Web3投研江南雨

About the AI ​​public chain tau.net (token name AGRS)

Tau
Tau is a universe built from your ideas, suggestions and knowledge. It is the first-ever decentralized blockchain social network capable of gaining consensus from its users and updating its own software in real time, allowing all users to control what the software does for them.

All in all, Tau can aggregate the ideas, suggestions and knowledge of various users, and upgrade its own code in real time, using logical artificial intelligence to bridge the gap between humans and machines.

Notice the difference? If you have recently learned about artificial intelligence and used ChatGPT, you will know that most AI uses machine learning, which relies on huge Internet data sets and makes it difficult to grasp the correct meaning and knowledge of interpersonal communication.

What about logic-based Al? It is more effective than machine learning in:

1. Explainability: Logic-based AI provides clear and transparent explanations of how decisions are made, which can be useful in certain applications, such as legal or medical diagnostics. In these application scenarios, accountability and explainability are important.

2. Predictability: Logic-based systems are deterministic, meaning that given the same input, they always produce the same output.

3. Efficiency: For simple tasks, logic-based AI can be faster than machine learning algorithms because they require no training to make decisions based on a small number of well-defined rules.

4. Adaptability: Logic-based AI can be easily modified and updated to adapt to new knowledge or environmental changes.

These advantages form Tau's moat. Artificial intelligence using logic has uniquely created a model of communication between people with machines as the mediator.

A team of PhDs and professors with expertise in artificial intelligence, logic and mathematics has been working on Tau since 2015. Founder and CEO Ohad Asor is a software developer and machine learning expert with a background in mathematics and experience at GE Healthcare.

From the weekly K-line of Bitcoin, 87,000 USDT is currently the price center of Bitcoin, forming a contracting triangle. Moreover, after a significant drop, it is currently in consolidation.
From the perspective of capital, new investment funds will flow into the US stock market in the new year, and a portion of that capital will also buy Bitcoin ETFs.
Therefore, it is highly probable that there will be an increase until mid-January. #比特币 $BTC

The time for the expiration of the $23 billion BTC options is at 16:00 Beijing time on 12/26. Between 16:00, there was a surge.
Therefore, the rise during the day on 12/26 was driven by option market makers, not by long-term investors buying.
So, it is reasonable to speculate that the price will fall back.
As a result, when the US stock market opened, it indeed dropped.
After the option market makers pushed the price up, they maintained the high level until 22:30 Beijing time. Then, after the US stock market opened, market liquidity increased, and sellers took the opportunity to close their long positions.
It can be estimated that 87,000 US dollars is currently the price center of Bitcoin. This can also be seen from the daily chart of Bitcoin over the past month. #比特币 $BTC

I estimate that BTC will rise next, but I dare not go long. I will wait for a rise of around 500U and look for an opportunity to short.

#比特币 $BTC The manipulation methods of big capital are a bit rough. Last night, there were multiple short sales and multiple stop losses. At that time, it felt like the trend was quite strong, but then there was another crash. A short-term rise to unload.

#比特币 $ICP ICP is rising a bit too fast. Waiting for an opportunity to short.

#比特币 $BTC Currently, there is no position in hand, waiting for the Nasdaq to open. The Bitcoin K-line pattern is stagnating at a relatively high position, showing strong momentum. The Nasdaq index has a higher probability of continuing yesterday's strength today. Tonight, Bitcoin is likely to rise.

#比特币 $BTC 15 minutes ago, heavily shorted BTC, with a target closing price around $90,000. Am I wrong in my assessment?

#比特币 $BTC Nasdaq opened down, seizing the perfect opportunity to short Bitcoin heavily, thinking I could earn back half a year's salary, who would have thought there would be such a trend. The dog stock harms people.

#比特币 $BTC Nasdaq index opened lower, heavily shorting Bitcoin

#比特币 $BTC At this moment, the price of Bitcoin is stagnant. I dare not take action. In a few hours, the likelihood of an increase is higher. The performance report released by Oracle Corporation after the market has aroused a pessimistic view in the market, causing Nasdaq index futures to fall, and Bitcoin also dropped simultaneously. Tonight, there is a possibility of further decline in the Nasdaq index. I'm waiting for an opportunity to short Bitcoin.

Closed the position made 2 hours ago for $BTC , earned the living expenses for a month #比特币

#比特币 $BTC 10 times long on BTC, the Japanese stock market plummeted, causing a decline in U.S. stock indices, I bet it will rebound

The founder of the public chain Tau Net once said:
The Tau language is suitable for developing critical systems. Especially in preventing computer viruses, it is effective. Because if a critical system is developed using the Tau language, computer viruses also need to be developed using the Tau language to be effective. However, any malicious code written in the Tau language can be immediately verified.

Explanation:
A critical system refers to systems such as military equipment or nuclear power plants that cannot afford errors.
The Tau language is the world's first in terms of decidability.
Decidability means that for a piece of complex computer code, it can be checked through an algorithm whether the output of the code meets the requirements.
For example, whether there is malicious code in the code, whether there are security vulnerabilities in the code.
In contrast, code written in conventional programming languages does not possess decidability. This has been mathematically proven.
However, as a trade-off, the Tau language is not Turing complete and has numerous syntax restrictions.

#比特币 Half of the long position has been closed. Overall bullish for the next two weeks. However, a short-term retreat.
The reason is simple: looking at the K-line, from 84,000 U to 94,000 U, there have been three upward waves, and the increase in the third wave is lower than that of the second wave, indicating weaker upward momentum. This is elementary K-line knowledge. Generally speaking, after a significant rise, there will be a correction. If the correction is around 33%, then it could drop to around 91,000 U from 94,000. A 50% correction is also possible, which would be a drop to 89,000 U. My approach is to have an overall view of the trend but not to hold the position rigidly, and to adjust the position based on short-term movements in a shorter time frame. Simply put, although the overall outlook is bullish, the position will be gradually reduced as it declines. Then, when it starts to rise again, I will gradually increase the long position.

#Bitcoin At this moment, Bitcoin is likely to rise back to $100,000. I have heavily invested in long positions.

After reaching $100,000, it will fluctuate between $100,000 and $90,000. Please remember that Bitcoin is currently in a range trading phase, and breaking through the high point is difficult without financial support.
The main reason it hasn't dropped is due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Currently, the Federal Reserve has two options:
1) Hawkish rate cut. Cut rates once in December, but remain cautious about further cuts afterward. 2) Dovish pause. No rate cut in December, wait and see, but there is a tendency for active rate cuts afterward.

Regardless of which situation occurs, it is beneficial for the market. Before the U.S. stock market peaks, Bitcoin should not continue to fall, but breaking the highest price will also be challenging.

After the sharp drop, there is a high probability of recovery, heavily invested in bottom fishing $BTC

A foreign fan in the Tau Net English Telegram group:

Hahaha, brother, I understand how you feel—waiting for the Tau Net mainnet feels like waiting for a girlfriend to reply to a message, from 2015 to November 2025, with a 10-year gap in between; I would have been anxious by now. Ohad is impressive, but progress is as slow as a turtle crawl, the Testnet Alpha just launched in October, and the roadmap is filled with milestones marked 'in progress' and 'to be completed', mainnet? When will that be, in my dreams?

I just dug up the latest intel (official website, search, X, etc.), and the conclusion is: **no one dares to guarantee a specific date**, the official roadmap doesn't even mention anything like 'mainnet Q1/Q2', it just says 'Testnet features will gradually enhance, preparing for a seamless transition to Mainnet', which sounds like 'it's coming soon, just keep trying'. From older materials, the Testnet was supposed to go live in Q1 2024, but it has dragged into the Alpha phase now, and the mainnet will probably take at least another six months to a year—I'm guessing **the first half of 2026**, optimistically saying a Christmas surprise at the end of 2025 (but the odds are as low as winning the lottery).

Why is it taking so long? Tau isn't a worthless coin; it's really tackling tough problems: optimizations for the Z3 solver of logical languages, garbage collection, vector expansion, mathematically self-modifying rules... these aren't things that can be done by just spamming; they need to be verified step by step for 'provable correctness', otherwise launching would be self-destruction. The team is small (just Fola, Igor, Kilian, and a few others), recruiting is tough in a bear market, community feedback needs to be iterated—this is not about building a 'human-level AGI blockchain', it's not just a Solana knockoff.

But speaking of waiting, it's worth it! If they really pull it off, that’s not just impressive, it’s revolutionary—decentralized AI governance, self-adaptive AGRS economic model, developers writing error-free smart contracts with Tau... just thinking about it gets me excited. Don’t rush, keep observing, invest a little money to play with the testnet, or go on X and @Ohad to nudge him for updates (@TauChain is the real deal, over 900 fans, and who knows, maybe his response rate is high).

My advice: **set an alarm and come back to ask me in March 2026; for now, watch their YouTube updates, consider it binge-watching**. Hang in there, great things never wait for anyone, but they also never make you wait in vain. 🔥😂