Crypto AnalyZen
Scenario-based crypto market analysis.
Focus on structure, liquidity and risk.
No signals. No hype.
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$XAU What's happening in Gold?
Last week ended with a new all-time high (4988)
The new week's opening (5024) left a gap
The Asian and European sessions were in the distribution phase, which eventually ended with a downward movement and a gap closure
A quick rebound and return to the distribution zone may indicate that the upward movement is not yet complete
The projection of yesterday's pullback upward points to the 5183-5214 zone, with a possible surge higher
After such a strong upward movement, I expect a correction by the end of this month
So let's see how this month ends
#XAU #GOLD #FedWatch
Last week ended with a new all-time high (4988)
The new week's opening (5024) left a gap
The Asian and European sessions were in the distribution phase, which eventually ended with a downward movement and a gap closure
A quick rebound and return to the distribution zone may indicate that the upward movement is not yet complete
The projection of yesterday's pullback upward points to the 5183-5214 zone, with a possible surge higher
After such a strong upward movement, I expect a correction by the end of this month
So let's see how this month ends
#XAU #GOLD #FedWatch
$SOL Update — Weekly Structure Still Weak
The down move does not look finished yet.
If you look at how the market closed last week on the weekly chart, you’ll see that sellers are still in control.
For now, I’m focusing only on $SOL .
Over the weekend, the decline stopped at 117.15, which sits slightly below the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2023–2025 range — a technically important reaction level.
However, if price breaks below, the next major target becomes the Monthly gap zone:
Monthly Gap: 79.33 – 79.61
Midpoint ≈ 56
Key Levels to Watch
• 115.41 — Middle of April 2025 Order Block
• 104.67 — Lower boundary of that zone
• 101.80 — 2024 Opening Level
• 79.61 — Upper edge of Monthly Gap
• 69.60 — 78% Fibonacci retracement
---------
The structure still favors downside continuation.
This is not a market for aggressive longs — patience and selective positioning matter most.
#sol #solana #MarketSentimentToday
The down move does not look finished yet.
If you look at how the market closed last week on the weekly chart, you’ll see that sellers are still in control.
For now, I’m focusing only on $SOL .
Over the weekend, the decline stopped at 117.15, which sits slightly below the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2023–2025 range — a technically important reaction level.
However, if price breaks below, the next major target becomes the Monthly gap zone:
Monthly Gap: 79.33 – 79.61
Midpoint ≈ 56
Key Levels to Watch
• 115.41 — Middle of April 2025 Order Block
• 104.67 — Lower boundary of that zone
• 101.80 — 2024 Opening Level
• 79.61 — Upper edge of Monthly Gap
• 69.60 — 78% Fibonacci retracement
---------
The structure still favors downside continuation.
This is not a market for aggressive longs — patience and selective positioning matter most.
#sol #solana #MarketSentimentToday
$BTC reminder 2025 low 80,600
seems like hype on Gold near the end - very high fund rate
so they will be hurry to take positions as lower levels as possible before regular hours on gold
can squeeze much more lower
seems like hype on Gold near the end - very high fund rate
so they will be hurry to take positions as lower levels as possible before regular hours on gold
can squeeze much more lower
$BTC — Market Update
Price attempted to close the upper gap but stalled in the middle of that zone — a behavior that more strongly supports the idea of continuation to the downside rather than immediate reversal.
Yesterday, price tested the 2026 opening level at 87,648.21.
To guide the market in case the decline continues, I projected the downward range of the last upward expansion — a simple but often highly effective tactic.
Notably, the midpoint of this projection aligns with the midpoint of the annual gap, which is more clearly visible on the yearly chart.
Another important detail:
The recent drop came with a strong increase in open interest, suggesting that new long positions are being opened. However, this is not a signal to rush in.
Large players rarely enter all at once.
They build positions gradually and in increments — and in many cases, that process itself can push price lower before a real reversal forms.
📌 Key levels to watch:
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.21
• 2024 low — 80,600.00
• Upper boundary of the annual gap — 74,478
• Midpoint of the gap — 71,775
This remains a market for patience, not aggression.
#BTC #bitcoin #Binance #MarketRebound
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Price attempted to close the upper gap but stalled in the middle of that zone — a behavior that more strongly supports the idea of continuation to the downside rather than immediate reversal.
Yesterday, price tested the 2026 opening level at 87,648.21.
To guide the market in case the decline continues, I projected the downward range of the last upward expansion — a simple but often highly effective tactic.
Notably, the midpoint of this projection aligns with the midpoint of the annual gap, which is more clearly visible on the yearly chart.
Another important detail:
The recent drop came with a strong increase in open interest, suggesting that new long positions are being opened. However, this is not a signal to rush in.
Large players rarely enter all at once.
They build positions gradually and in increments — and in many cases, that process itself can push price lower before a real reversal forms.
📌 Key levels to watch:
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.21
• 2024 low — 80,600.00
• Upper boundary of the annual gap — 74,478
• Midpoint of the gap — 71,775
This remains a market for patience, not aggression.
#BTC #bitcoin #Binance #MarketRebound
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$LINK new low, next 11,20 and below 10
see anual time frame
#LINK🔥🔥🔥 #MarketMeltdown #MarketSentimentToday
see anual time frame
#LINK🔥🔥🔥 #MarketMeltdown #MarketSentimentToday
An analysis of order books and open interest on Bitcoin and majors indicates a high probability of a downward squeeze.
be safe
. . . is this the beginning?
#BTC #xrp #MarketMeltdown #MarketSentimentToday
$BTC $XRP $LINK
be safe
. . . is this the beginning?
#BTC #xrp #MarketMeltdown #MarketSentimentToday
$BTC $XRP $LINK
$BTC — Market Update
Price attempted to close the upper gap but stalled in the middle of that zone — a behavior that more strongly supports the idea of continuation to the downside rather than immediate reversal.
Yesterday, price tested the 2026 opening level at 87,648.21.
To guide the market in case the decline continues, I projected the downward range of the last upward expansion — a simple but often highly effective tactic.
Notably, the midpoint of this projection aligns with the midpoint of the annual gap, which is more clearly visible on the yearly chart.
Another important detail:
The recent drop came with a strong increase in open interest, suggesting that new long positions are being opened. However, this is not a signal to rush in.
Large players rarely enter all at once.
They build positions gradually and in increments — and in many cases, that process itself can push price lower before a real reversal forms.
📌 Key levels to watch:
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.21
• 2024 low — 80,600.00
• Upper boundary of the annual gap — 74,478
• Midpoint of the gap — 71,775
This remains a market for patience, not aggression.
#BTC #bitcoin #Binance #MarketRebound
Price attempted to close the upper gap but stalled in the middle of that zone — a behavior that more strongly supports the idea of continuation to the downside rather than immediate reversal.
Yesterday, price tested the 2026 opening level at 87,648.21.
To guide the market in case the decline continues, I projected the downward range of the last upward expansion — a simple but often highly effective tactic.
Notably, the midpoint of this projection aligns with the midpoint of the annual gap, which is more clearly visible on the yearly chart.
Another important detail:
The recent drop came with a strong increase in open interest, suggesting that new long positions are being opened. However, this is not a signal to rush in.
Large players rarely enter all at once.
They build positions gradually and in increments — and in many cases, that process itself can push price lower before a real reversal forms.
📌 Key levels to watch:
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.21
• 2024 low — 80,600.00
• Upper boundary of the annual gap — 74,478
• Midpoint of the gap — 71,775
This remains a market for patience, not aggression.
#BTC #bitcoin #Binance #MarketRebound
BTC + BTC.D + TOTAL3 — Weekly Market Framework (2026 Outlook)
Most traders lose money by doing too much.
You don’t get paid for being active — you get paid for being patient.
This article introduces a simple but powerful weekly framework built on three metrics:
Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), and TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap).
Together, they reveal where capital is flowing — and more importantly, where it is not.
🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) — Weekly Structure
Bitcoin is still trading inside a macro uptrend, but after the strong expansion phase into the 120K area, the market has entered its first meaningful corrective leg.
Key observations:
• The trend structure (Higher Highs / Higher Lows) is still intact
• Momentum has cooled off
• Price is consolidating around the 85K–90K support zone
Weekly Scenarios:
• Holding above 85K → Base formation & continuation potential
• Weekly close below 85K → Deeper correction toward 78K–72K zone
🔵 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) — Weekly Rotation Signal
BTC Dominance recently expanded from the 40% area to above 65%. After such a strong move, BTC.D is now in a consolidation phase.
Key observations:
• Momentum is slowing
• No decisive breakout yet
• The next directional move will define capital rotation
Weekly Scenarios:
• Break above 61% → Bitcoin outperforms altcoins
• Break below 58% → Altcoin season conditions begin
🟣 TOTAL3 — Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH)
TOTAL3 shows the real strength of the altcoin market. After a powerful expansion, it is now trading inside a wide, volatile range.
Key observations:
• Trend structure still bullish
• Current phase = compression & uncertainty
Weekly Scenarios:
• Weekly close above 900B → Altcoin continuation
• Weekly close below 830B → Risk-off for altcoins
Conclusion
This is not a trending market — it’s a transitioning market.
And in transition phases, the most profitable action is often waiting.
Less trades.
Better timing.
Stay out of chaos.
You don’t get paid for being active — you get paid for being patient.
This article introduces a simple but powerful weekly framework built on three metrics:
Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), and TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap).
Together, they reveal where capital is flowing — and more importantly, where it is not.
🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) — Weekly Structure
Bitcoin is still trading inside a macro uptrend, but after the strong expansion phase into the 120K area, the market has entered its first meaningful corrective leg.
Key observations:
• The trend structure (Higher Highs / Higher Lows) is still intact
• Momentum has cooled off
• Price is consolidating around the 85K–90K support zone
Weekly Scenarios:
• Holding above 85K → Base formation & continuation potential
• Weekly close below 85K → Deeper correction toward 78K–72K zone
🔵 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) — Weekly Rotation Signal
BTC Dominance recently expanded from the 40% area to above 65%. After such a strong move, BTC.D is now in a consolidation phase.
Key observations:
• Momentum is slowing
• No decisive breakout yet
• The next directional move will define capital rotation
Weekly Scenarios:
• Break above 61% → Bitcoin outperforms altcoins
• Break below 58% → Altcoin season conditions begin
🟣 TOTAL3 — Altcoin Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH)
TOTAL3 shows the real strength of the altcoin market. After a powerful expansion, it is now trading inside a wide, volatile range.
Key observations:
• Trend structure still bullish
• Current phase = compression & uncertainty
Weekly Scenarios:
• Weekly close above 900B → Altcoin continuation
• Weekly close below 830B → Risk-off for altcoins
Conclusion
This is not a trending market — it’s a transitioning market.
And in transition phases, the most profitable action is often waiting.
Less trades.
Better timing.
Stay out of chaos.
$XMR - sharp decline without retesting the upper zone
My last downside level was marked as 499
It's done here
A sharp price decline with a slight decline in open interest - I expect a rebound up to the previous low on 4H
See previous XMR update
#XMR #MoneroAnalysis #altcoins
My last downside level was marked as 499
It's done here
A sharp price decline with a slight decline in open interest - I expect a rebound up to the previous low on 4H
See previous XMR update
#XMR #MoneroAnalysis #altcoins
$LTC The price continues to decline as open interest increases.
As you recall, the forecast was for a decline below 68, with a test of the October squeeze low (52).
This is a compressed spring effect - watch closely for the possibility of a rapid upward move as soon as open interest begins to decline.
See previous post LTC update
#LTC #altcoins
As you recall, the forecast was for a decline below 68, with a test of the October squeeze low (52).
This is a compressed spring effect - watch closely for the possibility of a rapid upward move as soon as open interest begins to decline.
See previous post LTC update
#LTC #altcoins
Master Rule
$BTC shows direction.
BTC.D shows where money flows.
TOTAL3 shows how much risk capital is in alts.
Read more BTC + BTC.D + TOTAL3 — Market Playbook
$BTC shows direction.
BTC.D shows where money flows.
TOTAL3 shows how much risk capital is in alts.
Read more BTC + BTC.D + TOTAL3 — Market Playbook
BTC + BTC.D + TOTAL3 — Market Playbook
Master Rule
BTC shows direction.
BTC.D shows where money flows.
TOTAL3 shows how much risk capital is in alts.
#1 — Altseason Mode
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ Money rotates from BTC into altcoins
➡️ Altcoins outperform BTC
📌 Strategy:
• Focus on strong alts
• Ride trends, scale out on spikes
• Avoid overtrading
#2 — BTC-Led Bull Market
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ Fresh money enters the market via BTC
➡️ BTC is the main driver
📌 Strategy:
• Prefer BTC / majors
• Alts lag at first, then follow
• Don’t chase weak alts early
#3 — Rotation Back to BTC
BTC → / ↓ | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 ↓ / →
➡️ Capital leaves alts and flows back into BTC
➡️ Risk-off inside crypto
📌 Strategy:
• Reduce alt exposure
• Hold BTC or stay in stables
• Wait for TOTAL3 to confirm strength
#4 — Distribution / Local Top
BTC → | BTC.D → | TOTAL3 ↓
➡️ Alts start bleeding
➡️ Smart money exits risk
📌 Strategy:
• Take profits on alts
• Tighten stops
• Don’t open new swing longs
#5 — Fake Altseason / Trap
BTC ↓ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ BTC dumps, alts pump briefly
➡️ Often short squeezes / speculation
📌 Strategy:
• Very short-term trades only
• No long-term alt holds
• Watch for fast reversals
#6 — Market Exit Mode (High Risk)
BTC ↓ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↓
➡️ Money leaves the entire crypto market
➡️ Flight to stablecoins / fiat
📌 Strategy:
• No longs
• Hold cash / stables
• Only scalp if very experienced
• Wait for higher timeframe reversal
#7 — Silent Accumulation
BTC → | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 → / ↑
➡️ BTC ranges, alts quietly build bases
➡️ Early phase of alt rotations
📌 Strategy:
• Accumulate strong alts at key levels
• Avoid leverage
• Focus on structure & volume
#8 — BTC Accumulation Phase
BTC → | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 →
➡️ BTC absorbs capital
➡️ Alts are weak / flat
📌 Strategy:
• Prefer BTC exposure
• Avoid alt breakouts
• Wait for TOTAL3 expansion
#9 — Blow-Off / Euphoria Risk
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑ (parabolic)
➡️ Everything pumps fast
➡️ Late-cycle behavior
📌 Strategy:
• Scale out into strength
• Don’t add new leverage
• Protect profits
BTC shows direction.
BTC.D shows where money flows.
TOTAL3 shows how much risk capital is in alts.
#1 — Altseason Mode
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ Money rotates from BTC into altcoins
➡️ Altcoins outperform BTC
📌 Strategy:
• Focus on strong alts
• Ride trends, scale out on spikes
• Avoid overtrading
#2 — BTC-Led Bull Market
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ Fresh money enters the market via BTC
➡️ BTC is the main driver
📌 Strategy:
• Prefer BTC / majors
• Alts lag at first, then follow
• Don’t chase weak alts early
#3 — Rotation Back to BTC
BTC → / ↓ | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 ↓ / →
➡️ Capital leaves alts and flows back into BTC
➡️ Risk-off inside crypto
📌 Strategy:
• Reduce alt exposure
• Hold BTC or stay in stables
• Wait for TOTAL3 to confirm strength
#4 — Distribution / Local Top
BTC → | BTC.D → | TOTAL3 ↓
➡️ Alts start bleeding
➡️ Smart money exits risk
📌 Strategy:
• Take profits on alts
• Tighten stops
• Don’t open new swing longs
#5 — Fake Altseason / Trap
BTC ↓ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑
➡️ BTC dumps, alts pump briefly
➡️ Often short squeezes / speculation
📌 Strategy:
• Very short-term trades only
• No long-term alt holds
• Watch for fast reversals
#6 — Market Exit Mode (High Risk)
BTC ↓ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↓
➡️ Money leaves the entire crypto market
➡️ Flight to stablecoins / fiat
📌 Strategy:
• No longs
• Hold cash / stables
• Only scalp if very experienced
• Wait for higher timeframe reversal
#7 — Silent Accumulation
BTC → | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 → / ↑
➡️ BTC ranges, alts quietly build bases
➡️ Early phase of alt rotations
📌 Strategy:
• Accumulate strong alts at key levels
• Avoid leverage
• Focus on structure & volume
#8 — BTC Accumulation Phase
BTC → | BTC.D ↑ | TOTAL3 →
➡️ BTC absorbs capital
➡️ Alts are weak / flat
📌 Strategy:
• Prefer BTC exposure
• Avoid alt breakouts
• Wait for TOTAL3 expansion
#9 — Blow-Off / Euphoria Risk
BTC ↑ | BTC.D ↓ | TOTAL3 ↑ (parabolic)
➡️ Everything pumps fast
➡️ Late-cycle behavior
📌 Strategy:
• Scale out into strength
• Don’t add new leverage
• Protect profits
One-Sentence Rule - BTC Dominance tells you where to trade — not when to trade.
🔥How to set alerts for BTC dominance (so alts don’t rug your week)
Alt seasons aren’t magic; they’re often BTC.D falling + liquidity rotating. Here’s the clean setup:
Step-by-step alerts
Open BTC Dominance (TradingView / Binance chart if available).
Mark 2 levels:
Range high (where BTC.D repeatedly rejected)
Range low (where BTC.D repeatedly bounced)
Set alerts:
Alert A: BTC.D breaks below range low (1H close)
→ alt conditions improve
Alert B: BTC.D reclaims range low after breakdown
→ “fake alt season” risk, reduce exposure
Add one confirmation alert:
ETH/BTC breaks up, or TOTAL3 breaks up (optional but powerful)
Position rule I use:
1. If BTC.D is trending up: I only trade alts with tight stops.
2. If BTC.D is trending down: I widen targets, but keep risk fixed.
Takeaway: Most people “feel” rotation late. Alerts wake you early.
$BTC $XRP $BNB
Alt seasons aren’t magic; they’re often BTC.D falling + liquidity rotating. Here’s the clean setup:
Step-by-step alerts
Open BTC Dominance (TradingView / Binance chart if available).
Mark 2 levels:
Range high (where BTC.D repeatedly rejected)
Range low (where BTC.D repeatedly bounced)
Set alerts:
Alert A: BTC.D breaks below range low (1H close)
→ alt conditions improve
Alert B: BTC.D reclaims range low after breakdown
→ “fake alt season” risk, reduce exposure
Add one confirmation alert:
ETH/BTC breaks up, or TOTAL3 breaks up (optional but powerful)
Position rule I use:
1. If BTC.D is trending up: I only trade alts with tight stops.
2. If BTC.D is trending down: I widen targets, but keep risk fixed.
Takeaway: Most people “feel” rotation late. Alerts wake you early.
$BTC $XRP $BNB
$BTC — 2026 Outlook
Updated Charts, Same Macro Structure
My previous analysis for $BTC was published shortly before the end of 2025. At that time, I assumed that the yearly candle would close green and below the 2024 mid-high. Instead, the annual time frame is now showing a very different scenario.
📊 Annual Timeframe Overview
On the annual chart, three upward impulse waves are clearly visible, with deep pullbacks after the first two impulses.
The third upward impulse, which started in 2023, ended at the 2025 all-time high of 126,199.63.
The 2025 close formed a red candle with a large upper tail, which statistically points to a higher probability of a correction phase rather than an immediate continuation of the bullish move.
I still assume we will see a test of the 2024 mid-high at 108,353.00, which lies just below the 50% level of the 2025 annual candle’s upper tail at 109,887.87.
📅 Monthly Structure & Gap Analysis
In the first two weeks of the new year, there were attempts to break above the 2025 opening level at 93,576.00.
On the monthly chart, there is a gap between the October 2025 low (102,000.00) and the December 2025 high (94,588.99).
The lower boundary of this gap has already been tested during the first weeks of 2026.
If this gap zone is convincingly reclaimed, price may move toward 108,353.00.
🔻 Downside Structure & Key Zone
If price moves downward, attention shifts to:
• The 2026 opening level — 87,648.00
• The lower tail of the 2025 annual candle — 74,508.00
The most important zone remains the gap between the 2025 low (74,508.00) and the 2021 all-time high (69,000.00).
This zone also corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the entire impulse from 15,476.00 to 126,199.63.
If this main zone fails to hold, even lower levels and deeper gap fills remain possible.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Upside Scenario
• Gap zone: 94,588.99 – 102,000.00 → opens path to 108,353.00
• 109,887.87 → 50% of the 2025 upper tail (major resistance area)
🔽 Downside Scenario
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.00
• Lower tail of 2025 candle — 74,508.00
• Main gap zone: 74,508.00 – 69,000.00
(50% Fibonacci of 15,476.00 – 126,199.63)
📌 Structure first. Levels second. Emotions last.
This outlook is based on multi-timeframe market structure, not short-term noise.
My previous analysis for $BTC was published shortly before the end of 2025. At that time, I assumed that the yearly candle would close green and below the 2024 mid-high. Instead, the annual time frame is now showing a very different scenario.
📊 Annual Timeframe Overview
On the annual chart, three upward impulse waves are clearly visible, with deep pullbacks after the first two impulses.
The third upward impulse, which started in 2023, ended at the 2025 all-time high of 126,199.63.
The 2025 close formed a red candle with a large upper tail, which statistically points to a higher probability of a correction phase rather than an immediate continuation of the bullish move.
I still assume we will see a test of the 2024 mid-high at 108,353.00, which lies just below the 50% level of the 2025 annual candle’s upper tail at 109,887.87.
📅 Monthly Structure & Gap Analysis
In the first two weeks of the new year, there were attempts to break above the 2025 opening level at 93,576.00.
On the monthly chart, there is a gap between the October 2025 low (102,000.00) and the December 2025 high (94,588.99).
The lower boundary of this gap has already been tested during the first weeks of 2026.
If this gap zone is convincingly reclaimed, price may move toward 108,353.00.
🔻 Downside Structure & Key Zone
If price moves downward, attention shifts to:
• The 2026 opening level — 87,648.00
• The lower tail of the 2025 annual candle — 74,508.00
The most important zone remains the gap between the 2025 low (74,508.00) and the 2021 all-time high (69,000.00).
This zone also corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the entire impulse from 15,476.00 to 126,199.63.
If this main zone fails to hold, even lower levels and deeper gap fills remain possible.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Upside Scenario
• Gap zone: 94,588.99 – 102,000.00 → opens path to 108,353.00
• 109,887.87 → 50% of the 2025 upper tail (major resistance area)
🔽 Downside Scenario
• 2026 opening level — 87,648.00
• Lower tail of 2025 candle — 74,508.00
• Main gap zone: 74,508.00 – 69,000.00
(50% Fibonacci of 15,476.00 – 126,199.63)
📌 Structure first. Levels second. Emotions last.
This outlook is based on multi-timeframe market structure, not short-term noise.
Most traders lose money by doing too much.
You don’t get paid for being active.
You get paid for being patient.
• Less trades
• Better timing
• Stay out of chaos
The hardest skill in trading is not analysis.
It’s doing nothing when there’s no edge.
#TrendingTopic #psychological #MarketRebound
You don’t get paid for being active.
You get paid for being patient.
• Less trades
• Better timing
• Stay out of chaos
The hardest skill in trading is not analysis.
It’s doing nothing when there’s no edge.
#TrendingTopic #psychological #MarketRebound
$LTC — Update
After my last analysis on Litecoin was published last week, my alert triggered at the upper boundary of the marked zone. The drop lasted only about 5 minutes, and I didn’t have time to get to my computer, so the entry was missed.
Today, I’m actually glad I didn’t give in to FOMO and stayed an observer.
This new week started with another decline and pullbacks from the marked zone. Since opening a long here would require a wide stop, caution is needed.
I measured the lower tail of the October 2025 candle. Price has already tested the 50% level and is now aiming toward the 75% level at 63.45 — which means it’s still too early to rush into a long position.
#LTC #Litecoin #altcoins
After my last analysis on Litecoin was published last week, my alert triggered at the upper boundary of the marked zone. The drop lasted only about 5 minutes, and I didn’t have time to get to my computer, so the entry was missed.
Today, I’m actually glad I didn’t give in to FOMO and stayed an observer.
This new week started with another decline and pullbacks from the marked zone. Since opening a long here would require a wide stop, caution is needed.
I measured the lower tail of the October 2025 candle. Price has already tested the 50% level and is now aiming toward the 75% level at 63.45 — which means it’s still too early to rush into a long position.
#LTC #Litecoin #altcoins
$XMR — Monero Update
As discussed earlier, price tested the 50% upper tail of the daily candlestick last week — and that move carried price almost to the old all-time high.
The week closed lower, forming a new 50% upper tail at 686.85. As seen on the chart, there is a gap below this level, best visible on the 4H timeframe.
Since the price made a sharp move down early in the week and then a fast rally into the lower boundary of that gap, the probability is high that after a short pullback and a test of the weekly open at 572.83, the gap will be filled to the upside.
#XMR #Monero #altcoins
As discussed earlier, price tested the 50% upper tail of the daily candlestick last week — and that move carried price almost to the old all-time high.
The week closed lower, forming a new 50% upper tail at 686.85. As seen on the chart, there is a gap below this level, best visible on the 4H timeframe.
Since the price made a sharp move down early in the week and then a fast rally into the lower boundary of that gap, the probability is high that after a short pullback and a test of the weekly open at 572.83, the gap will be filled to the upside.
#XMR #Monero #altcoins
$ADA — 2026 Outlook
$ADA The annual chart itself speaks volumes.
After a meteoric rise in 2021 to an all-time high at 3.1010, ADA attempted to continue higher, but every following year failed to sustain that momentum. In 2024, price briefly tested the 2022 opening level at 1.3080, but no structural reversal followed.
In 2025, a new low was formed below the 2024 low. The annual candle closed with a large red body, which statistically does not favor a bullish continuation.
➡️ High-probability downside test levels:
• 2024 low — 0.2756
• 2025 low — 0.2737
• 2023 opening level — 0.2458
• Annual gap zone: 0.2200 – 0.1069 (2023 low → 2019 high)
On the monthly chart, we can clearly observe the formation of an expanding triangle. In my view, the base of this structure aligns with the 2023 opening level, which was tested multiple times throughout 2023.
We could draw alternative bases for the triangle, but that would be speculative — and I prefer to work only with confirmed levels.
At the moment, price is trading inside the 2024 accumulation zone, which previously ended with a strong upside impulse.
However, the overall triangle structure has already played out its bullish phase:
• Three upward impulses have formed
• The 2025 decline can be classified as a corrective wave
Most likely scenarios from here:
1️⃣ Bearish continuation
Breakdown below the triangle base → full fill of the annual gap
📉 Target zone: 0.22 → 0.1069
2️⃣ Relief upside move
Price pushes higher to fill the monthly gap formed between:
• September 2025 low — 0.7542
• November 2025 high — 0.6189
Both scenarios remain technically valid — but the annual structure currently favors downside pressure over long-term upside expansion.
After a meteoric rise in 2021 to an all-time high at 3.1010, ADA attempted to continue higher, but every following year failed to sustain that momentum. In 2024, price briefly tested the 2022 opening level at 1.3080, but no structural reversal followed.
In 2025, a new low was formed below the 2024 low. The annual candle closed with a large red body, which statistically does not favor a bullish continuation.
➡️ High-probability downside test levels:
• 2024 low — 0.2756
• 2025 low — 0.2737
• 2023 opening level — 0.2458
• Annual gap zone: 0.2200 – 0.1069 (2023 low → 2019 high)
On the monthly chart, we can clearly observe the formation of an expanding triangle. In my view, the base of this structure aligns with the 2023 opening level, which was tested multiple times throughout 2023.
We could draw alternative bases for the triangle, but that would be speculative — and I prefer to work only with confirmed levels.
At the moment, price is trading inside the 2024 accumulation zone, which previously ended with a strong upside impulse.
However, the overall triangle structure has already played out its bullish phase:
• Three upward impulses have formed
• The 2025 decline can be classified as a corrective wave
Most likely scenarios from here:
1️⃣ Bearish continuation
Breakdown below the triangle base → full fill of the annual gap
📉 Target zone: 0.22 → 0.1069
2️⃣ Relief upside move
Price pushes higher to fill the monthly gap formed between:
• September 2025 low — 0.7542
• November 2025 high — 0.6189
Both scenarios remain technically valid — but the annual structure currently favors downside pressure over long-term upside expansion.
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