I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now it’s playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115K–116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K. I’m still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, I’ll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125K–128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasn’t changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Monday’s price action will give a clearer direction.
🔸 Weekly: BTC touched the long-term trendline again → clear rejection happened. 👉 Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
🔸 Daily: Price is inside the 110K–125K supply zone. Structure is weak. If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
📊 My Trade:
✅ First target 105K hit Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you guys I’m bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now it’s trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. I’m still bearish.
I’ve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If you’re still holding longs, I’d strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Don’t get trapped by hype like “Bitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.” That’s just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
🚨 Crypto Futures Risk Management (Read This Before You Trade) ⚠️❗️
➡️Hey traders, success in futures trading starts with strict risk management. Never allocate more than 10% of your total wallet to a single trade. Split this into two entries: 5% on the first entry and 5% on the second.
For example, if your wallet balance is $100, your maximum exposure per trade should be $10. That means $5 on Entry 1 and $5 on Entry 2. Following this 10% rule helps control risk, reduce emotional trading, and keep you consistent over the long run.
➡️When you reach your target, adjust your stop loss (SL) to the entry price. If further targets are hit (e.g., Target 2 or Target 4), move your SL up to protect those gains. Remember: SL is critical—anything can happen in crypto, as we've seen with assets like FTT and Luna.
✨ Profit-Taking Strategy: When the first target is reached, book 25% profit, and continue to take incremental profits as you hit each target. If SL hits, no worries—we'll recover, but only if you follow the setup consistently.
🔑 Key Binance Futures Risk Management ❌
Leverage decides how much margin you are allowed to use.
Break this rule and liquidation does the teaching.
• 3x → max 18% margin • 5x → max 15% margin • 10x → max 10% margin • 15x → max 5% margin • 20x → max 4% margin • 25x → max 3% margin • 50x → max 2% margin • 75x → max 1% margin • 100x → 1% only
High leverage is not for bigger positions. It is for smaller ones.
💡 Pro Tip: Most disciplined traders stick to 5% - 10% margin usage with 10x leverage.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐🔽🔽
🔠"We are not gamblers; we are risk managers. The market is 1% bad news/volatility and 99% discipline. If you follow the setup, the math works in your favor."
🔊I’m here to guide you ❤️
🔴Use 5% of Fund with 10x Leverage
🟢1ST Set TP 4 And SL
🔴Most important thing ⚠️Use Last Price for Short ⚠️Use Mark Price for Long
🔴There is two entry in every given signal
⚠️Buy 50% at the first entry ⚠️Buy 50% For 2nd Given Entry ⚠️If the signal says Buy/Sell at market, enter at the market price ( current market price CMP ) ⚠️If the signal provides specific entries, wait and place limit orders at those prices
✅This helps you achieve a better average entry price
❌Some people enter in Entry 1 with 100% ,that's why when price going towards the Entry Two ,those people get panicked
✅This is call DCA (Doller Cost Average)
⏺Rule 1 : In Each TP Book 25% Profit
⚠️Flow: TP1 hit → book 25% → SL to entry ⚠️TP2 hit → book another 25% → SL to TP1. TP3 hit → book another 25% → SL to TP2. Continue until last TP
🔴Rule 2: Step-by-Step SL Protection
⚠️Set TP1 with 25% profit booking ⚠️If TP2 is hit, move SL to TP1 & If TP3 is hit, move SL to TP2 ➡️Repeat this until the last TP
⏺Rule 3 : Use Trailing Stop Loss. If You are busy
⚠️CB ,( call back) rate 0.5% ⚠️Activate trailing stop at TP1 ⚠️Use 100% of the position ⚠️Use Last Price for trailing stop, not Mark Price
⚠️Note: You can use any one of these three methods for profit booking. Do not mix them. Stay consistent and disciplined.
🚨🚨 Full more details 👉( LINK )
Understanding the Crypto Lingo:
📉 Market Sentiment
• BULLISH: Expecting price to go UP 🟢
• BEARISH: Expecting price to go DOWN 🔴
• FOMO: Fear Of Missing Out (Buying because everyone else is).
#Ethereum is currently testing a key resistance zone around $2,100–$2,150 after weeks of sideways consolidation. This level is critical because it represents the main supply area that has repeatedly capped price.
ETH needs to reclaim $2,150 with strength. If that happens, a corrective push toward $2,400–$2,600 becomes possible. However, that move would likely be a relief rally rather than a full trend reversal, making that region a potential short re entry zone where sellers could step back in.
On the downside, if Ethereum fails to break and hold above this resistance, the market structure still favors a move back toward the $1,860 demand zone, which is the next major area where buyers may try to defend price.
🚨 BREAKING: Saudi Arabia BUILT A 1,200 KM OIL PIPELINE 45 YEARS AGO IN CASE Strait of Hormuz WAS BLOCKED 🇸🇦
$XAU $ACX $OGN
About 45 years ago, Saudi Arabia quietly built a massive oil pipeline stretching roughly 1,200 kilometers from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea. The idea was simple but extremely strategic. If the critical Strait of Hormuz was ever blocked during war or geopolitical tension, Saudi oil could still reach international markets through an alternative route. At the time, this project received little global attention, but it was designed as a long term insurance policy for energy security.
Today, with rising tensions in the Gulf and repeated concerns about potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, that decades old decision looks incredibly forward thinking. Nearly 20% of the world’s oil supply normally moves through this narrow waterway. If it were ever closed, global energy markets could face serious disruption. This pipeline allows Saudi crude to bypass that choke point entirely and flow directly to export terminals on the Red Sea.
In simple terms, Saudi planners prepared for a worst case scenario decades before it became a real discussion in global markets. While many countries still depend heavily on the Hormuz route, Saudi Arabia built an alternative pathway long ago. Today that infrastructure could become one of the most important energy lifelines in the world if tensions in the Gulf escalate. 🌍⛽🔥
🚀 BTC recently moved from $68K to $74K. As mentioned earlier, I expected a short-term relief or “fake” pump, so I opened a long position around $68K and the market has already moved nearly $6,000 from that entry.
The key level in my analysis remains $72K, which is the major resistance of the current range box. Ideally, I want to see a daily or weekly candle close above $72K. If the market holds above this level, a move toward $80K–$85K becomes possible. However, if price continues to trade inside the range with fake breakouts, the market could remain sideways and potentially sweep liquidity below the range.
Current Position
I am still holding my long from $68K. For safe traders, I would suggest using a stop loss around $64,500 to manage risk.
Personally, I am more flexible with my position. If the market drops again, I plan to add more long positions between $60K and $54K, which is below the range box and a strong liquidity area. ⚠️ These additional longs are intended only for short-term opportunities within the range, as I still expect a much deeper macro bottom later in the cycle.
Macro Outlook
Geopolitical tension is rising quickly between the United States, Iran, and Israel. With risks around the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. strikes on Iranian oil infrastructure, global oil supply could tighten sharply. Because of this, crude oil moving toward $99 looks very realistic, and if the conflict continues to expand, oil could even push toward $150 per barrel. In that environment, Gold and Silver are also likely to rise as investors look for safe-haven assets.
At the same time, the global stock market may face strong pressure. Despite tensions, markets like the U.S. stock market and the Israel stock market have recently moved sharply higher, which historically can signal fragile conditions before a correction. I have warned about this risk many times. If global tensions continue, a deeper stock market crash is possible in the coming weeks or months.
It turns out this is real generational love. When grandpa pampers you while stacking Bitcoin, you grow up loving both grandpa and the bags he left you.
Gold Is Rising Even as Iran Tensions Ease — Here’s Why
Normally, when war tensions cool down, investors move money back into riskier assets and Gold tends to fall. But this time the market is behaving differently.
Even as the situation around Iran shows signs of de-escalation, gold prices have stayed strong. The reason is simple: gold today reacts to more than just geopolitical headlines.
The early fears around disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz pushed energy prices higher, which increased global inflation concerns. When inflation risks rise, investors often turn to gold as a store of value.
At the same time, central banks continue accumulating gold reserves, adding steady long-term demand to the market.
So gold isn’t just reacting to war news. It’s balancing geopolitics, inflation fears, and global economic uncertainty all at once. #MarketAnalysis #GoldMarket