Podsumowanie rynku kryptowalut. Bitcoin, XRP, altcoiny i wydarzenia wpływające na giełdy. Analiza techniczna i rynkowy kontekst | X: CryptoOdZera | XRP 🇵🇱
Current news from the cryptocurrency market, macroeconomics, and Binance – these are the events that matter today and may influence prices and sentiment. 🌍 1) Bitcoin and the macro market – awaiting the Fed's decision Today is an important day for the entire market: investors are keeping a close eye ahead of the Federal Reserve's (U.S. Federal Reserve) announcement, which could change the mood of global risk markets, including cryptocurrencies. Yesterday's readings and market statements suggest that the market is uncertain whether the Fed will decide to lower rates or maintain them steadily — and this could lead to greater volatility in BTC, ETH, and altcoins.
XRP Ledger attracts institutions. Tokenization and stablecoins drive XRPL adoption
The XRP Ledger is increasingly marking its position in the race for asset tokenization and infrastructure for financial institutions. Data from the beginning of the year shows that interest in XRPL from major players is not only not diminishing but is actually accelerating. In January, the value of stablecoins in the XRP Ledger registry increased by about 100 million dollars, reaching a level of 407 million USD. This is a clear signal of the growing use of the network in real financial applications. Additionally, already last year, Ondo Finance introduced tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds on XRPL, which was one of the first significant steps towards the tokenization of traditional assets.
XRP sends a bullish signal from the derivatives market. After a deep de-leveraging, is a price rebound coming?
After a strong start to 2026, XRP has given back most of its earlier gains and is currently trading around $1.88. The declines fit into a broader weakness in the cryptocurrency market, however, beneath the surface, signals are emerging that could favor a rebound.
Key data comes from the derivatives market. Open Interest on XRP has dropped below $500 million, indicating strong de-leveraging in the market. Earlier this year, this value exceeded $1.7 billion. Such a reset removes excessive leverage and has historically often preceded healthier upward moves.
Analysts point out that similar phases of market “cleaning” in the past have led to a gradual return of demand as investors began to rebuild positions without aggressive leverage.
Technical indicators are also beginning to look better:
RSI has bounced from oversold levels below 30, which often signals exhaustion of downward pressure on-chain data shows an increase in accumulation by long-term investors the XRP chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which statistically favors an upward breakout
On the other hand, caution is warranted. XRP reserves on exchanges such as Binance and Upbit have increased and now account for nearly 10% of the circulating supply. This means that in the event of potential rises, part of the market may want to realize profits, increasing selling pressure.
The coming weeks will show whether de-leveraging has actually cleared the market and allowed XRP to rebound, or if the current consolidation will turn out to be just a stop before another wave of declines. $XRP #XRP #Ripple #Crypto #Binance #altcoins
A new day, a new session, and the market continues to live by its own rhythm. The weekend did not bring any fireworks, but that certainly does not mean it is boring. On the contrary.
🌍 Crypto + politics + macro
Today the market is mainly focused on:
-monetary policy and expectations towards central banks -crypto regulations, especially in the USA and EU, where every new statement from officials can move prices -investor sentiment, which is clearly cautious, but without panic
There is no single "breaking news" today that overturns the table, but it is precisely such days that often build larger movements in the following weeks. Capital is observing, and smart money does not like to rush.
📈 Market Analysis – Binance
On Binance, a classic picture of a market in consolidation is visible:
-Bitcoin holds key levels and continues to dictate the pace for the entire market -Alts are behaving selectively – some catch slight rebounds, while others remain under pressure -Volume is moderate, without euphoria, without fear
This is a moment when:
-short-term players are getting bored -long-term players are calmly building positions -emotions are muted, and this usually does not last forever
🧠 What is worth keeping in mind?
The market does not reward haste. If today is calm, it does not mean it will stay that way. In crypto, silence is often just a break before movement. In which direction? Time will tell.
Cryptocurrencies are entering one of the most important weeks of January. Macroeconomics, Binance, tokens etc.
The cryptocurrency market starts the week under significant pressure. Bitcoin and Ethereum still hold the sentiment of the entire sector, but in the coming days, macroeconomics and decisions from the largest institutions may have a greater impact on prices than the charts themselves. Ahead of us is a week filled to the brim: data from the USA, Fed decision, changes on Binance, tokenomic events, and large conferences. This is exactly the moment when volatility can return faster than many expect. Below you have the complete calendar of events – day by day, all times in the Polish time zone.
The first spot ETF on Dogecoin has debuted in the American market, which has received formal approval from the US SEC. The product was launched by 21Shares and is listed on Nasdaq under the ticker TDOG.
This is a groundbreaking moment for DOGE because:
-the ETF provides direct exposure to Dogecoin, without the need to hold a crypto wallet -it is the first DOGE ETF with a clear SEC decision, rather than a 'procedural' entry -the product has received official support from the Dogecoin Foundation, which has not happened before
The SEC has explicitly stated that Dogecoin is not a security, which has significant regulatory implications and may open the door to further financial instruments based on DOGE.
The ETF is primarily aimed at investors:
-retail and institutional -using traditional brokerage accounts -interested in the crypto market without technical barriers
The debut of the ETF fits into a broader strategy for the development of the Dogecoin ecosystem, which is increasingly trying to move beyond the label of 'meme coin' and build a position as a real market asset.
The market is receiving a clear signal:
DOGE has ceased to be just an internet joke and has begun to operate within the official financial infrastructure.
1) Bitcoin and the market under fear pressure The cryptocurrency market remains cautious. The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to a level indicating 'Extreme Fear', reflecting significant fluctuations in sentiment and defensive positioning by investors. The market capitalization is approximately $3.01 trillion, and the daily trading volume is over $112.9 billion – these figures indicate that despite the uncertainty, capital continues to flow through the market.
2) Bitcoin reacts to macro and market narratives Various narratives about the future of Bitcoin are circulating within the community – ranging from pessimistic to more bullish. One of the market decisions concerns the proposal of a 'perpetual stock trick', aimed at unraveling the debt issues of large investors, highlighting that the market is still searching for catalysts for a trend change.
Why every Cardano (ADA) rally might end below 0.37 USD?
The price of Cardano has been repeating the same pattern for several weeks. A short rebound, quick slowdown, and lack of continuation of the upward trend. The last upward move since January 20 yielded about 7%, but once again it stopped in the range of 0.35–0.37 USD. It was not a breakout, but merely a technical rebound. The first problem is the nature of the technical signal itself. The rebound was triggered by a weak, hidden bullish divergence on the 12-hour timeframe. Although the RSI signaled a decrease in selling pressure, it did not show a real takeover by buyers. Such divergences historically lead more to short corrective moves rather than lasting rallies.
We gather what is most important today for the market, politics, and Binance.
What matters today in the crypto market:
The market is entering a calmer phase after the recent dynamic movements. Bitcoin remains in consolidation, which classically gives space to altcoins for short-term moves. Capital is not fleeing the market; rather, it is rotating.
Regulations and politics:
After yesterday's news about the withdrawal of more lawsuits by the SEC, the regulatory sentiment remains clearly better than it was a few months ago. The market sees this as a signal that legal pressure in the USA is weakening, which is beneficial for the entire crypto sector in the long term.
Binance – what to watch for:
– stable volume on the main pairs – increased activity in futures, but without euphoria – lack of nervous liquidations, which suggests cautious market positioning
This is not a FOMO moment; rather, it is a stage of selective position building and waiting for a macro or news impulse.
Altcoins
XRP, ETH, and selected altcoins are consolidating at key levels. The market appears to be preparing for the next move, but the direction is still not determined. Reactions to resistances and Bitcoin's behavior will be key.
Morning summary: – no panic – no euphoria – market in “waiting for a signal” mode Such days often precede larger movements. It is worth watching, not chasing prices, and managing risk.
SEC withdraws lawsuit against Gemini and Genesis. A symbolic end to the war with the crypto market.
This is one of the more significant moments for the cryptocurrency market in recent years. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) officially withdrew its lawsuit against Gemini and Genesis, ending a legal battle that had been ongoing since 2023. The case was dismissed with prejudice, meaning the regulator can never return to the same allegations. For the crypto industry, this is more than just ordinary news. It is a clear signal of a change in the regulator's approach and further evidence that the strategy of 'regulation by litigation' is beginning to crumble.
What is playing on the crypto market and Binance today:
1. Market sentiments
The market is entering a waiting mode. After recent movements, there is less volatility and selective purchases. Capital is not fleeing, but rather rotating among the largest projects. This is typical behavior before a larger movement, not necessarily upward right away.
2. Politics and regulations
The topic of regulations in the USA and EU remains in the background, with no new decisions, but the market is reacting more neutrally than with fear. Investors are slowly assuming that regulations will not stop crypto but will instead organize it. This works positively in the long term for large projects and exchanges like Binance.
3. Binance and volume
On Binance, there is stable volume in the main pairs. No panic, no mass liquidations. This is a signal that the market is more mature than it was a year ago. Investors are no longer reacting impulsively to every headline.
4. Bitcoin and altcoins
Bitcoin is consolidating and setting the pace for the entire market. Altcoins, including XRP, are moving in line with it, without their own fireworks. Such days are often boring, but it is precisely then that a base is built for the next movements.
5. What to watch out for today
– lack of volume = lack of confirmation of movements – do not chase candles – look at levels, not emotions
Today is more of a day for observation than aggressive action. The market is gathering information, and patience is once again in demand.
Does Ripple really pose a threat to traditional banks?
The thesis that Ripple is no longer a 'payments company' but is starting to build a full-fledged banking infrastructure is increasingly appearing in the XRP community.
In December 2025, Vincent Van Code pointed out that Ripple could hit long-standing sources of revenue for banks: treasury operations, money transfers, and custodial services. According to him, today Ripple already has three key elements that were previously lacking: technology, regulations, and capital.
What did Ripple do in 2025?
• acquisition of Hidden Road for 1.25 billion USD (now Ripple Prime, ~3 trillion USD in annual volume) • purchase of Rail – a stablecoin payment platform • acquisition of GTreasury for 1 billion USD • joining Palisade to the ecosystem • obtaining conditional approval for banking operations
All of this has significantly changed the narrative around Ripple. It is increasingly talked about as a potential competitor to traditional financial institutions rather than a payments company.
What could this mean for the price of XRP?
Google Gemini, analyzing the topic from the perspective of global liquidity rather than speculation, indicated several scenarios:
• moderate scenario (5 years): 12.50–18 USD in line with the Standard Chartered forecast for 2028 • optimistic scenario (approx. 10% of global settlements): 25–50 USD • very ambitious scenario: above 100 USD, if XRP were to become a global settlement standard
Gemini emphasizes, however, that liquidity and adoption remain key, and threats include: stablecoins (including RLUSD), pressure from central banks, and new regulations like the US GENIUS Act.
Conclusion: Ripple clearly aims higher than ever before. Will it actually threaten banks? The market does not yet know. But one thing is certain: it is no longer a small player in transfers.
1) Bitcoin still on the defensive Bitcoin is trading close to ~89,800 USD again, and the market remains in consolidation after recent declines below 90,000 USD. This is a signal that investors are still waiting for a clear catalyst that could break the impasse. Market analysis indicates weakening liquidity and outflows from ETFs, which further burdens BTC.
2) Market sentiment remains cautious The Fear & Greed Index still shows 'Extreme Fear', even though it has slightly improved temporarily. This means that most investors are still very cautious or defensive.
Negative funding rates for XRP. Is the market preparing for the next move?
XRP has come under strong pressure after the recent correction, but market data and on-chain metrics are starting to send interesting, mixed signals. On one hand, there is fear and pessimism among retail investors, while on the other hand, indicators that have historically often preceded price rebounds.
Sentiment: fear instead of greed Santiment data shows that the sentiment around XRP has recently shifted from greed to the "extreme fear" zone. This is important because the market often moves against the emotions of the majority. In the past, similar levels of negative sentiment have led to dynamic upward movements when investors were already heavily positioned defensively.
Negative funding rates – a contrarian signal
According to CryptoQuant data, funding rates on perpetual XRP contracts have fallen below zero. This indicates a dominance of short positions. Historically, such situations (including in 2024 and 2025) have preceded rebounds, as accumulated shorts can be abruptly closed at the first upward price movement, triggering a short squeeze.
As analyst Darkfost notes: the market often moves against the delayed consensus, and an excess of shorts creates hidden buying pressure.
Binance strengthens the XRP ecosystem
An additional boost comes from Binance's decision to launch the trading pair XRP/RLUSD. The new pair increases liquidity, broadens access to the stablecoin RLUSD, and strengthens the entire XRP Ledger ecosystem. In favorable market conditions, greater liquidity means less volatility and potential attraction of new capital.
Conclusion:
XRP remains in a phase of uncertainty, however, the combination of: – extremely negative sentiment – negative funding rates – improved liquidity on Binance – and signals from technical analysis suggests that the market may be preparing for the next dynamic price movement.
Direction? The coming days will show. This is not investment advice.