📊 Next week could be one of the most pivotal weeks for the markets since the start of the year.
🇯🇵 Tuesday, June 16: Bank of Japan decision, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate hike.
🇺🇸 Wednesday, June 17: US Federal Reserve decision, where the markets anticipate a rate hold, but all eyes will be on the first press conference of the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh.
🇺🇸 Thursday, June 18: US unemployment claims data.
⚠️ A week where the Bank of Japan is expected to hike rates while the Fed holds steady, with anticipation for the inaugural speech from new Chair Kevin Warsh and his monetary policy outlook. It's gonna be a fire week 🔥🔥🔥
🚨 Why did the markets react negatively to the end of the Federal meeting 👇
What spooked investors today was the message delivered by Kevin Warsh during his first conference as the Fed Chair.
Warsh basically announced that the Fed is leaning towards reducing future guidance, and even hinted at the possibility of adjusting or even scrapping some tools that the markets have relied on, like the Dot Plot.
In other words, investors will be getting less info on the Fed's future direction.
And this means one thing: more uncertainty.
And the markets hate uncertainty, so it’s no surprise to see an uptick in volatility right after the conference.
It seems we’ve entered a new phase where interpreting economic data will be way more crucial than waiting for clear signals from the Fed.
🚨 Summary of what Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said in his speech and statements:
After Kevin Warsh's first presser as Fed Chair, it’s clear there’s a shift in how they communicate with the markets.
Warsh emphasized that data and facts should take center stage, which is why the Fed's statement has been trimmed down, moving away from the excessive forward guidance that the markets got used to over the past years.
He also announced the formation of independent working groups to review several aspects of Fed policy, including how future economic forecasts are presented.
For me, the key takeaway is that the Fed is still committed to an inflation target of 2%, but they want more flexibility and not to bind their decisions by pre-set promises to the markets.
It looks like we’re entering a new phase, where economic data will have a bigger impact than central bank statements, meaning greater volatility in the markets.
🚨 After the Fed's decision, I reckon the main reason for the negative market reaction wasn't the rate hold, 'cause that was already on the table.
What really spooked investors was that 9 out of 18 Fed members are still expecting at least one rate hike this year.
On top of that, the Fed upped their inflation forecasts and hinted that getting back to the 2% target might take until 2028, while still calling inflation high.
In other words, the market was looking for signals to support rate cuts, but what it got was a different message: the Fed is still worried about inflation and hasn't closed the door on tightening yet.
That's why we saw direct pressure on Bitcoin, stocks, and gold right after the decision. Now we're just waiting for Kevin Warsh, the Fed chair, to either save the day or make it worse 😂😂
🚨 The US Fed keeps interest rates unchanged at 3.50% - 3.75% in its first decision under new chair Kevin Warsh.
The decision was largely expected, but the initial market reaction was negative:
📉 Gold dipped 📉 US stocks faced sell pressure 📉 Bitcoin lost some of its gains right after the announcement
This once again shows that markets react not just to the decision itself, but also to what they expect for the future.
Now all eyes are on Kevin Warsh's conference. If his tone is hawkish and he signals that rate cuts aren't on the horizon, volatility may continue. However, if he shows more flexibility regarding monetary policy, we could see a quick shift in market sentiment.
⏰ Just hours before the Fed's decision, there are 3 things that could give Bitcoin a strong boost tonight:
1️⃣ Interest Rate Plot (Dot Plot) If fewer Fed members support a rate hike before year-end than expected, the market might take that as a positive signal for high-risk assets like $BTC .
2️⃣ Kevin Warsh's Tone This is his first meeting as Fed Chair. If he indicates that inflation is under control or hints at the possibility of cutting rates later, the markets could react very positively.
3️⃣ Forward Guidance If Warsh suggests reducing the Fed's interference in guiding market expectations and lets economic data drive future decisions, that could alleviate the current anxiety.
The decision itself seems almost certain, but the details that follow may determine Bitcoin's direction in the coming weeks. 🍿
⏰ Only two hours left until the Fed's decision, and 30 minutes after that, the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, will hold his first press conference.
Honestly, I don't expect any surprises in the decision itself. The markets are pretty much in agreement on keeping rates steady, and the closest surprise could be a hike, which I see as unlikely.
But the real action starts after the decision.
Traders will be analyzing every word Warsh says to figure out if he's leaning towards cutting rates later this year, or if the Fed is still worried about inflation and might keep the door open for further tightening.
🎯 The trade $AR we discussed yesterday hit the first target of 2.120 successfully, and congrats to everyone who stuck to the plan and entered the trade.
What I like about the coin right now is that it's still holding strong despite the market momentum pulling back and everyone waiting for the Fed's decision.
The 2.10 area remains the key level at the moment. Any clear breakout and holding above it could open the door for a stronger move in the upcoming period.
My advice for those who opened positions from lower levels and are now in profit is to secure a portion of the gains and raise the stop-loss to a safe point. This way, you benefit if the upward trend continues, and you protect your capital if the markets surprise everyone after today's news.
👀 In less than 24 hours from the Fed's decision, the markets are gearing up for the first meeting led by the new chair Kevin Warsh, amidst significant questions regarding the direction of monetary policy in the upcoming period.
📊 Current forecasts indicate a hold on interest rates at 3.6%, a scenario that the markets are pricing in at nearly 100%. However, the real focus won't be on the decision itself, but on the statements and insights during the press conference.
What investors are looking for is any signal regarding the next move: Is a rate cut still on the table? Or could the return of inflationary pressures push the Fed to consider raising rates again?
For the crypto market, the Fed's statement and the press conference might be more crucial than the decision itself. Any hawkish tone could ramp up volatility, while any positive signals towards monetary easing could give a new boost to high-risk assets.
Tomorrow could determine not just the direction of the week but potentially the direction of the markets for the coming months. 👀 ⚠️ I wouldn't recommend trading during the event as volatility will be high 📉📈📉📈
As long as the price holds above 2.00 and doesn't break below, the trend remains bullish and the upward opportunities are still on, especially with the ongoing strength of the AI narrative in the market.
⚠️ Capital management is essential because scalping is fast-paced.
After surpassing Amazon, the company has now outpaced Microsoft to become the fourth largest firm in the world by market cap.
Just a few months ago, the talk was all about the IPO date, but today SpaceX is competing with the biggest tech giants on the planet.
The next name on the list is Apple.
It might sound crazy, but if this momentum and investor confidence in the company continue, we could see SpaceX inching closer to the top faster than many expect.
The coin has surged over 10% in the last 24 hours, and more importantly, trading volume has shot up significantly, indicating that the movement is backed by real liquidity rather than just short-term speculation.
I believe the renewed interest in the PayFi sector is clearly reflecting on Stellar, especially after reclaiming the $0.20 zone and flipping it from resistance to support.
Currently, the $0.26 level is the primary barrier. If the coin manages to break through, more traders might start to take notice after a long period of stagnation. If it successfully holds above, the next target is $0.31.
Meanwhile, the $0.20 level remains the support zone that must not be lost to maintain the coin's positive momentum.
🚨 The decision by the Bank of Japan that many feared has finally been announced.
The bank raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to 1%, the highest level since 1995, signaling the possibility of further increases if inflation pressures persist.
In theory, a rate hike is bad news for high-risk assets, but the markets focused on the less hawkish side of the decision.
Coinciding with the rate increase, the Bank of Japan decided to halt the reduction of its bond purchases, meaning continued liquidity support for the debt market instead of fully tightening monetary policy.
This led investors to believe that the bank is still cautious about causing a shock to the markets, as $BTC jumped from $65,600 to $66,000 immediately after the announcement.
Now that the Bank of Japan event is over, all eyes are fully on the U.S. Federal Reserve tomorrow, which may determine the next direction for Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market. 👀
The markets are continuing to react strongly to the news of peace between the United States and Iran.
📉 American oil has dropped below $78 a barrel as supply concerns ease and optimism returns to global markets.
Meanwhile, the crypto market is holding onto its recent gains:
🟠 $BTC is trading above $66,000 🔵 $ETH is maintaining trades above $1,800
What's striking is the ongoing dominance of the AI sector over the rest of the market, as many of its tokens continue to attract liquidity and momentum.
Notably, $WLD stands out as one of the strongest names right now, having recorded over 10% gains just since the beginning of the day, benefiting from a resurgence in risk appetite and increasing focus on AI projects.
So far, it seems the markets are betting on a return to stability, but the key question remains: Is this the start of a new bull run or just a temporary relief after a period of intense fear? 👀
What happened with $SIREN over the past hours serves as a harsh reminder of the risks involved with low market cap coins.
The coin lost over 60% of its value in a single day after on-chain data revealed that a wallet linked to the project sold more than 95% of the supply, causing the price to plummet from around $1.30 to about $0.03.
The key lesson here isn't just what happened to SIREN, but what every investor in alpha coins and small caps should learn.
Before any entry, don't just look at the candlestick chart. Check the wallet distribution and make sure a few addresses aren’t controlling a large chunk of the supply. Sometimes, the fate of the entire project is in the hands of one person who can move the market with just one decision.
In the world of low caps, risk management is more important than chasing big profits. 👀
🚀 SpaceX has hit a massive valuation of $2.5 trillion, putting it theoretically among the largest companies in the world, and it's just 5% away from surpassing Amazon.
The accelerated growth in space and communications via Starlink continues to attract investors, while expectations about the company's future value are on the rise.
The question now is: Do you think SpaceX can keep this bullish trend going and reach the top ranks globally, potentially even competing with or exceeding #NVIDIA or #Google in the near future? 🤔
⚠️ Before the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve's decision: Are you buying or taking profits?
Confirmation from President Trump on the peace agreement between the US and Iran has boosted risk appetite in the markets, with expectations of reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing pressure on oil prices.
The crypto market responded strongly, surpassing $BTC at the $67,000 level, with the total market cap rising over 2%.
But eyes are now on the more significant events this week. Just a few hours from now, the Bank of Japan will announce its decision on interest rates, with expectations of a hike, while the US Federal Reserve is set to announce its decision on Wednesday, with predictions pointing to a hold on rates.
The question on everyone's mind: Is this rally just getting started and supported by strong factors that could drive the market higher? Or is it just a temporary pump aimed at taking profits and exiting before any surprises from the central banks? 🤔
$ZRO is making waves after skyrocketing over 25% in the last 24 hours with a noticeable uptick in trading volume, signaling a return of buyers after a prolonged selling pressure.
What's interesting is that the $1.00 - $1.05 range, which used to be strong resistance, has now flipped to support. This is often one of the signals I look for when assessing any bounce-back.
Currently, all eyes are on the $1.110 - $1.170 zone. Maintaining this area is a positive indicator for the continuation of the bullish momentum.
The next resistance level is at the daily 50-ema around $1.20; breaking through it could push the price to $1.500.
Sometimes, new trends don't start with a price explosion but by reclaiming significant levels step by step. 👀
I know the article I wrote is a bit lengthy, but I recommend reading it. Let's break out of the crypto shell and understand the relationship between the Japanese yen and the US dollar, and why everyone panics every time the Bank of Japan decides to raise its rates, which causes a dip in crypto.
$BTC 👀 👇
Crypto_zer_o
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🔥 The first major events of this week... Tomorrow the Bank of Japan and its interest rate decision
Optimism has returned to the markets after the announcement of a peace deal between the US and Iran, along with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. This helped $BTC hit its highest levels in two weeks and caused oil to pull back sharply. In my opinion, there’s a bigger event lurking behind the scenes, which is the Bank of Japan’s decision tomorrow. But first, let me break down what investors are doing and why I've been warning about Japan for the past few months ⚠️
🔥 The first major events of this week... Tomorrow the Bank of Japan and its interest rate decision
Optimism has returned to the markets after the announcement of a peace deal between the US and Iran, along with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. This helped $BTC hit its highest levels in two weeks and caused oil to pull back sharply. In my opinion, there’s a bigger event lurking behind the scenes, which is the Bank of Japan’s decision tomorrow. But first, let me break down what investors are doing and why I've been warning about Japan for the past few months ⚠️