🚨 LATEST: Ethereum [$ETH ] Foundation launches Post-Quantum security team with $2M funding to protect against quantum computing threats #ETH #Write2Earn
Bitcoin’s price prediction debate is splitting between accumulation and momentum signals. CryptoQuant data shows new whale realized cap racing higher into 2026, while a separate weekly chart shows Bitcoin sliding to the low $82,000s with RSI pressing into a historically low zone.
BTC realized cap for new whales spikes into 2026 New Bitcoin whale wallets expanded their realized cap sharply at the end of the chart, rising toward about $120 billion as BTC price stayed near the top of its range. CryptoQuant’s “BTC: Realized Cap for New Whales” graphic shows the purple area barely visible until 2021, then growing slowly through 2022 and 2023 before turning higher in 2024
BTC Realized Cap for New Whales. Source: CryptoQuant/ X
Then the curve steepened. Through 2025, the new whale realized cap accelerated from a modest base into a near vertical climb, ending close to the top of the left axis. Meanwhile, the black price line climbed into 2025 and then moved sideways near the 80K to 100K zone on the right axis, with a slight dip at the far right as the purple area continued rising.
Earlier cycles look different on the same chart. Price surged into 2017, dropped through 2018, and recovered into 2021 before sliding in 2022. However, the new whale realized cap did not show comparable scale in those years, because the series only starts to build meaningfully from 2021 onward and remains relatively flat until the late 2024 to 2025 transition.
As a result, the image highlights a widening gap: large, newer holders increased their aggregate cost basis rapidly, while spot price advanced more gradually and then consolidated near the Bitcoin weekly RSI drops toward prior cycle lows as BTC slides to $82,550 on Coinbase Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI fell toward the lower end of its multi year range as BTC pulled back to about $82,550 on Coinbase, according to a TradingView chart shared on X by account Nexus. The screenshot shows the latest weekly candle with an open near $94,182, a high around $95,950, and a low near $81,386 before settling close to $82,550, a weekly drop of about 12.35% .
🚀Has the Era of Random Speculation Ended? Here's What's Happening Behind the Scenes in 2026! 🛑
Many are asking, "Why isn't my portfolio moving while the market is on fire?" The harsh truth is that the rules of the game have completely changed! We're not just experiencing another "bull cycle," but a revolution in Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization. 🌍💎 While some are busy chasing "memecoins" that disappear in two days, major financial institutions and the Davos 2026 banks have already started pouring billions into projects that link real estate and gold to the blockchain. 🏦 Why is this the Golden Age? Artificial Intelligence (AI): No longer just a buzzword, AI has become the core driver for network security and liquidity distribution. Stablecoins: The battle between traditional stablecoins and new ones (like USD1) is reshaping the landscape of dominance. Bitcoin's Maturity: $BTC above the $90,000 level isn't just a price; it's a new "institutional price floor." 📈 Question for Discussion: 👇 Do you think utility-based coins will kill off memecoins this year, or will "hype" remain king? Share your opinion in the comments, and I'll analyze the favorite coin of the most liked comment in my next post! 🎯
Bitcoin slips below $88,000 ahead of Fed week and Big Tech earnings
Bitcoin slipped below the $88,000 level on Sunday as crypto markets weakened in thin weekend trading, extending a pullback that has weighed on the crypto market over the past week.
BTC traded around $87,800 in U.S. afternoon hours, down roughly 2% over 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data. Ether fell toward $2,880, while solana, XRP and cardano each posted losses of between 3% and 5% on the day. Most major tokens remain down sharply on a seven-day basis, reflecting the fragile state of sentiment across the market.
The move caused $224 million in liquidations on bullish bets, led by $68 million on bitcoin-tracked futures and $45 million on ether-based futures.
Weekend moves are often driven less by fresh information and more by positioning adjustments, particularly after periods of heightened volatility earlier in the week.
Traders are entering the new week on heightened alert for possible intervention in the Japanese yen after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned against “abnormal” market moves, comments that followed a sudden reversal in the yen late Friday.
The currency’s sharp rally raised caution across Asian trading desks, even as officials stopped short of confirming any action, per Bloomberg.
Elsewhere, political risk in the U.S. added to an already unsettled backdrop.
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said his party would block a major spending package unless funding for the Department of Homeland Security is removed, increasing the risk of a partial government shutdown.
While such standoffs are familiar, they can tighten near-term liquidity conditions and weigh on sentiment across risk assets, particularly during periods of elevated positioning.
The latest dip follows a stretch that saw bitcoin briefly lose the $90,000 handle amid heavy liquidations and broader macro uncertainty. More than $1 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out earlier in the week as traders reduced exposure following sharp moves across currencies and bond markets. $BTC #BTC #Binance
Bill Miller: Bitcoin Would Hit $1.7 Million if Recognized as 'Digital Gold
If the market truly viewed Bitcoin as the digital equivalent of gold, the price of a single coin wouldn't be struggling to reclaim $100,000.
In fact, according to Bill Miller IV, Chief Investment Officer at Miller Value Partners, the leading cryptocurrency would be trading near $1.7 million.
Now that gold is hitting record highs, critics have been quick to declare the correlation dead. Miller, however, argues that the lack of correlation is exactly the point.
The $1.7 million math Miller’s hypothetical price target is derived from a simple market cap parity calculation.
If Bitcoin were to capture gold’s entire monetary premium, the price per coin would need to rise approximately 19x from current levels.
Miller’s post comes after the recent divergence between the two assets. Gold experienced a massive rally in 2026, which was driven by central bank buying and geopolitical hedging. In the meantime, Bitcoin's price action has been extremely underwhelming, with the cryptocurrency struggling to reclaim even the $90,000 level.
However, Miller pointed to the historical lack of correlation between the two.
"Wrong - the correlation between BTC and gold over the past decade is 0.09 (none). Why would you expect it to move at the same time?" he said.
As reported by U.Today, Miller recently confirmed that he remained bullish on Bitcoin despite the recent underperformance.
More than digital gold Ark's Cathie Wood also recently dismantled the narrative that Bitcoin is merely "digital gold."
Wood believes Bitcoin has "miles to go" just to catch up to gold. She views the current price as an early entry point.
She also argues that Bitcoin is the only asset in the world that functions as both a risk-on and a risk-off asset.
Finally, Wood argues that Bitcoin is actually harder money than gold due to the physics of mining #BTC #Write2Earn #BinanceSquare $BTC
$BTC 🚨🚨🚨🚨 In a post on X, Woo shared archives from the bitcoin developers mailing list to support his argument. The data reveals that the share of messages discussing quantum resistance has consistently remained above 10% since June 2025, with October and November being the only exceptions
This defense comes amid growing alarm regarding the vulnerability of bitcoin addresses to quantum computing. Some analysts suggest these fears are already weighing on the market, contributing to bitcoin’s inability to break above the $100,000 mark for several weeks. Crypto advocate Nic Carter suggested that bitcoin’s recent price stagnation reflects a market waking up to long-term quantum risks. While developers may view the threat as distant, Carter argues institutional investors now see it as a legitimate “headwind.”
This sentiment is gaining traction in traditional finance. Christopher Wood, a strategist at Jefferies, recently removed bitcoin from a recommended pension portfolio, citing the “existential technological threat” of quantum computing. On the other hand, Sergio Ermotti, the CEO of the financial services giant UBS, stated that bitcoin must overcome the quantum threat to maintain its long-term credibility as a store of value.
To counter the narrative of inaction, Woo’s analysis highlighted an “explosion” of technical discussions in 2025, following a period of near-total silence between 2018 and 2024.
The primary focus of these discussions—often exceeding 100 messages per thread—revolves around the vulnerability of ECDSA/Schnorr signatures to Shor’s algorithm. Key points of the current developer consensus include implementing voluntary transitions rather than forced protocol changes. There is an agreement to prioritize the maturity of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) post-quantum cryptography standards before integration.
New Statements on Bitcoin’s Future from Bloomberg Analyst McGlone Three prominent figures in the financial world, Scott Melker, Mike McGlone, and Gareth Soloway, discussed record highs in commodity markets, bond yields, and the future of cryptocurrencies in their latest broadcast.
While gold and silver reached new highs, Bitcoin’s stagnation and the activity in the bond market attracted attention.
Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mike McGlone adopted a cautious stance, noting that the markets are giving signals similar to those seen before 1929 and 2008. McGlone argued that Bitcoin remains at risk unless it surpasses $100,000, and that a pullback to the $10,000 level is “chartically normal.”
Renowned investor Scott Melker stated that macroeconomic data does not reflect the realities of the street. Reacting to data suggesting a strong economy, Melker said, “The economy is only strong for the rich; everyone else is struggling even to buy milk.”
Melker described Bitcoin’s current state as “stuck in the mud,” noting that neither good nor bad news is able to move the price, and volume is insufficient.
Melker argued that markets should look good between August and October before the US elections, so any current downturn could be “forgotten” from a political standpoint.
Soloway stated that a technically dangerous “Head and Shoulders” pattern has formed on the Bitcoin chart, which could pull the price back to the $69,000 level. He added that the fact that Bitcoin is not moving in tandem with gold as it rises is evidence that the asset is priced as a “risky asset” rather than a “safe haven. #BTC #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #Write2Earn $BTC
While the traditional world stares at Gold ($XAU) hitting new psychological resistance levels this January, the crypto world is witnessing a massive "Degenerate Rotation." Smart money is no longer just hedging; it's multiplying. The data is clear: Retail liquidity is flooding back into high-beta assets. $PEPE is currently leading the charge, flipping major resistance into support, while $SHIB is seeing massive whale accumulation on the 4-hour chart. We are seeing a rare market setup where safe havens and hyper-speculative memes are pumping simultaneously. Is this the final "Blow-off Top" or the beginning of a super-cycle? The volume on Binance suggests the latter. Keep your eyes on the liquidity—where the frog goes, the market follows. Are you HODLing for the moon or playing it safe with Gold? Drop your 2026 targets below! 👇
Market Pulse Today: ONDO (Ondo Finance) | RWA Sector | $1.45 | 🟢 +18.3% LINK (Chainlink) | Oracle Hub | $24.10 | 🟢 +9.7% XAU (Gold) | Safe Haven | $2,810 | 🟢 +1.2% The Macro Outlook: 💥 #BREAKING: As global geopolitical tensions hit a new peak this January, we are witnessing a "Dual-Safe Haven" era. While Gold ($XAU) continues to break structural resistance, smart money is no longer just sitting in metals—it’s rotating into "Tokenized Real World Assets" (RWA). The decoupling is real. Institutional demand for $ONDO and $LINK shows that the market is valuing on-chain liquidity just as much as physical gold. This isn't just a rebound; it's a fundamental shift in how global reserves are being managed. Watch the $2,800 level on Gold closely—it’s the trigger for the next crypto-liquidity wave.
#BREAKING: The shift from "Panic Hedging" to "Strategic Risk-On" is underway. As $XAU consolidates near its monthly support, capital is rotating aggressively into RWA (Real World Assets) and infrastructure tokens. Large-scale wallets are positioning for a weekend volatility spike following the latest macro-economic data. The rebound is looking structural, not just a bounce. Keep eyes on the liquidity flow!
"Are you holding $GOLD or rotating into $ALTS? Let me know below
Bitcoin Derivatives Flash Caution Signals as Open Interest Slips and Liquidations Rise⏰️⏰️⏰️🚨🚨🚨🚨
Bitcoin is trading at $89,166 per coin at 12 p.m. EST on Jan. 24, 2026, with derivatives markets sending mixed but revealing signals beneath the surface. Futures leverage is easing, options traders remain selectively optimistic, and liquidation data suggests excess positioning is still being worked off.
Bitcoin Derivatives Paint a Tense Picture Bitcoin futures open interest across all exchanges, according to coinglass.com, stands at roughly 656,880 BTC, representing about $58.64 billion in notional value. While open interest ticked up 0.20% over the past hour, it fell 2.89% over the past 24 hours, signaling a broader deleveraging trend rather than aggressive new positioning.
Among futures exchanges, Binance holds the largest share with approximately 135,340 BTC in open interest, followed closely by CME at 124,740 BTC. CME’s near-19% share continues to reflect institutional participation, while Binance remains the dominant venue for directional retail and proprietary trading activity.
Bitcoin futures open interest as of Jan. 24, 2026. Short-term futures positioning shows uneven adjustments across venues. Bybit and Gate posted notable short-term increases in open interest over the four-hour window, while Binance and CME both recorded modest declines over the same period. The takeaway: traders are repositioning, not rushing back in.
Liquidation data from cryptoquant.com reinforces that message. Bitcoin long liquidations spiked sharply on multiple days throughout mid-January, with several sessions exceeding $300 million and one clearing event topping $500 million. These flushes coincided with price pullbacks, suggesting leveraged longs were caught leaning too hard into local strength.
Red is the Color of Opportunity 🔴 "The difference between a retail trader and a professional investor is how they react to the color red. While most panic when they see BTC or ADA dipping by 2%, the seasoned investor sees a 'discount.' Markets don't move in a straight line. These corrections are the 'breather' the market takes before the next leg up. Don't let short-term volatility cloud your long-term vision. Strategy: Accumulate in the red, celebrate in the green
Here's what bitcoin bulls are saying as price🚨🚨⏰️⏰️📈 remains stuck during global rally
It’s no secret that bitcoin BTC$89,145.47 is currently failing its many narratives, including the claim that it can serve as an inflation hedge or a safe-haven asset amid uncertainty.
While gold has climbed more than 80% during this period of high inflation, geopolitical skirmishes, and interest rate uncertainty, bitcoin has dropped 14% year over year.
In theory, assets that protect against inflation should rise when the value of money falls. For gold and the rest of the precious metals complex, that theory has worked. For digital gold, not so much.
That divergence has raised fresh questions: why would anyone buy bitcoin now when precious metals and equities give better returns?
CoinDesk has asked a group of longtime bitcoin bulls, and this is how they are defending buying bitcoin:
Comfort in the known (Jessy Gilger, senior advisor at Gannett Wealth Advisors, a bitcoin-native wealth management firm) "Gold’s current surge is a temporary political distraction. In times of fear, institutions tend to retreat to what they know because they often lack the foresight to embrace a genuine phase shift in technology. We are currently seeing a historical standard deviation move in the GLD/BTC power law ratio, but hard assets are a long game. #BTC $BTC #Write2Earn #BinanceSquare
Gold Keeps Breaking Records: So Why Isn’t Bitcoin Keeping Pace? Major Company Lists the Reasons
Crypto asset management company NYDIG has examined the performance of Bitcoin and gold in light of recent fluctuations in global markets.
The analysis, authored by Greg Cipolaro, Global Research Director at NYDIG, examines in detail why investors turn to gold during periods of increased geopolitical tension, and why Bitcoin remains under pressure in the short term.
According to the analysis, US President Donald Trump’s threat of new tariffs on European countries and his geopolitical rhetoric centered on Greenland triggered a sharp wave of “risk aversion” in global markets over the weekend. During this period, US futures indices declined, volatility increased, the cryptocurrency market lost value, while gold prices rapidly climbed towards historical highs. Although Trump’s subsequent softening of his rhetoric temporarily eased market concerns, it was noted that his sudden policy announcements still had a strong short-term impact on cryptocurrency markets.
The NYDIG analysis stated that while Bitcoin is theoretically seen as a hedge against geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, in practice it still behaves like a risky asset. According to Cipolaro, Bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with US stocks is approximately 0.51. This indicates that when market stress increases, Bitcoin is sold along with stocks, and it fails to fully fulfill its “macro hedge” role.
The report acknowledges that Bitcoin has made significant progress among institutional investors with the introduction of spot ETFs, but notes that gold still holds a much more established position. Gold has been positioned as a strategic asset in portfolios for decades, while Bitcoin is still considered by most institutions as a tactical and limited investment. This situation leads capital to flow primarily into gold during periods of uncertainty.
According to NYDIG, liquidity needs become a determining factor in stressful market conditions, and this dynamic works against Bitcoin. #BTC#Write2Earn! #BinanceSquare $BTC
Bitcoin Flat at $89,000, but Charts Warn Buyers Are Losing Ground
Bitcoin price has barely moved over the past 24 hours. BTC is trading flat near $89,500, even as weekly losses still sit close to 6%. On the surface, this looks like calm consolidation. Underneath, charts suggest something else.
Multiple technical and on-chain signals now point to a standoff. Buyers are trying to delay a larger breakdown, not push a fresh rally. The risk is building quietly, and a lesser-known adversary is starting to matter.
Doji-Like Candles and EMA Loss Show BTC Buyers Defending, Not Advancing Over the past three daily sessions, Bitcoin has printed doji-like candles with thin bodies and long wicks. These candles reflect hesitation, not balance. Sellers are pressing lower, buyers are stepping in late, and neither side is gaining control.
This behavior is appearing right at the lower boundary of a rising wedge. An increasing wedge slopes upward but tightens price action, often breaking down when support gives way.
If this structure fails, the measured downside projection points toward $77,300, a potential 13% drop from current levels #BTC #Binance #Write2Earn $BTC