大渔海棠Dayuhaitang8961

BTC Analysis

The 4-hour chart can be treated as a rising wedge, and it is currently still in a sideways range! The 61.8% Fibonacci level is at the yellow horizontal line, with the price around 97000! If it continues to rebound upwards, the price we can see is likely to be at that position!

On a larger scale, there is a need for corrective indicators on the 2nd and 3rd days! Therefore, a major crash is not expected for now; there will still be upward and downward corrections of the indicators.

On the weekly chart, we can observe that the MACD yellow and white lines have crossed below the zero axis in this tug-of-war, which means the larger cycle is about to enter a bearish rhythm! You can refer to that position in 2021, just as a reference; history will repeat itself, but it won't simply repeat 🔁

In summary, this position will create a central consolidation, a structure of ups and downs or a structure that does not exceed the previous high, forming a continuation of the decline, and it will continue to drop 📉

Trading strategy suggestions: If going short, patiently wait for short signals, either continue to rebound and show exhaustion to short, or break below the sideways area with a lower left, continue to follow short! There is more than $20,000 space downwards.

Going long: Be cautious when going long and ensure proper risk control; do not be careless! Even if it rebounds to around $100,000 here, the main strategy should still be to go short!

Regardless of bullish or bearish, this position requires time for correction. Such sideways action is more likely to lose money because neither shorting nor going long is correct, and yet both can be! This is very contradictory; the market continuously squeezes in the sideways range until it finally breaks the balance, marking the beginning of a trend! #比特币VS代币化黄金

The previous article provided that a breakthrough back down, or failing to break through the left high point, may indicate a short signal. Currently, the breakthrough back down has established a 2B pattern, continue to watch for consolidation! Hold BTC short position! #加密市场观察

The rebound target of 93000 has been reached. As for how much higher it goes ⬆️, just pay attention to the strength! I will take profits on my position, and my long-term view remains unchanged. Here, I will establish the downward center of the 4-hour daily line! #美联储重启降息步伐

A few days ago, I expressed the view that this position would create a 4-hour or daily range center, which means it will oscillate up and down like this center! It has already materialized, coming down near the previous low, so we will see the situation that arises from this upward movement. First, if it breaks the left high of 93000 and then falls back, second, if it does not break the left high of 93000 and falls back. Just pay attention to the intensity.

Currently, you can hold long positions, but the stop loss is too large! Short positions need to wait; the long-term strategy remains unchanged, and this position is just a large-scale downward continuation! #美联储重启降息步伐

Provided yesterday, the breakout short signal needs to be awaited at this position! Already profited #加密市场反弹

In the previous post, three positions of the golden ratio were given, and currently 31.8 has been reached, but 50 has not yet been touched!

30 15 5-minute chart, currently in a rebound phase of consolidation! 90400 is the key! Pay attention to several possibilities:
1. If it breaks below 90400, then pulls back to 90400, continue the rebound extension to touch the 50 of the golden ratio near 94000, consider taking profit.

2. If it does not break below 90400, continue to extend, and for long positions, consider taking profit.

3. If it breaks below 90400 and fails to reclaim that position on the pullback, confirm a continued decline on a smaller scale and follow the short!

Currently in a cash position, the previous day's long position for SOL BTC has been closed.

This position is a 4-hour and daily rebound, a segment of the 4-hour and a move of the daily, currently basically fulfilled! So let's wait and see! #加密市场反弹

Currently, there are only two long positions, Btc and SOL
The overall view remains unchanged, looking for a rebound here! #美国非农数据超预期

In the speculative market, everyone is a pig, all wanting to fly! The only way for pigs to fly is to find the right opportunity! In the speculative market, the right opportunity is the trend, the right opportunity is the periodic chance! Most people think there are opportunities every day, but most are not, yet there will definitely be a day when there is! Just like the downtrend of a large cycle, the rebound of a small cycle will not change the direction of the large cycle; countless times of bottom fishing will eventually lead to deeper traps! But one day, at a certain moment, there will definitely be a small cycle turning that changes the direction of the large cycle! #比特币波动性

Currently breaking through the downtrend, with a 5-minute consolidation, resistance is around 88600, and after breaking through, we look at the next rebound resistance. Using Fibonacci measurement, the method is the same as mentioned in the previous article! Currently holding a long position in BTC!

This is just a rebound, not a reversal, the larger perspective remains unchanged!
The future of Bitcoin will be seen below 7! #比特币波动性

BYC market analysis, since the price fell from 126100, I have been telling everyone that the downtrend is merely a rebound. A running center has formed around 115900, and there will be another decline! Currently, it has dropped to the 1.618 Fibonacci level between 126100-102000, corresponding to a price around 87000.
The current price is in a 5-minute sideways trend, within the range of 93800-88600. A breakout at this level indicates a rebound, while a drop below suggests further extension, but it is not suitable to chase 🈳 now, as the downtrend structure is complete, leading to a rebound that is not a reversal! The rebound target measurement is drawn from 10500-88600 using Fibonacci! However, the rebound must break through 93800 to go long!

Key point: The weekly price has already broken below 109588, so the low point of the sideways range is around 74500. Watch for sideways movement or a reversal! This viewpoint remains unchanged!

As a reference, to go long in a downtrend, it is necessary to break through a neckline level of a sideways area, and to identify true and false breakouts! This is very important, otherwise, one might go long halfway up in a downtrend, leading to losses and being stuck! #美股2026预测

The 5-minute chart currently shows a consolidation area. A valid breakthrough at 97400 is needed for upward rebound potential. Otherwise, the 5-minute range of 94000-97400 will continue to oscillate.

If a valid rebound is established, look at the 4-hour Fibonacci levels to measure target positions.

On the weekly chart, the price has already fallen back to the left-side high of 109588, indicating a 2b false breakout! There are only two possibilities for the price: consolidation or reversal.

The consolidation range is 74500-126100. If it breaks below 74500, the entire weekly uptrend will be confirmed as finished, entering a bear market phase!

Currently, the wide range consolidation on the weekly chart is in a middle position; this is not a reversal but a rebound. Do not assume a reversal or think that bulls will still push prices up; this could lead to significant losses!

So, just maintain a medium to long-term bearish outlook! Pay attention to whether it is consolidation or reversal near 74500; it needs time!

In summary, there is a large-scale consolidation. 4 1-hour downtrend! Feel free to short when short signals appear! Going long is just for a rebound; take profits when available! #btc70k

Yesterday, after a 5-minute breakthrough, there was pressure at the left neckline and a signal of exhaustion appeared in the 5-minute rebound, so I took a short position and have already taken profit! Currently, the 5-minute downturn has broken through, holding 2 breakthrough positions, one Sol and one ETH.
Currently, the 5-minute is bullish; those are beneficial for holding positions, and must be firmly held. Those that are unfavorable for holding positions must be firmly exited.
Bitcoin,
Daily K, sideways consolidation, slightly weak.
4H, decline turned sideways.
1H, sideways consolidation.
15m decline.
5m decline and sideways; whether it constitutes a head and shoulders top still needs to be verified by the neckline break.
Summary: Both large and small cycles are sideways with no direction; try to stay in cash as the market momentum is slightly weak. Trading opportunities will still be reflected first in the 5m; this is what I frequently say: when trading contracts, you cannot rely on large cycles! If you can do well with 5, 15, and 1-hour trend trades, you can surpass 95% of traders!
#BTC走势分析

Yesterday, after a 5-minute breakout, it encountered pressure at the left neck line and showed signs of exhaustion in the 5-minute rebound, leading to a short position, which has already taken profit! Currently, the 5-minute dip has broken through, holding 2 breakout positions, one in Sol and one in ETH.

Currently, the 5-minute is bullish; those conditions are favorable for holding positions, while those that are unfavorable should be exited decisively.

Bitcoin,
Daily K, fluctuating sideways, slightly weak.
4H, transitioning from a downtrend to sideways.
1H, fluctuating sideways.
15m downtrend.
5m downtrend and sideways; whether it constitutes a head and shoulders top still needs to verify the break of the neck line.
Summary: Both large and small cycles are sideways, with no direction; try to maintain a cash position, the trend strength is slightly weak, trading opportunities will still be reflected first in the 5m, which I frequently mention, when trading contracts, one cannot focus on large cycles! However, if one can excel in 5, 15, and 1-hour trend positions, they can surpass 95% of traders! #ETH巨鲸增持

#美国政府停摆

Pancake:
Sideways fluctuation during a 4h decline
Sideways fluctuation on the 1h
30m rise turns to decline
15m decline
5m decline turns to sideways fluctuation
Trading idea: Focus on short positions, reduce positions if above 104500. The next trading opportunity will arise after the 5m conversion. Currently, 103400-103700 is the pressure of the 5-minute sideways! The possible details at this position are as follows: Breakthrough and then fall back, tightly reaching or unable to touch and continue down (already excluded), an effective breakthrough must have a strong bullish candle!

Currently holding short positions at 105500, and the two positions where 104600 breaks the neck line!

What are the differences between sideways trading and trend trading? Which type of trader are you? What is the focus of sideways trading? It is merely range trading, so does a future directional change mean a trend? How to grasp it? What are the key points in defining a trend? Where is the critical point? This is the core of trading, not just predicting long or short, and opening long or short orders! #美国结束政府停摆

#Strategy增持比特币 Today's Analysis of BTC

Trading is about knowing the possible situations that may occur! Look for trading opportunities and critical points within these situations! #美国ADP数据超预期

Analysis and predictions can be wrong, but trading systems will not! Ether 3490, Bitcoin 104500 breaks out to go long, breaks down to continue looking short! This is what we often say, do not pollute, follow! If you cannot understand, it means your understanding and learning of the technology is still insufficient #加密股IPO季

When strong, only 15 30 minutes of 60 will be encountered! This is a very useful trading system that combines moving averages to play trends! Dare you to chase? Once it arrives, a single main wave, retracement, in the main wave, repeatedly and again, how could it be so easy to short #币安HODLer空投SAPIEN

During the day, it returned to the 60 moving average for 15 minutes and will no longer provide opportunities near this low point. A significant breakthrough has truly occurred, and 2.4 has become the support of the previous high! This kind of strength means that going with the trend is the way to go!

It's simple; when your trading system signals that it wants to go long or breaks through a key point, then look for upward movement. However, you do not know where it will reach, but you know which direction it will go! #隐私币生态普涨

Support has been drawn out, and being able to reach this area is an opportunity, so manage the risks well!

If Bitcoin can break the new low on the 4-hour chart, the basic downward structure will be complete! Then Bitcoin will have to rebound! Don't even mention the several in the chart!
Riding the wind, unstoppable
If FIL breaks through the daily triangle slope resistance, an unstoppable scene will occur.