Newcomer Orientation【Welcome to Follow】|Trading Technology Burning Decision——Discount Zone and Transaction Zone
🧐All trading can be simplified; next, I will clarify the logic step by step, combining the practical techniques I have used so far to guide newcomers into the trading market gradually. This part of the article will be updated with more than one piece; this is the first article in the series. Welcome to search for 【Newcomer Orientation】 on my homepage. The next update will be after reaching 1000 fans; please follow. (In the future, every time I reach a milestone in fan count, I will update a session on trading technology 'Burning Decision,' welcome to follow.) First, determine one thing: every time I have something to emphasize, I will mark it with an underline. In trading, you can gradually understand its meaning.
First of all, I want to wish all the big brothers an early happy new year, welcome the new spring and make big money! 🐴 🤑Weekly structure review (those who can hold can refer to it, heavy investors can look at the usual short-term trading suggestions) This issue is a special edition for the New Year, we will pause updates when we go back for the New Year. 😀 Try to enter trades through the tags in my articles, I can earn some commission for the hard work, thank you everyone! ~😇 👀$BTC First, let's summarize and take a look at the possible news regarding Bitcoin until February 23, when the Spring Festival ends, as a reference for the period without updates. 📈Positive news: CPI has landed lightly dovish, which may offset the earlier strong non-farm hawkish pressure, injecting strong stimulus into BTC/ETH/SOL/gold in the short term.
$SIREN This coin, see my previous short post. The hints have been numerous, and even at midnight tonight, something still feels off. Pay attention 👀, every time I test the number of retail investors in the market at midnight, I think the launch interval should be about the same now. If it drops once more, it will blow up the bulls, and after a rise, it should be possible to short after unloading. The general trend should wait for the daily level to gain volume, then wait for the daily line to surpass a few candlesticks at the top, and then short, until it goes to zero. During the process of gaining volume, absolutely do not short; just wait for the current results from the market maker. If the quantity is sufficient after testing, this trend will be immediately followed. If there are not enough retail investors, then continue to collect advantageous chips. In any case, it will happen sooner or later, unless the market maker suddenly needs cash flow, otherwise it should continue to attempt.
Danswitch12306
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Bullish
$SIREN Siren coins, I have hinted about this many times in short posts, often subtly showing signs of something being off. Although I really can't understand it, there should be a major player in this market, and not just one; I feel that several major players have a similar consensus, working together to slowly push the price. Recently, something seems off again, so observe closely 👀 I still believe it's best to wait for the major player to release aggressively, watch the show, and adopt a strategy of waiting for distribution before following with short positions. Although now is definitely not the time to short, what I mean by something being off is that liquidity is being swept, accumulating positions. If your position is slightly worse, you will immediately become the target 🎯 {future}(SIRENUSDT)
When $BTC reaches near 7w8, I will start to layout short positions. Those who follow my short posts at that time should feel the change in my view on the direction of the trades 👀, The expected operations afterward are: If it starts to fluctuate near 7w8, it will strengthen my bearish stance. If the fluctuations do not occur as expected, I will continue to go long on the rebound until near 8w9 to continue laying out short positions. Welcome to follow 👏
Danswitch12306
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$BTC Some short sellers insist on entering without rushing to leave, because in reality, the biggest trend remains bearish. The rise here is a rebound at the weekly and monthly levels, and that won’t change. ‼️However, the furthest defense should be placed around 80k9, do not be overly lucky with market changes. The area around 80k9 is the greatest resistance level, and the bullish strength can only reach there at most. If it cannot hold up to that point, do not believe in what various so-called “teachers” say about holding onto so-called bearish trend positions. Those “teachers” may hold out the longest there, but some people may not be able to withstand it with heavy positions. Take it slow; surviving is the most important thing. #BTC trend analysis
$BTC Some short sellers insist on entering without rushing to leave, because in reality, the biggest trend remains bearish. The rise here is a rebound at the weekly and monthly levels, and that won’t change. ‼️However, the furthest defense should be placed around 80k9, do not be overly lucky with market changes. The area around 80k9 is the greatest resistance level, and the bullish strength can only reach there at most. If it cannot hold up to that point, do not believe in what various so-called “teachers” say about holding onto so-called bearish trend positions. Those “teachers” may hold out the longest there, but some people may not be able to withstand it with heavy positions. Take it slow; surviving is the most important thing. #BTC trend analysis
Danswitch12306
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$BTC callback guardian 71800, 73240; Looking at precise points 78094, 78825; Already breaking upwards, those who haven't entered at the bottom can wait for a callback, no need to rush in, chasing prices and selling at dips will lead to greater losses...#BTC走势分析
$BTC callback guardian 71800, 73240; Looking at precise points 78094, 78825; Already breaking upwards, those who haven't entered at the bottom can wait for a callback, no need to rush in, chasing prices and selling at dips will lead to greater losses...#BTC走势分析
Danswitch12306
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$BTC The critical decision time happens to coincide with tonight's US market, If the Nasdaq rises, the price will break through accordingly, aiming for 78,000; If the Nasdaq falls, the price will test the latest support level at 71,800. If it holds, the structure will form, and the high points will be reassessed; If it breaks below 71,800, the structure will fail, looking down to 67,300, with the most pessimistic scenario seeing 54,000.
The current situation is to not rush, wait for the results after the consolidation. As long as the key levels hold, the potential for growth remains significant. Welcome to follow 👏 #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT)
💸The stocks I have collected are already showing stronger performance during the tightening period than during the easing period. It is recommended to allocate as much as possible to bond assets and foreign currency cash assets. Waiting for the market to ease again... At that time, we will reallocate back to stock and commodity assets🤫 $币安人生
$BTC The critical decision time happens to coincide with tonight's US market, If the Nasdaq rises, the price will break through accordingly, aiming for 78,000; If the Nasdaq falls, the price will test the latest support level at 71,800. If it holds, the structure will form, and the high points will be reassessed; If it breaks below 71,800, the structure will fail, looking down to 67,300, with the most pessimistic scenario seeing 54,000.
The current situation is to not rush, wait for the results after the consolidation. As long as the key levels hold, the potential for growth remains significant. Welcome to follow 👏 #BTC走势分析
$BTC Latest Status: Bulls start at 71420, defend at 70705, the target is to look towards 78,000… From Monday until before the US market, if these two points are not held, it can be seen as the surrender of the bulls. In a neutral situation, entering a wide fluctuation and consolidation with support at 67300; in the worst case, entering a bearish trend directly towards around 54,000. My position mentioned in the March 14 group chat at 70282, has been pushed to break even, if you have it, great, if not, that's fine. This position isn't great. #BTC走势分析
$BTC The suppression point has arrived, and if 71585 cannot form an effective breakthrough in the four-hour period, the logic of the bearish trend will take effect, and at least the logic of a wide range consolidation will appear.
Waiting to see if there will be a bullish increase in the afternoon session, preferably with some supportive news. If it stabilizes, once the structure forms, the subsequent bullish trend will be very exaggerated.
Danswitch12306
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$BTC In the past couple of days, it is estimated that not much can be seen in terms of the structure. If the bulls did not settle when there was significant volume increase yesterday, it will be difficult to endure moving forward: However, there is a pattern that needs attention if it forms! If there is continued volatility over the weekend, and the price remains stable without change, around 3 PM on Sunday afternoon to the evening, and then into Monday morning's trading session, if there is news causing a significant and sustained volume increase— the hourly chart may show about four consecutive volume increases, with the price attempting to return to around 73k? Then sufficient funds need to be prepared to participate, and after the structure is completed, wait for a consolidation of the volatility, with major positions participating in the long. Once this structure forms, the fluctuations will be extremely exaggerated. The probability is about 20%, and if favorable news appears, the probability will increase.
BTC's follow-up to the Nasdaq after participating in the traditional market is very evident, and the biggest issue now is that the Nasdaq wants to go down, while Bitcoin has already been at a stage of a bottom range. These two are currently in conflict, and personally, I tend to follow the trend of the Nasdaq... The chart shows the weekly and monthly status of the Nasdaq— the current situation is very poor. #比特币升回7万 {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC In the past couple of days, it is estimated that not much can be seen in terms of the structure. If the bulls did not settle when there was significant volume increase yesterday, it will be difficult to endure moving forward: However, there is a pattern that needs attention if it forms! If there is continued volatility over the weekend, and the price remains stable without change, around 3 PM on Sunday afternoon to the evening, and then into Monday morning's trading session, if there is news causing a significant and sustained volume increase— the hourly chart may show about four consecutive volume increases, with the price attempting to return to around 73k? Then sufficient funds need to be prepared to participate, and after the structure is completed, wait for a consolidation of the volatility, with major positions participating in the long. Once this structure forms, the fluctuations will be extremely exaggerated. The probability is about 20%, and if favorable news appears, the probability will increase.
BTC's follow-up to the Nasdaq after participating in the traditional market is very evident, and the biggest issue now is that the Nasdaq wants to go down, while Bitcoin has already been at a stage of a bottom range. These two are currently in conflict, and personally, I tend to follow the trend of the Nasdaq... The chart shows the weekly and monthly status of the Nasdaq— the current situation is very poor. #比特币升回7万
The points mentioned in this article, $BTC , have become invalid in this wave of increase. Wait for tomorrow to release new reference positions...
Danswitch12306
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Bullish
$BTC Bitcoin level: step by step, each step has a corresponding action 1️⃣ 68395 place a sell order downwards to close a light short position; 2️⃣ 67300 place a sell order downwards to defend and open a light long position; ⚠️ If defense fails, watch for recovery to stop loss, shorts aim for 54,000; ❗️ First enter the lower level before closing long at the upper level—— 3️⃣ 73580 place a sell order upwards to close part of the long position; 4️⃣ If it breaks out near 74,000, then close part of the short position; ‼️ If it goes directly up to level 3️⃣, then do not close this long position, directly try to reach 78,000 and see if you can close long (78765) 5️⃣ 78765 place a sell order in the short position to raise the short position cost. Welcome to follow and communicate, continuously updating market analysis. #BTC走势分析 #比特币重新站上7万美元大关 {future}(BTCUSDT)
It feels like in previous wars there was at least a justification for going to war... This time, the strikes by the U.S. and Israel against Iran can be said to be "willy-nilly" from the very beginning... One can only say that the U.S. is truly reaping the benefits of the "peaceful era"—most major countries are caught in a recession cycle and are preoccupied with themselves, all trying to be the "Dark Lord" and develop stealthily... All countries are watching from the sidelines, seeing how far the Americans can go; otherwise, based on past behavior, they would have to start imposing sanctions and delivering equipment... From the very beginning, allowing Israel to exist in the Middle East has already been the biggest destabilizing factor. Its existence is to create chaos; even if it's not Iran, it will be other countries... Missiles in the desert have been nurtured by these acts of revenge... The result is more chaos, more chaos... Just like traders hope, a good market doesn't care how much the price is, as long as there is volatility, it's a good market... $币安人生 #特朗普称伊朗战事接近尾声
$BTC creates suspense between script one and script two… The fluctuations occur during hesitation, Both the long and short sides are increasing their positions, and once released, a stampede will occur, leading to volatility… The suppression range is becoming increasingly crowded; what will happen tomorrow? A stampede will form countless blood-stained chips. #特朗普称伊朗战事接近尾声
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$BTC The two positions provided this time have not held for 4 hours in a trend, so I can only hope that the daily line will hold; If it cannot hold above 67700, we must proceed with a bearish trend, then the previous consideration for longs can only be abandoned, and 74000 will become the high point of this segment. Previously, I also advised everyone to close longs at 71380, and now the pressure should not be too great. Currently, there are three scenarios: 1. Continue bullish structure 🟢: Continue to accumulate in the bullish trend line area downwards - 65760 and 63750 are the last two support positions where the dealer completes the bottom accumulation, news assistance lifts the price, and continues to break through the high points, with the direction still looking towards 78000; 2. Strong selling pressure, structure turns bearish 🔴: After testing the bullish trend line downwards, it retraces, and is suppressed on the bearish trend line - near the 64600 monthly support, the price retraces upwards and is pressured by the bearish trend line, leading to a significant downward movement, with the bottom estimated to respond only near the weekly support at 54840 (those who are bullish must be cautious when approaching this area); 3. Up and down wash, clearing low leverage 🤮: This is the most disgusting method and the one that profits the dealer the most - after breaking downwards near the low point of 62500, it again increases volume to pull back upwards, ultimately closing near the midpoint of the oscillation range, causing price compression, and after release, it will finally show the true direction (the volume during this directional phase will be extremely high, and it will not return in the short term). The weekend market reference is not very significant, but now all three scenarios are possible. I will continuously update the evolution in my short posts, welcome to follow and communicate. #BTC走势分析 @币安广场 {future}(BTCUSDT)
$SIREN $TRIA $RIVER Now many related articles are starting to appear again... Take a look at this article I wrote... This plot will repeat every time... Take good care of your money and watch from the sidelines. Once you go in, your chips are no longer under your control.
Danswitch12306
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Newcomers Guide [Welcome to Follow]|How to Avoid Being Used by Speculators in Short Selling? Behavioral Identification of Highly Controlled Coins
"Shorting halfway up the mountain? Holding on, thinking it should be about to peak? After being liquidated, the market quickly reverses, suspecting that the main force is hunting you down?" ———————————————————————— These ideas may still be interpreted in mainstream coins like BTC or ETH as: inadequate technology, poor grasp of market trends, and insufficient research on news. However, in certain coins that are highly controlled by speculators, all your short and long orders are just a small piece of chives under the monitoring of the speculators—waiting for the fate of being harvested.
$SIREN Siren coins, I have hinted about this many times in short posts, often subtly showing signs of something being off. Although I really can't understand it, there should be a major player in this market, and not just one; I feel that several major players have a similar consensus, working together to slowly push the price. Recently, something seems off again, so observe closely 👀 I still believe it's best to wait for the major player to release aggressively, watch the show, and adopt a strategy of waiting for distribution before following with short positions. Although now is definitely not the time to short, what I mean by something being off is that liquidity is being swept, accumulating positions. If your position is slightly worse, you will immediately become the target 🎯
$BTC The clearing pain points show that there is demand from shorts near 7w2, and the bullish crowd needs to pay attention to whether 7w2 can reach and break through, which should be in the next couple of days around Wednesday and Thursday... The bulls are also quite close— Although I feel that if it goes towards a bullish clearing, it would be a bit smoother, but now after the CPI, the market's reaction is trying to clear upwards, so let's respect the market first... Pay attention to whether it recovers after 7w2, this is the current state, let's see how far the bulls can go... #CPI数据 #比特币重新站上7万美元大关
$BTC Bitcoin level: step by step, each step has a corresponding action 1️⃣ 68395 place a sell order downwards to close a light short position; 2️⃣ 67300 place a sell order downwards to defend and open a light long position; ⚠️ If defense fails, watch for recovery to stop loss, shorts aim for 54,000; ❗️ First enter the lower level before closing long at the upper level—— 3️⃣ 73580 place a sell order upwards to close part of the long position; 4️⃣ If it breaks out near 74,000, then close part of the short position; ‼️ If it goes directly up to level 3️⃣, then do not close this long position, directly try to reach 78,000 and see if you can close long (78765) 5️⃣ 78765 place a sell order in the short position to raise the short position cost. Welcome to follow and communicate, continuously updating market analysis. #BTC走势分析 #比特币重新站上7万美元大关
Danswitch12306
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$BTC The two positions provided this time have not held for 4 hours in a trend, so I can only hope that the daily line will hold; If it cannot hold above 67700, we must proceed with a bearish trend, then the previous consideration for longs can only be abandoned, and 74000 will become the high point of this segment. Previously, I also advised everyone to close longs at 71380, and now the pressure should not be too great. Currently, there are three scenarios: 1. Continue bullish structure 🟢: Continue to accumulate in the bullish trend line area downwards - 65760 and 63750 are the last two support positions where the dealer completes the bottom accumulation, news assistance lifts the price, and continues to break through the high points, with the direction still looking towards 78000; 2. Strong selling pressure, structure turns bearish 🔴: After testing the bullish trend line downwards, it retraces, and is suppressed on the bearish trend line - near the 64600 monthly support, the price retraces upwards and is pressured by the bearish trend line, leading to a significant downward movement, with the bottom estimated to respond only near the weekly support at 54840 (those who are bullish must be cautious when approaching this area); 3. Up and down wash, clearing low leverage 🤮: This is the most disgusting method and the one that profits the dealer the most - after breaking downwards near the low point of 62500, it again increases volume to pull back upwards, ultimately closing near the midpoint of the oscillation range, causing price compression, and after release, it will finally show the true direction (the volume during this directional phase will be extremely high, and it will not return in the short term). The weekend market reference is not very significant, but now all three scenarios are possible. I will continuously update the evolution in my short posts, welcome to follow and communicate. #BTC走势分析 @币安广场 {future}(BTCUSDT)