currently at 75600.

There are many black swan events I can't remember, but basically, everything in this area has been well managed.

Fans who have followed me for a long time should have some understanding! #BlackSwan

$BTC Oh, I was planning to end the short position profit tonight and not play anymore, just hanging out with fans in the live stream, but the market just had to give you a little sweetness, that damn hand speed! 😂😂😂

$BTC Shorting at 77500 tonight, the market reached 78000, but it's also near my predicted position, the short position has come to an end. As for the subsequent ups and downs, I don't care anymore, I'm full and leaving! 😂😂😂

Fans watching my live broadcast in the live room can share their orders now! 😂😂😂

My new apprentice, who is all about being wild, is currently in the learning phase. After the live stream last night, Seng Ge was busy playing with contracts, asking me endless questions. Based on my analysis, he secretly went to play with an overweight position, and as a result, 20u has rolled to 770 dollars by this morning.

The young man is full of vigor. Yesterday, he faced restrictions on his ZFB recharge and was unable to successfully recharge 2000u; otherwise, he would have easily had tens of thousands of dollars today.

With proper training, the future looks promising, haha.

80000 is steadily breaking, first look at 77500, as for 75000, we will wait and see the appearance of the black swan!

84600 Yesterday's rise, and today's pullback drop, have both been analyzed and predicted correctly. It's still the same saying: only by combining indicators from a single time period with those from other time periods can we achieve the accuracy of such analysis and prediction!

I am Seng Ge, an old trickster who specializes only in indicator analysis technology! If you want to learn indicator technology and become a qualified retail investor, you've come to the right person!

$BTC

$BTC said during the live broadcast that the market is going to rise, the position of 84600 has already been reached, those who are in loss can recover, and those who are in profit can take profit! According to the current hourly indicators, if you should exit with profit, do so and don't be greedy!

This position will inevitably have a pullback and the entire market will decline.

$XAU Gold has plummeted, the US stock market is also falling, and BTC has started to drop after some fluctuations! However, the lower Bollinger band support on the BTC hourly chart remains strong, just take a wave and don't be greedy!

The crash in gold is actually beneficial for the cryptocurrency market, as ZB's sell-off will definitely lead to capital inflows into the crypto space!

I am more confident in the crypto market!

$BTC has been back in the B circle for nearly 2 months now. Looking back at the efforts and hard work during this time, the rewards have been worth it, but to sum it up in one word: tired.

During the bear market phase, there was a lot of free time, so I started live streaming. Thinking back to when I last went live, it was still in March; time really flies.

I am a warm-hearted and lively person, so when there is a market trend, I will remind my fans. If fans pass by and get stuck, I will also offer suggestions to help them get unstuck. I feel that while I am trading contracts, helping others is quite fulfilling. Of course, these people have also become regular guests in the live streaming room, and some have become my students, receiving training on technical indicators!

To put it bluntly, I have no team assistance or marketing for my account; it’s purely me. Those who stay are the ones who recognize my technical analysis. Of course, after returning for so many days, aside from a few aggressive small trades that were stopped out, there has been no loss in normal calls; we can say that all have been profitable. Everyone is happy and accustomed to my presence, and they enjoy being fed by me. I feel that the meaning of live streaming has been realized.

However, as time goes on, whether they are students or fans, everyone has become familiar with trading. As soon as I start streaming, there’s always a rush to place orders, and at that moment, there are too many questions. Plus, new fans passing by also join in, and human energy is limited. I still have to focus my time and energy on monitoring the market. When I go live, I still need students to assist the teacher on the mic to create a lively chat atmosphere in the streaming room, reducing unnecessary talk.

Last night's sharp drop was perfectly missed, mainly due to personal matters. Usually, the 10 PM live stream was delayed to 10:30 PM. And I perfectly missed the best short entry point! This significant drop was actually already analyzed and predicted in the market analysis on the 28th. During the subsequent decisions on the Federal Reserve's interest rate on the 28th and 29th, we focused on short positions. Those who were supposed to profit did! Only last night's sharp drop at 10:30 PM was a missed big opportunity, which is indeed a bit regrettable. But compared to those who made the wrong direction in this drop, facing liquidation and deep losses, aren't we lucky? In fact, I see it very openly; as long as you are not buried underground, there is always market activity every day.
$BTC #币圈

When I woke up and looked, wow, it broke below 83000 to 81000, and is currently pulling back to around 82000.

Last night it pulled back to 94700; those who left did so to take advantage of the pullback for some excitement. If you didn't leave and are stuck, don't panic, just wait for the pullback!

The 5 and 15-minute indicators show a pullback, and the 4-hour indicators show an overall pullback, which is still good. Now it's stuck in the middle of the 30-minute and 1-hour; we just need 30 minutes to get it moving, and everything will be stable.

I didn't expect a black swan to come, but the mid to long-term indicators haven't stopped declining. Last night, operating with a light position to seize the pullback is not a problem.

$BTC

Remember: If the mid to long-term indicators do not show a pullback analysis, then reverse operations must be cautious, especially during last night's big fluctuations!

Opportunity to buy at the bottom, usual position 2/1, steady control!

On the 28th, I mentioned that a market crash was about to happen. In the early morning live broadcast, my disciples asked me why the U.S. stock market was still strong and rising. I said that the four-hour indicator showed that the U.S. stock market could crash at any time, expected very soon, either when the Federal Reserve announces it, or tomorrow.

The market has dropped back to around 84500. The recently established upward trend in the monthly cycle has been broken, and the bull market no longer exists. Even the upward movement in the monthly cycle from the bottom will take several months. Moreover, the weekly capital is now in play. After tonight's market formation, the bull market is becoming increasingly distant.

Why is the protagonist of the post by Monk Brother BTC, rather than the other three of the Four Heavenly Kings: ETH, SOL, BNB?

First: Writing articles requires energy and time, and I am too busy, not enough time.

Second: I am a technical person, not someone who relies on writing to talk big every day.

Third: Because BTC has the largest market value, it is the leader in the coin circle, a powerful existence with a significant gap.

Third: Analyzing other coins is like cooking leftovers based on the analysis of BTC; the trends are basically similar. The increase of BTC affects the entire coin circle, so its strong pressure support points are very important for other coins. For example, today’s BTC market shows that ETH only dropped after BTC officially broke the support level. SOL tested the correction when BTC was falling, so its correction was smaller, making it drop more fiercely, while ETH was stuck in a sideways range with no breakthrough signals, and BNB is even less noteworthy, moving in a very predictable manner, lacking excitement.

If BTC had not dropped today but instead broken through the high, you would find that BNB and ETH would rise the most. After saying all this, I just want to tell everyone that ETH, SOL, and BNB all have to look at BTC's face, which is why I choose BTC as the main object for analysis and posting.

Of course, the volatility of ETH and SOL is mostly greater than that of BTC, so in terms of operation, the returns are higher, but the risks are relatively greater. With my level of technical skill, it doesn't matter which one you play, but if you lack technical skills, I suggest you stick to BTC; perhaps you can play for a few more days without quickly blowing up your account.

Finally, let me explain why the contract risks of ETH and SOL are greater. To use an analogy: BTC is the sun, and ETH and SOL are the earth. They not only have to rotate but also revolve around BTC. Got it!

$BTC is accurate, no way!